Another reason to believe in a “V-shaped” recovery?
Category: economy
Green Shoots From The Smoldering Ashes
A few visuals help explain cautious optimism.
It All Burns Down.
“A red flag to a bull, even if it is bullish for assets”.
Manufacturing Gauges Rendered Meaningless In COVID Crisis Suggest Economy Still Pretty Bad
“Two cautious comments for every one optimistic comment”.
Cultural Breaking Point Threatens To Upend Fragile US Economy At Worst Possible Time
This is a potential body blow.
It’s Not The Economy, It’s The Liquidity, Stupid.
If there’s anything we probably should have learned post-2008…
America’s Big Bankruptcy Questions: Who, When And How Many?
We need to “have humility about how much predictive power our past experience gives us in the face of the current crisis.”
Americans Now A Frugal Bunch As Savings Rate Surges To Unthinkable Heights In Consumption Plunge
“…we could experience the same sort of private-sector savings surplus seen during a balance sheet recessionâ€.
From Europe To Japan To South Korea, Economic Gloom Is Pervasive
A reality check amid the equity market euphoria.
At 41 Million, US Jobs Lost To Virus Nearly Equal Population Of Spain
There was one bright spot in the report…
Bazookas Galore, Irrelevant Court Rulings, And What’s Next After Europe’s ‘Essential Day’
“We must go quickly and adopt this ambitious agreement”.
234 Trillion Yen. That’s A Real Number, Apparently.
“Mind-spinning”.
Euphoria Now. But Three Fiscal Cliffs Loom Large
Hopefully, Mitch McConnell can be convinced.
What $600 Billion In AUM Sees For The Post-COVID World, And Why One Bank Thinks Full MMT Is Unlikely
“What are the likely structural shifts post-pandemic?”
World Trade Shrank Most Since GFC In March, Just Ahead Of Virus Lockdowns
March’s monthly decline means world trade shrank for three months straight headed into pandemic protocol.
Reopening Optimism Trumps All Other Considerations As Equities Climb Wall Of Worry
“…it does not take much analytical skill to predict a much stronger slump in the second quarter”.
Why Morgan Stanley Sees ‘The Return Of Inflation’ After Coronavirus Crisis
“The forces which will bring about inflation are aligning”.
Gary Cohn: Congress Needs To Be Ready To Spend $3-5 Trillion ‘At Any Given Moment’ In Crises
“We now have the knowledge that at any given moment in time, our Congress is going to need to spend $3-5 trillion”.
China Abandons GDP Target For 2020 As Virus Reality Sets In
The abandonment of the target speaks volumes about the scope of the damage inflicted by the pathogen.
Just Two Things.
“We are now experiencing a whole new level of uncertainty”.
As Virus Jobless Claims Total Nears 40 Million, Let’s Make Sure We’re Asking The Right Questions
The question is not whether “the worst is over”. Nor is the question about the “pace” of the rebound.
In Europe, Light At Tunnel’s End Still Just Faint Glimmer
Williamson cautioned that a full recovery in Europe may “take several years”.
‘No Doubt Global Trade Is About To Fall Off A Cliff,’ One Bank Says, As Global Trade Falls Off A Cliff
There is “no sign of the trade slump bottoming out”.
Richard Koo Details ‘The Many Irreversible Impacts Of COVID-19’
“…these differences mean we cannot expect the sort of V-shaped recovery seen after the SARS outbreak.”
‘Zeitgeist Bearish’
“Investors”, he writes, are “still extremely bearish”.
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