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Category: Markets

Checkmate

February 28, 2022March 1, 2022

It was all Russia, all day on the news front to kick off the new

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19 Comments on Checkmate

Russia Risks Default As Financial System Paralyzed

February 28, 2022March 11, 2022

When you’re in a hole, the first step is to stop digging. But not if

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6 Comments on Russia Risks Default As Financial System Paralyzed

‘Something, Somewhere May Break’: McElligott On Russia

February 28, 2022March 1, 2022

At least for the next several days, market participants will focus on the proverbial “plumbing,”

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6 Comments on ‘Something, Somewhere May Break’: McElligott On Russia

Putin Faces Existential Crisis As Ruble, Economy Collapse Overnight

February 28, 2022March 6, 2022

The Russian economy was plunged into an overnight crisis Monday, after the Western powers moved

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35 Comments on Putin Faces Existential Crisis As Ruble, Economy Collapse Overnight

Traders Brace For Volatility After Historic Weekend

February 27, 2022February 28, 2022

Traders braced for volatility coming out of a historic weekend during which the West severed

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6 Comments on Traders Brace For Volatility After Historic Weekend

Pozsar Conjures Lehman Amid Russia SWIFT Ban

February 27, 2022March 5, 2022

“If a bank closes a $200 billion balance sheet on Friday and doesn’t open on

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9 Comments on Pozsar Conjures Lehman Amid Russia SWIFT Ban

‘Exhilarating And Humiliating’

February 27, 2022February 28, 2022

Markets are exciting. They can also be highly unpredictable, disheartening and, depending on the context,

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4 Comments on ‘Exhilarating And Humiliating’

Markets Held Hostage

February 27, 2022March 4, 2022

Needless to say, markets will remain hostage to geopolitical news flow in the week ahead.

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1 Comment on Markets Held Hostage

‘This Is Evil. And It Must Be Destroyed.’

February 27, 2022February 27, 2022

The Russian central bank on Sunday promised domestic banks an “uninterrupted” supply of rubles, but

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11 Comments on ‘This Is Evil. And It Must Be Destroyed.’

Some Russian Banks Removed From SWIFT, Central Bank Targeted

February 26, 2022February 27, 2022

Just hours after Germany dropped its opposition to barring Russia from SWIFT, the West unveiled

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7 Comments on Some Russian Banks Removed From SWIFT, Central Bank Targeted

Russia May Face ‘Full-On Collapse’ Of Financial System

February 26, 2022March 2, 2022

The world moved closer on Saturday to deploying the economic nuclear option against Russia. In

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15 Comments on Russia May Face ‘Full-On Collapse’ Of Financial System

‘Where Next?’

February 25, 2022February 27, 2022

US equities closed out a truly chaotic week with a spectacular two-day rally, even as

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8 Comments on ‘Where Next?’

Pozsar Cautions On ‘Market Event’ From ‘Russia’s Vast Financial Surpluses’

February 25, 2022February 26, 2022

Zoltan Pozsar took a break this week from assessing every conceivable angle of Fed balance

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6 Comments on Pozsar Cautions On ‘Market Event’ From ‘Russia’s Vast Financial Surpluses’

Marquee US Data Argues Against Recession, For Fed Hikes

February 25, 2022February 25, 2022

This week’s marquee data out of the US showed a resilient consumer and elevated inflation,

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2 Comments on Marquee US Data Argues Against Recession, For Fed Hikes

McElligott Explains Thursday’s Epic US Stock Reversal

February 25, 2022February 26, 2022

On Thursday afternoon, following a truly absurd reversal on Wall Street that found US equities

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4 Comments on McElligott Explains Thursday’s Epic US Stock Reversal

As Putin Moves To Seize Kyiv, Biden Mobilizes King Dollar

February 24, 2022March 2, 2022

The Russian military was poised to take Kyiv on Thursday evening, closing in on the

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36 Comments on As Putin Moves To Seize Kyiv, Biden Mobilizes King Dollar

Meanwhile, Inside America’s Epic Housing Bubble…

February 24, 2022

Who cares about the data at a time like this?! Nobody, is the answer. Nevertheless,

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3 Comments on Meanwhile, Inside America’s Epic Housing Bubble…

‘Darkness’

February 24, 2022February 25, 2022

It was impossible to escape dire headlines on Thursday. Neither was it easy to scan

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8 Comments on ‘Darkness’

‘The Stagflation Tail Just Picked Up Massive Delta’

February 24, 2022February 25, 2022

The assets most at risk from Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine are Russian assets.

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Shell Shock: Markets In Disbelief As Putin Strikes

February 24, 2022February 28, 2022

“Russia treacherously attacked our state in the morning,” Volodymyr Zelenskiy said, in a social media

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16 Comments on Shell Shock: Markets In Disbelief As Putin Strikes

Putin Invades Ukraine

February 23, 2022March 2, 2022

Hours after the heads of Ukraine’s separatist republics formally requested assistance from the Russian military

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11 Comments on Putin Invades Ukraine

S&P 3840 Next Month? 2018 Says Yes

February 23, 2022February 24, 2022

I’m not a fan of visual analogues in the market context. They’re (almost) always “chart

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7 Comments on S&P 3840 Next Month? 2018 Says Yes

Slowing Profits, Growth To Drive Stocks, Not Ukraine: Wilson

February 23, 2022February 23, 2022

Although you may be inclined to exasperation vis-à-vis the impossibility of trading a market hostage

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4 Comments on Slowing Profits, Growth To Drive Stocks, Not Ukraine: Wilson

Institutional Investors Now Trading Like YOLO Crowd

February 23, 2022February 24, 2022

The combination of manic intraday swings and myopia imposed by extreme ambiguity around the long

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Americans: A ‘Relatively Confident’ Bunch

February 22, 2022February 23, 2022

Take it with a grain of salt. US consumer confidence held up reasonably well in

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Leave a Comment on Americans: A ‘Relatively Confident’ Bunch

$100 Billion In Three Days: China Tech Nightmare Worsens

February 22, 2022February 28, 2022

While the world was fixated on the standoff between the West and Russia following Vladimir

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3 Comments on $100 Billion In Three Days: China Tech Nightmare Worsens

Is Xi Prepping A New Crackdown On Chinese Mega-Tech?

February 21, 2022February 22, 2022

The regulatory headwinds are picking up again in China. Not that they ever dissipated. In

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2 Comments on Is Xi Prepping A New Crackdown On Chinese Mega-Tech?

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Monthly Letters

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