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Category: bonds
There Is No ‘Value’ Here, So Just Stop It.
Common sense ain’t so common.
A Truly Taxing Day.
Thursday, bloody Thursday.
False Start.
15 yards…
Just One Question As The Bond Rout Continues: When’s The Tantrum In Stocks?
Ok, so the setup is definitely in place…
Two Hundred And Seventeen Years.
Wouldn’t it be super-fun if someone looked at bonds and equities from 15 DM countries going back 217 years and then made an equally weighted index to find out how expensive things really are versus history?Â
‘A Big, Huge, Alaskan Grizzly Bond Bear’ Finds A New Trade
“I am a big, huge, Alaskan Peninsular grizzly of a bear when it comes to fixed income, but sometimes I need to find ways to express that view without just putting it all on the dark side.”
The Dog Days: July In Charts
The dog days are here…
A Dovish Fed Day In Charts
So “dovish” it was, or at least “dovish” was the market’s read on the Fed
Stocks Fly To Records, Global Risk Rally Continues As Bad Data, ‘Good’ Yellen Keep Hope Alive
The message is loud and fucking clear: the vol. seller’s/ carry trader’s paradise and the risk party that’s made every homegamer with some SPY and QQQ look like a guru for the past eight years depends on DM central bankers staying some modicum of dovish. And on that score, bad data helps.
Stocks Surge On ‘Good Cop’ Yellen; Trader Makes ‘Unprecedented’ $10 Million Bond Bet
Well, the message from Yellen was heard loud and clear and amusingly, so was the
‘Beware Global Tapering’: Behold The ‘Safe Bond Supply Shock’
What effect will Fed balance sheet normalization have on Treasury yields? That’s quickly becoming something
And God Said “Let There Be Data: And There Was Data.”
It’s Friday and God said, “let there be data: and there was data.” Let’s start
A Better Way To Short The Bond Market
“This morning I have decided to write about US swap spreads. I know, you are already reaching for the delete key, but wait”…
Yo, They’re Selling The Shit Out Of Some Government Bonds
Yeah, so the cacophony of hawkish commentary from central bankers has triggered a global selloff
Guest Post: The Reverse Tepper Moment
“In the current environment, we have the opposite situation. Either the economy rolls over (which should be bad for stocks), or it bounces, at which point the Federal Reserve continues on its tightening path (which could also be bad for stocks).”
Albert Edwards Wins 14th Straight Award, Leaves Haters Salty, Makes Dire Prediction
“If this is, as we strongly believe, an aberration and the equity yield reconnects with the red dotted arrow, then investors should be petrified of the next equity bear market.”
“How Long Will Financial Assets March Higher?” BofAML Has A Simple Answer
I’ve got a question for you on Sunday. Here it is: are you someone who
You Hate That Giant Equity Position Right? Well Hedge It With Bonds And “Hope To Lose Money”
“People love the Plunge Protection Team conspiracy theory when looking at equities. Well that’s exactly what is happening in bonds, right out in the open.”
The Air Conditioning Is Broken, So Sell Stocks, Buy Bonds
Were you looking for an excuse to move out of nosebleed equities and into something
Synchronized Swimming (We’ve Only Seen This Once Since 2004)
“2017 is on track to be the first year of synchronized equity inflows to all major region funds since 2004.”
Sunday Chart Check: “Diversification”
“The market value of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond vs. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF hit a 3-year low in March 2017.”
Chart Of The Day: (No) Go With The Flow
“Flows across the asset classes we track have slowed down to the lowest level since late 2015.”
Bentley Mulsannes, Vespers, And Useless Projections
I will never understand investors’ fascination with people who make predictions. By extension, I will
“Short Of A Lifetime” Back On?
“I’m not entirely sure how sustainable this is.”
Think The Great Bond Bull Market Is Dead? Not So Fast
Old bulls, like old habits, die hard.

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