The Bad News Is, ‘The Next Recession Could See The Third-Worst Spread Peak In History’
The good news is, it won’t be because of defaults.
Category: investment grade
For US Credit Investors, The ‘Sum Of All Concerns’ Just Hit A Five-Year Low – Just Don’t Tell Anyone In Europe
“…most concerns have declined notably.”
As Greed Returns, Remember: ‘Strong Rallies Should Lead To Less, Not More Optimism’
“…sometimes you are compensated for this skewed perception and other times you are not.”
The Last Time BBBs Did This, Stocks Were At Record Highs
The latest from the “BBB apocalypse” saga.
‘We Feel The Need To Shout About This Risk Even Louder’: Angels In Europe
Fallen angel risk, European style.
‘Fallen Angel Risk’ Still Front And Center Despite Bounce As $186 Billion Of Bonds ‘Migrate’ To BBB
…nobody wants to assign a high probability to what would be a catastrophic event.
IG Credit Potpourri: BBB Apocalypse Update And A Liquidity Check
A lot of ad hoc musings here cobbled together and submitted for your approval.
What Are Stocks And Other Assets Saying About The Odds Of A US Recession?
Remember: anything is better than Larry Kudlow’s “models”.
bonds commodities credit dollar europe eurostoxx FX hang seng high yield investment grade kospi Markets nikkei oil S&P 500 shanghai composite stocks yen
Requiem For 2018: A Visual Retrospective
At least we know what 2019’s consensus longs are.
Fear And The Market’s Perverse Fascination With Calamity
Fear is self-reinforcing.
Veteran Trader: ‘Credit Spreads Are All That Matter’
“Or have we reached that ‘obscene point’ where it makes sense to take out some blue tickets?”
Junk ETFs Stress Tested, Reflation Bled Dry And Other Thoughts As Things Go From Bad To Worse
A visual (and narrative) odyssey.
Here’s The Latest On The Fallen Angel Story…
It’s “barely started”.