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Category: Markets

Huge PPI Overshoot Suggests Inflation Isn’t Moderating

February 15, 2022February 21, 2022

US producer prices rose far more than expected in January, closely-watched data out Tuesday showed.

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9 Comments on Huge PPI Overshoot Suggests Inflation Isn’t Moderating

‘Without A Single Shot Fired’?

February 15, 2022February 15, 2022

Risk sentiment improved markedly Tuesday on reports that “some” Russian troops and armored vehicles returned

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13 Comments on ‘Without A Single Shot Fired’?

Only Jim Bullard Can Save Us Now

February 14, 2022February 22, 2022

“Our credibility is on the line here,” an unapologetic Jim Bullard said Monday, reiterating concerns

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25 Comments on Only Jim Bullard Can Save Us Now

Inflation Has Peaked. Time To Obsess Over Growth

February 14, 2022February 15, 2022

It’s time to worry more about growth than inflation. Or, at the least, to consider

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‘Outright Recession’: Wilson Warns On ‘Polar Vortex’

February 14, 2022February 15, 2022

Sometimes (ok, quite often), it pays to think counterintuitively. Late last week, when the White

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Markets In Crisis Mode As Ukraine Worries Spiral

February 14, 2022February 14, 2022

Global risk sentiment was severely impaired to start the new week, as concerns over a

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Ukraine, Not Fed, Caused Wild Stock Swings, One Bank Suggests

February 13, 2022February 14, 2022

This week has the potential to be another minefield for traders and investors. Just like

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For Weary Markets, No Respite

February 13, 2022February 17, 2022

Those weary of inflation banter and Fed speculation will get no respite in the new

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11 Comments on For Weary Markets, No Respite

‘Inflation, Disease, War’

February 13, 2022February 14, 2022

“World’s top economies confront inflation, disease, war,” one Sunday headline read. When G-20 finance ministers

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9 Comments on ‘Inflation, Disease, War’

$50 Billion Cash-For-Stocks Swap Belies Fed Panic

February 12, 2022February 14, 2022

Investors pulled billions from money market funds in the four weeks through mid-February, a period

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11 Comments on $50 Billion Cash-For-Stocks Swap Belies Fed Panic

Goldman Cuts S&P Forecast Citing ‘Dramatic’ Fed Shift

February 12, 2022February 19, 2022

Thanks in part to solid fourth quarter results, US equities “found their footing” following a

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1 Comment on Goldman Cuts S&P Forecast Citing ‘Dramatic’ Fed Shift

Whatever It Is, We Know What It Ain’t

February 12, 2022February 13, 2022

Admittedly, lampooning “transitory” or otherwise reiterating just how wrong policymakers turned out to be on

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9 Comments on Whatever It Is, We Know What It Ain’t

‘Any Day Now’: Ukraine Invasion Warning Hits Fragile Markets

February 11, 2022February 13, 2022

Investors scarcely needed another reason to worry amid escalating Fed concerns and a lingering suspicion

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13 Comments on ‘Any Day Now’: Ukraine Invasion Warning Hits Fragile Markets

The National Conversation

February 11, 2022February 18, 2022

In the 24 hours following the release of January’s inflation data, I’ve been adamant about the

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10 Comments on The National Conversation

El Dorado

February 11, 2022February 11, 2022

“We see the arguments for a 50bps rate hike in March,” Goldman’s David Mericle and

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4 Comments on El Dorado

Jerome Powell’s Inaction Risks Irreparable Damage To Fed

February 11, 2022February 24, 2022

Tension lingered Friday as shell-shocked investors pondered the prospect of an emergency rate hike from

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39 Comments on Jerome Powell’s Inaction Risks Irreparable Damage To Fed

Panic Button

February 10, 2022February 11, 2022

However it turns out for US equities this week, I can confidently say, one full

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7 Comments on Panic Button

Let The Inversions Begin!

February 10, 2022February 11, 2022

The market reaction to an unfortunate inflation report was as predictable as it was dramatic.

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1 Comment on Let The Inversions Begin!

Very Troubling Inflation Report Piles Pressure On Fed

February 10, 2022February 15, 2022

US consumer prices rose more than expected in January, closely-watched data out Thursday showed. Headline

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3 Comments on Very Troubling Inflation Report Piles Pressure On Fed

From The Reel: Record China Credit, ‘No Chance’ Of BoJ Tightening

February 10, 2022February 10, 2022

UK shares finally erased their pandemic declines, China reported a record amount of new yuan

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Noise Machine

February 9, 2022February 10, 2022

I’m just as exhausted with Fed speculation as the next guy. More so, in all

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3 Comments on Noise Machine

‘Was That It?’: Bearish Psyche Versus The Right Tail

February 9, 2022February 10, 2022

It could be an afterthought by the end of the week depending on how patient

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4 Comments on ‘Was That It?’: Bearish Psyche Versus The Right Tail

‘Hiking Into A Boom’: The Paradoxical Tail Risk

February 9, 2022February 10, 2022

For the last two months, I’ve parroted some version of the “hiking into a slowdown”

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10 Comments on ‘Hiking Into A Boom’: The Paradoxical Tail Risk

Diamond Hands

February 9, 2022February 10, 2022

Risk sentiment was reasonably buoyant Wednesday, as global equities rose lacking any obvious catalyst other

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3 Comments on Diamond Hands

‘How Can This Possibly End Well?’ Kolanovic’s Team Answers

February 8, 2022February 10, 2022

“How can this possibly end well?”, America’s largest bank wondered, in a new note. It

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Still Pending

February 8, 2022February 9, 2022

US equities meandered through another mostly meaningless session Tuesday. Traders were stuck in suspended animation

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2 Comments on Still Pending

Dealer Gamma As Modern Market Structure’s ‘Core Truth’

February 8, 2022February 9, 2022

Last week, I talked a bit about market depth and a seemingly acute dearth of

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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