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Category: bonds

Macro Tourist: The Simple Reason Yield Curve Control Isn’t Coming To The US

September 3, 2019September 3, 2019

Pegging the yield curve will be the last step they take.

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5 Comments on Macro Tourist: The Simple Reason Yield Curve Control Isn’t Coming To The US

The Real Risk For Markets: The Bond Bubble Bursts

September 2, 2019September 3, 2019

“[A] disorderly rise of interest rates could cause Wall St deleveraging… and a Main St recession”.

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6 Comments on The Real Risk For Markets: The Bond Bubble Bursts

Markets Just Witnessed The Best Month For US Government Bond Returns Since 2008 – What Now?

August 31, 2019

Congrats are in order for anyone who bet on a continuation of this year’s rally.

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1 Comment on Markets Just Witnessed The Best Month For US Government Bond Returns Since 2008 – What Now?

Ray Dalio’s Flagship Fund Wrong-Footed By Rates Bets, Falls 6%: Report

August 29, 2019August 29, 2019

According to a source, Pure Alpha isn’t the only Bridgewater fund that’s struggling.

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9 Comments on Ray Dalio’s Flagship Fund Wrong-Footed By Rates Bets, Falls 69: Report

The 2s10s Is ‘Crazy Inverted’ Again, But This Is The Slope That Matters Most…

August 27, 2019August 27, 2019

“It dominates all other curves we checked in its power to predict”.

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4 Comments on The 2s10s Is ‘Crazy Inverted’ Again, But This Is The Slope That Matters Most…

Have The Anticipated Rebalancing Flows Kicked In? Nomura’s McElligott Says Maybe

August 27, 2019August 27, 2019

The performance gap for August ranks in the 7th %ile since 1982.

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2 Comments on Have The Anticipated Rebalancing Flows Kicked In? Nomura’s McElligott Says Maybe

-4% Rates By 2030? Only One Thing Can Save Us From Being Snowbound In Albert Edwards’s ‘Ice Age’ Thesis

August 26, 2019August 27, 2019

Maybe he’ll teach us how to ice fish.

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6 Comments on -46 Rates By 2030? Only One Thing Can Save Us From Being Snowbound In Albert Edwards’s ‘Ice Age’ Thesis

Trade ‘Déjà Vu’ May Send 10-Year US Yields To All-Time Lows, Goldman Says

August 25, 2019August 25, 2019

The bond rally may have new life.

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In Twilight Zone Markets, Bonds Are Stocks And Liabilities Are Assets

August 24, 2019November 19, 2020

“This has been no ordinary episode of reaching for yield by investors”, BofA’s Barnaby Martin

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Markets Brace As Fed Hawks Raise Stakes In Jackson Hole

August 22, 2019August 23, 2019

Surely he wouldn’t risk it – or would he?

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11 Comments on Markets Brace As Fed Hawks Raise Stakes In Jackson Hole

Albert Edwards: This Isn’t A ‘Bond Bubble’, It’s ‘The Next Phase Of The Ice Age’

August 22, 2019August 22, 2019

For Edwards, there is nothing surprising about any of this.

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Did The Bond Bubble Just Quietly Pop?

August 21, 2019August 22, 2019

Perhaps – just perhaps – the “failed” German 30-year sale was the canary in the coal mine

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7 Comments on Did The Bond Bubble Just Quietly Pop?

Trump Should Envy Germany’s Fiscal Discipline, Not Europe’s Monetary Freak Show

August 21, 2019August 21, 2019

The self-declared “king of debt” doesn’t want to pay any interest.

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6 Comments on Trump Should Envy Germany’s Fiscal Discipline, Not Europe’s Monetary Freak Show

Germany Makes History With ‘Failed’ Zero Coupon 30-Year Sale

August 21, 2019August 21, 2019

Bondmania.

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1 Comment on Germany Makes History With ‘Failed’ Zero Coupon 30-Year Sale

As US Stocks Snap Win Streak, Hope And Caution Duel In Summer Heat

August 20, 2019August 20, 2019

Peering through the haze towards Jackson Hole.

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4 Comments on As US Stocks Snap Win Streak, Hope And Caution Duel In Summer Heat

The Truth Behind Plunging Bond Yields: Largest Convexity Hedging Flow Since 2008 And Retreating HFTs

August 20, 2019August 20, 2019

Self-feeding loops and modern market microstructure as gasoline on the fire.

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1 Comment on The Truth Behind Plunging Bond Yields: Largest Convexity Hedging Flow Since 2008 And Retreating HFTs

So Much For ‘Regular And Predictable’: What Treasury’s 50-, 100-Year Bond Outreach Means

August 19, 2019

A “bias to proceed”.

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2 Comments on So Much For ‘Regular And Predictable’: What Treasury’s 50-, 100-Year Bond Outreach Means

Nomura’s McElligott Sees Local ‘Vol-Killers’, Tailwinds For Near-Term ‘Crash-Up’

August 19, 2019

“Here we are now, with all of this ‘crash’ now increasingly likely to ‘bleed out'”.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Sees Local ‘Vol-Killers’, Tailwinds For Near-Term ‘Crash-Up’

Stocks And Bonds Diverged In A Yellow Wood, And Sorry I Could Not Travel Both

August 16, 2019August 17, 2019

Is past performance indicative of future results?

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4 Comments on Stocks And Bonds Diverged In A Yellow Wood, And Sorry I Could Not Travel Both

Argentina Has A Century Bond, Why Not Us?, Is What Treasury Wants To Know

August 16, 2019August 16, 2019

Then again, it’s going great for Austria.

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1 Comment on Argentina Has A Century Bond, Why Not Us?, Is What Treasury Wants To Know

‘We Have Not Been Bullish Enough’: Misery, Redux

August 16, 2019August 16, 2019

“We have been consistently surprised negatively”.

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6 Comments on ‘We Have Not Been Bullish Enough’: Misery, Redux

New Zealand’s 10-Year Yield Dives Below 1% For First Time As Manufacturing Gauge Sinks Into Contraction

August 15, 2019August 15, 2019

Don’t look now, but…

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As 10-Year US Yield Dives Below 1.50%, One Measure Shows Investors Most Worried In 30 Years

August 15, 2019August 15, 2019

Don’t panic.

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1 Comment on As 10-Year US Yield Dives Below 1.50%, One Measure Shows Investors Most Worried In 30 Years

Unstoppable Bond Rally Powers Forward As Yields Hit New Lows In US, Germany

August 15, 2019

The “policy impotence” trade is here.

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1 Comment on Unstoppable Bond Rally Powers Forward As Yields Hit New Lows In US, Germany

#TrumpRecession, CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

“We will Win”!

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12 Comments on #TrumpRecession, CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!

‘Monetary Stupidity Reigns’: Macro Tourist Delivers Epic Rant Amid Panic Bond Rally

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

“The German government is getting paid to spend and yet they refuse to spend”.

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8 Comments on ‘Monetary Stupidity Reigns’: Macro Tourist Delivers Epic Rant Amid Panic Bond Rally

Limit-Up! Long Bond Futures Tripped Circuit Breaker During ‘Crazy’ Wednesday Rally

August 14, 2019

The fun never stops.

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3 Comments on Limit-Up! Long Bond Futures Tripped Circuit Breaker During ‘Crazy’ Wednesday Rally

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