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Category: bonds

Wilbur Ross Highly Suspicious Of This Yield Curve ‘Formula’ Everyone Is Talking About

August 14, 2019

“You’re good at that stuff too”.

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3 Comments on Wilbur Ross Highly Suspicious Of This Yield Curve ‘Formula’ Everyone Is Talking About

After Wednesday’s Doomsday Inversions, What’s Next For The Yield Curve?

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

Crystal ball gazing via a trio of possible scenarios.

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US, UK Curves Invert, 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Record Low Amid Growth Panic

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

The bad vibes are proliferating.

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1 Comment on US, UK Curves Invert, 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Record Low Amid Growth Panic

Closely-Watched Fund Manager Survey Is All Bonds, Tariffs And Recession Risk In August

August 13, 2019

“[The] onus is on the Fed, ECB and PBoC to restore animal spirits”.

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Jay ‘Behind-The-Curve’ Powell, And Why The Fed May Have To Start ‘Outright QE’

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

For the embattled Fed chair, no rest for the weary.

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2 Comments on Jay ‘Behind-The-Curve’ Powell, And Why The Fed May Have To Start ‘Outright QE’

‘Goldilocks’ Has Left The Building – Again

August 13, 2019

Bad news is just bad. And cross-asset returns since the latest tariff escalation reflect as much.

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4 Comments on ‘Goldilocks’ Has Left The Building – Again

A Tale Of Two Century Bonds

August 12, 2019August 13, 2019

What a time to be alive.

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2 Comments on A Tale Of Two Century Bonds

Monday, Bloody Monday On Wall Street Amid Argentina Crisis, Relentless Safe-Haven Bid

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

Risk-off from start to finish.

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4 Comments on Monday, Bloody Monday On Wall Street Amid Argentina Crisis, Relentless Safe-Haven Bid

4 Reasons Why One Bank Thinks A ‘Quick, Major Comeback’ For Stocks Is Unlikely

August 11, 2019August 11, 2019

Maybe later, but not now.

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1 Comment on 4 Reasons Why One Bank Thinks A ‘Quick, Major Comeback’ For Stocks Is Unlikely

If Central Banks Fail, Here’s What One Bank’s Clients Will Be Buying

August 10, 2019August 11, 2019

What do you buy if “quantitative failure” comes calling?

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11 Comments on If Central Banks Fail, Here’s What One Bank’s Clients Will Be Buying

The Simple Reason Why The S&P Is Just 3.5% From Record Highs (And Why Gold Is Surging)

August 10, 2019August 10, 2019

Despite the unwelcome turmoil and surging safe havens, stocks are resilient.

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13 Comments on The Simple Reason Why The S&P Is Just 3.513 From Record Highs (And Why Gold Is Surging)

August Market Turmoil Proves ‘Bad News Is Good News’ Trading Philosophy Has Limits

August 9, 2019August 10, 2019

Perverse dynamics only persist until their inherent contradiction is exposed.

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3 Comments on August Market Turmoil Proves ‘Bad News Is Good News’ Trading Philosophy Has Limits

Bond Infatuation Nears Record Extreme As Duration Obsession Hits Escape Velocity

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

For now, anyway, the exit from this self-fulfilling prophecy appears to be blocked.

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1 Comment on Bond Infatuation Nears Record Extreme As Duration Obsession Hits Escape Velocity

S&P’s Bloody Week Turns Green, Goldman Cools On Bond Rally And Hope Floats For Stable Yuan

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

Fingers crossed. “Thoughts and prayers”.

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2 Comments on S&P’s Bloody Week Turns Green, Goldman Cools On Bond Rally And Hope Floats For Stable Yuan

After Wall Street’s Biggest Comeback Of 2019, All Eyes Turn To The Chinese Yuan

August 7, 2019August 7, 2019

“Playing with fire”.

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5 Comments on After Wall Street’s Biggest Comeback Of 2019, All Eyes Turn To The Chinese Yuan

Pimco: ‘It’s No Longer Absurd To Think US Treasury Yields Could Go Negative’

August 7, 2019August 7, 2019

“US Treasuries – which many investors view as the ultimate ‘safe haven’ apart from gold – may be no exception”.

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2 Comments on Pimco: ‘It’s No Longer Absurd To Think US Treasury Yields Could Go Negative’

Key Section Of Yield Curve Crashes To 2007 Low Amid Biggest 5-Day Move In 10s In 8 Years

August 7, 2019August 7, 2019

To quote Sesame Street: “Wednesday was brought to you by the letter ‘R'”.

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3 Comments on Key Section Of Yield Curve Crashes To 2007 Low Amid Biggest 5-Day Move In 10s In 8 Years

Bloodbath Resumes On Wall Street As Bonds Presage ‘Armageddon’

August 7, 2019August 7, 2019

The selling wasn’t over.

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4 Comments on Bloodbath Resumes On Wall Street As Bonds Presage ‘Armageddon’

Yield Curve Screams Recession As Trump Screams At China

August 5, 2019

Mind the 2020 implications.

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1 Comment on Yield Curve Screams Recession As Trump Screams At China

Raging Rates And Bond Markets On The Boil

August 4, 2019August 4, 2019

To be sure, the situation is “fluid”.

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1 Comment on Raging Rates And Bond Markets On The Boil

Macro Tourist: Don’t Forget Stanley Druckenmiller’s QE Lessons

August 3, 2019August 3, 2019

You know what happens when you assume, right?

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1 Comment on Macro Tourist: Don’t Forget Stanley Druckenmiller’s QE Lessons

A Nightmare On Wall Street.

August 2, 2019August 3, 2019

The algos do not appreciate that kind of thing, Mr. President.

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oil2 Comments on A Nightmare On Wall Street.

Entire German Curve Goes Negative As Bond Yields Plunge On New Tariff Threat

August 2, 2019August 2, 2019

Bonds hardly needed another excuse to rally. 

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‘I’m Goin’ Long Tinfoil Hats’: Trump Tariff Broadside Triggers Massive Bond Rally

August 1, 2019August 1, 2019

“It sure looks like someone knew this was coming”.

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1 Comment on ‘I’m Goin’ Long Tinfoil Hats’: Trump Tariff Broadside Triggers Massive Bond Rally

Markets Have Moved From ‘Central Bank Put’ To ‘Mini-Goldilocks’. Now, The Risk Of Another Regime Shift Is Rising

July 24, 2019July 25, 2019

Even in a benign situation, a rotation could catch lopsided positioning woefully offsides.

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4 Comments on Markets Have Moved From ‘Central Bank Put’ To ‘Mini-Goldilocks’. Now, The Risk Of Another Regime Shift Is Rising

Nomura’s McElligott Returns, Talks ‘The Halcyon Cross-Asset Short Vol Trading Environment’

July 23, 2019

The market zeitgeist is largely unchanged.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Returns, Talks ‘The Halcyon Cross-Asset Short Vol Trading Environment’

In Markets, Summer Melt-Up To Meltdown?

July 20, 2019July 21, 2019

You can hardly blame anyone who’s nervous

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6 Comments on In Markets, Summer Melt-Up To Meltdown?

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