How crazy was the action in the bond market on Wednesday morning when the 2s10s inverted and 30-year yields hit record lows?
Well, that depends on your definition of “crazy”, I suppose, but it’s worth noting that ultra-long futures tripped the extended hours circuit-breaker after rallying three points off the Tuesday close.
The halt came just after 7:30 AM in New York, and was flagged by Bloomberg’s Edward Bolingbroke.
“It certainly helps explain some of the crazy price action”, Bolingbroke remarked, in the course of wondering if stops were triggered.
The record low for 30-year yields was 2.014%. We’ve cheapened a bit since then to ~2.04%. In order to trip the regular hours circuit breaker, yields would need to trade all the way down to 1.90%.
Who knows, we may get there – as alluded to above, nothing seems “crazy” anymore. Especially not in illiquid markets.