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Category: Markets

Warsh Storms Back, Leapfrogs Hassett In Fed Chair Betting Odds

December 15, 2025December 16, 2025

“As Fed Chair, how frequently would you consult with the president when he says he

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7 Comments on Warsh Storms Back, Leapfrogs Hassett In Fed Chair Betting Odds

Vanke, Last Of The Giants, Nears Default

December 15, 2025December 16, 2025

China Vanke’s special. Or at least it was. In a property sector where every major

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1 Comment on Vanke, Last Of The Giants, Nears Default

Oracle News Goes From Bad To Worse

December 12, 2025December 14, 2025

If you’re an Oracle bull this wasn’t your week. Fresh off a ~$70 billion rout

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4 Comments on Oracle News Goes From Bad To Worse

Famous Risk Indicator Picks Up AI Bubble After ‘Revamp’

December 12, 2025December 13, 2025

Sell! Not investment advice. Do your own research. Consult your financial advisor whose office in

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4 Comments on Famous Risk Indicator Picks Up AI Bubble After ‘Revamp’

So… Oracle

December 11, 2025December 12, 2025

Oracle’s the poster child for the market’s AI capex concerns, and also for investors’ growing

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7 Comments on So… Oracle

Flying Blind Behind Lame Duck, Divided Fed Braves Hawkish Cut

December 10, 2025December 11, 2025

A Fed flying partially blind due to delays in the publication of key government data

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8 Comments on Flying Blind Behind Lame Duck, Divided Fed Braves Hawkish Cut

DeepSeek Has Blackwell

December 10, 2025December 11, 2025

China doesn’t need to participate in Donald Trump’s pay-to-play deal with Nvidia, apparently. Hot on the

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4 Comments on DeepSeek Has Blackwell

‘The Hassett Premium’

December 9, 2025December 10, 2025

One consequence of a Kevin Hassett Fed is likely to be increased market concern around

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1 Comment on ‘The Hassett Premium’

Trump Says Lowering Rates Is ‘Litmus Test’ For New Fed Chair

December 9, 2025December 10, 2025

Donald Trump wants the Fed to keep cutting rates. Did he mention that? Because if

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11 Comments on Trump Says Lowering Rates Is ‘Litmus Test’ For New Fed Chair

Nvidia’s New Pay-To-Play

December 9, 2025December 10, 2025

If I were the Party in Beijing, I’m not sure how I’d approach Donald Trump’s

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1 Comment on Nvidia’s New Pay-To-Play

Year-End Stock Rally Has Green Light, Popular Strategist Says

December 7, 2025December 9, 2025

The back half of December should be strong for US equities. Note the emphasis. A

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2 Comments on Year-End Stock Rally Has Green Light, Popular Strategist Says

Trump’s Plan B For Controlling The FOMC

December 7, 2025December 8, 2025

March 1. That’s the deadline for confirming regional Fed presidents, and it matters because the

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1 Comment on Trump’s Plan B For Controlling The FOMC

Feel The Burns

December 5, 2025December 7, 2025

Soon enough, Donald Trump will announce Jerome Powell’s successor. That person — probably Kevin Hassett

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10 Comments on Feel The Burns

The 2020s In One Chart

December 5, 2025December 7, 2025

You’ve heard it again and again. More times, probably, than you care to by now:

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2 Comments on The 2020s In One Chart

JPMorgan Sees Path To S&P 8,000 On ‘FOBO’

December 4, 2025December 5, 2025

Were you curious as to what America’s largest bank expects for US equities in 2026?

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6 Comments on JPMorgan Sees Path To S&P 8,000 On ‘FOBO’

Hassett Has It?

December 3, 2025December 4, 2025

Bad news is good news. You know how it goes. The US labor market’s plainly

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8 Comments on Hassett Has It?

How The AI Trade ‘Breaks’

December 2, 2025December 3, 2025

Investors are “buying the dream.” That’s the message from BofA’s Savita Subramanian headed into 2026,

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5 Comments on How The AI Trade ‘Breaks’

Sam Altman’s ‘Code Red’

December 2, 2025December 3, 2025

It’s tough being Sam Altman since November 18. That’s the day Google launched Gemini 3.

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13 Comments on Sam Altman’s ‘Code Red’

Google AI Coup Presages Clash Of The Titans

December 1, 2025December 3, 2025

I spent an enormous (but not inordinate) amount of time last month editorializing around what

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13 Comments on Google AI Coup Presages Clash Of The Titans

New OpenAI, Nvidia Deals Fan Bubble Banter

December 1, 2025December 2, 2025

One of the most talked about phenomena across markets over the past three months is

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4 Comments on New OpenAI, Nvidia Deals Fan Bubble Banter

BoJ Wobbles Risk Sentiment With Rate Hike Nod

December 1, 2025December 2, 2025

Market documentarians were back to peddling the BoJ “structural shift” narrative on Monday in the

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2 Comments on BoJ Wobbles Risk Sentiment With Rate Hike Nod

Goodbye November, Hello December

November 28, 2025December 1, 2025

November was supposed to be a decent month for US equities. It wasn’t. However Friday’s

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4 Comments on Goodbye November, Hello December

Despite 2025 Rally, Bonds Haunted By Shifting Buyer Base

November 27, 2025November 28, 2025

When it comes to sovereign bond yields, popular discourse tends to turn on supply for

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2 Comments on Despite 2025 Rally, Bonds Haunted By Shifting Buyer Base

Google’s Awake

November 25, 2025November 27, 2025

Nothing to see here, folks. Nvidia’s still light years ahead of the competition and Jensen

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9 Comments on Google’s Awake

$4 Trillion Doomed To Underperform

November 24, 2025November 25, 2025

It’s hard to beat a benchmark when you’re condemned to be underweight the names driving

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2 Comments on $4 Trillion Doomed To Underperform

Weltschmerz (It’s Lonely Being A Real Bear)

November 24, 2025November 25, 2025

Everyone’s always looking for bear market canaries, crash harbingers and bad omens more generally. I

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2 Comments on Weltschmerz (It’s Lonely Being A Real Bear)

Google Comes For Everybody

November 24, 2025November 25, 2025

The “Google’s winning” narrative has some real traction all of a sudden. Maybe you noticed.

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9 Comments on Google Comes For Everybody

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