Blink and you missed it. For about a week, market participants showed some interest in
Category: Duly Noted
The ‘Dumb Money’ Just Turned Bearish
When you lose the retail crowd… For 23 consecutive weeks, the spread between professed bulls
Escalations And Worst-Case Scenarios
Earlier this week, I trudged through familiar territory in the course of reiterating that equities
Mean Reverting Into Mega-Cap Earnings
Part of me hesitates to say anything that might be construed as “directional” ahead of
Kolanovic Says Inflation, Geopolitical Risks Point To Additional Downside
Equities could stabilize this week, but after that it’s anyone’s guess. That was the message
How Corporate America Will Spend $3.7 Trillion In 2024
Cash! You have some. Now what do you do with it? If you’re a household,
Reserves Plunge, Money Funds Hit With Exodus On Tax Payments
I hesitate to offer a money market fund flows update this week for what I
Netflix Delivers Another Big Subscriber Beat, Will Stop Reporting Key Metric
The bar was high for Netflix headed into Q1 results this week. The stock was
Highest Mortgage Rates Of 2024 May Be Pulling Demand Forward
Earlier this week, while editorializing around what I (maybe hyperbolically, maybe justifiably) described as an
Plunging Cash Levels Sound Alarm For Suddenly Shaky Stock Rally
Don’t look now, but fund manager cash levels are on the brink of triggering a
Bear Spots ‘Classic Crowding Out’ In Juiced-Up US Economy
One of several recurring themes in this year’s notes from Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is
Anatomy Of Wall Street’s ‘Full-Blown War Freakout’
Late last week, I noted that war risk became real for markets. Briefly. It became
War Risk Becomes Real For Markets
Typically, equities ignore geopolitical risk unless and until there’s a clear transmission channel to markets.
War’s Coming
Western democracies, and particularly the US, should consider playing a little offense for a change.
The Case Of The Missing Stock Selloff
We “should” be looking at the smoldering wreckage of a meaningful equity drawdown right about
Ugly 10-Year Sale Is Insult To Injury For Reeling US Rates
On a day when another warm CPI report roiled the US rates complex, markets could’ve
The Policy Catalysts For Gold’s Monumental Rally
Gold’s big move is big news. It’s also a big mystery. As discussed at some
Who’s Winning The 2024 Flows Race?
2024’s on track to be a banner year for money market fund inflows. But you
Money Market Fund Assets Surge Back To Record High
Money market funds snapped a “streak” of redemptions in the week to April 3. Emphatically.
Not Cutting It?
The Fed may not cut rates this year. So intimated Neel Kashkari on Thursday, when
Immigration, Inflation And R-Star
Walling off America to immigrants is a bad idea. Unless you’re a Native American in
Tesla Delivers A Buzz Kill
Reluctant as I am to chase Tesla headlines, I’m compelled to mention the company’s delivery
Another ‘Since The Dot-Com Bubble’ Stat
If you had to pick just one word to describe the US equity market in
US Equities Return To Inflows While Money Market AUM Drops Second Week
The equities flows seesaw continued over the latest weekly reporting period. US-stock focused ETFs and
High Rollers
In “Will Fed Hikes Catch Up To Corporates After All?” I wondered if the much-discussed
Why US Bond Yields Should Be Far Lower
Bond yields should be higher. It’s easy to make the case. I do it all
5% Versus FOMO
Will there or won’t there be a rotation out of money market funds and into
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