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Author: therealheisenberg

‘About Us, Without Us’

February 18, 2025February 19, 2025

Donald Trump has a… let’s call it “complicated” relationship with Volodymyr Zelensky’s Ukraine. Trump’s a

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31 Comments on ‘About Us, Without Us’

Gold’s Best Rally In Years Puts ‘Fringe Idea’ In Trump’s Lap

February 17, 2025February 19, 2025

Gold. What can you say about it? It looks like the sun. So… maybe it’s

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18 Comments on Gold’s Best Rally In Years Puts ‘Fringe Idea’ In Trump’s Lap

China’s Tech Moguls Got Sent For

February 17, 2025February 18, 2025

Xi Jinping unironically promised to remove “all kinds of obstacles” to private enterprises during his

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3 Comments on China’s Tech Moguls Got Sent For

All Quiet On The Macro Front?

February 16, 2025February 18, 2025

It’ll be a slow week in the US, or at least for macro watchers. The

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1 Comment on All Quiet On The Macro Front?

‘Trump 2.0’: Corr 1 Shock Or Stock-Picker’s Paradise?

February 16, 2025February 17, 2025

Since 2023, we’ve lived in a micro-driven market, which is to say if you decompose

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2 Comments on ‘Trump 2.0’: Corr 1 Shock Or Stock-Picker’s Paradise?

America’s Betrayal Of Ukraine Is An Existential Gamble

February 16, 2025February 18, 2025

Call me an alarmist if you must, but I’m not sure Donald Trump and his

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17 Comments on America’s Betrayal Of Ukraine Is An Existential Gamble

FAIT Accompli

February 15, 2025February 17, 2025

The cure for high prices is supposed to be high prices. The logic’s sound: If

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2 Comments on FAIT Accompli

Buy Europe? Traders Think The Unthinkable Amid Ukraine ‘Peace’ Talks

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

They’re buying what? It’s been so long since anyone bought European stocks that you’d be

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13 Comments on Buy Europe? Traders Think The Unthinkable Amid Ukraine ‘Peace’ Talks

Sorry, Ukraine. We’re Cowards Over Here Now

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

The saving grace for humanity may be that he’s old. I’m not talking about Donald

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20 Comments on Sorry, Ukraine. We’re Cowards Over Here Now

Don’t Look Now, But The Incorrigible American Consumer Just Tapped Out

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

Did the US consumer just crack? I’ve asked that I don’t know how many times

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12 Comments on Don’t Look Now, But The Incorrigible American Consumer Just Tapped Out

Behold: The Dawn Of A New Chinese Tech Bull?

February 14, 2025February 15, 2025

Don’t look now, but big Chinese tech’s in a bull market. After falling more than

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6 Comments on Behold: The Dawn Of A New Chinese Tech Bull?

Record Retail Dip-Buying Won’t Last, Popular Strategist Cautions

February 13, 2025February 13, 2025

So far in 2025, the retail crowd’s buying every dip. That’s according to Goldman’s Scott

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Leave a Comment on Record Retail Dip-Buying Won’t Last, Popular Strategist Cautions

Who’s Sticking Around For The Crash?

February 13, 2025February 14, 2025

Maybe you noticed, maybe you didn’t, but these last three weeks were “perhaps the best

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4 Comments on Who’s Sticking Around For The Crash?

President Orban

February 13, 2025February 14, 2025

I’ll concede to being grimly amused by Donald Trump again, and that’s probably a mistake.

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6 Comments on President Orban

Don’t Buy The Spin: The US PPI Release Was More Bad News

February 13, 2025February 14, 2025

A day on from a disconcertingly warm CPI report which prompted traders to price out

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Leave a Comment on Don’t Buy The Spin: The US PPI Release Was More Bad News

Fed Policy’s Not Restrictive No Matter How Many Times Powell Says Otherwise

February 12, 2025February 12, 2025

I don’t love this talking point, and even if I did, it feels exhausted by

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1 Comment on Fed Policy’s Not Restrictive No Matter How Many Times Powell Says Otherwise

Neville Chamberlain

February 12, 2025February 14, 2025

With very few exceptions — mobsters, warlords, Xi Jinping, Kim Jong-Un, Bashar al-Assad, Ramzan Kadyrov

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9 Comments on Neville Chamberlain

Market Exposed To Left-Tail Shock Amid Reflation Zeitgeist Crowding

February 12, 2025February 13, 2025

Needless to say, macro watchers — which is very often a polite euphemism for economists,

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1 Comment on Market Exposed To Left-Tail Shock Amid Reflation Zeitgeist Crowding

Trump Ready To ‘Rock And Roll!!!’ Wants Fed To Sing Along

February 12, 2025February 13, 2025

Donald Trump’s ready to “rock and roll” and he’d very much appreciate it if Jerome

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9 Comments on Trump Ready To ‘Rock And Roll!!!’ Wants Fed To Sing Along

Disaster Strikes In God-Awful US CPI Report

February 12, 2025February 13, 2025

Oh no! Houston, we have a problem! Consumer price growth across the world’s largest economy

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13 Comments on Disaster Strikes In God-Awful US CPI Report

Too Many Circles To Square

February 11, 2025February 12, 2025

A key question as Donald Trump squeezes into his “Tariff Man” leotard in the service

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3 Comments on Too Many Circles To Square

‘Super Obvious’

February 11, 2025February 12, 2025

The idea of cutting five (or whatever number) regulations for every new one adopted sounds

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14 Comments on ‘Super Obvious’

Stoic, For Now

February 11, 2025February 12, 2025

The Fed’s on hold until June most probably. And Jerome Powell wants no part of

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3 Comments on Stoic, For Now

If You Ain’t First…

February 11, 2025February 12, 2025

Another day, another deluge of tariff headlines. I’d describe Donald Trump’s aversion to trade imbalances

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14 Comments on If You Ain’t First…

Donald Trump Is World’s Only Hope To Stop Elon Musk

February 10, 2025February 11, 2025

If you asked me last week what’s more dangerous than Elon Musk exercising what, on

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8 Comments on Donald Trump Is World’s Only Hope To Stop Elon Musk

‘Big History’ Spotted In Gold’s Bull Run

February 10, 2025February 11, 2025

Atahualpa’s downfall is runnin,’ dammit. That’s a morbid gold rally joke. I’ve used it before.

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7 Comments on ‘Big History’ Spotted In Gold’s Bull Run

For The First Time In Years, Big Tech Fails To Top Wall Street Sales Estimates

February 10, 2025February 11, 2025

With the (not insignificant) caveat that Nvidia’s yet to report, the handful of US companies

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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