Boy I gotta tell you, the bar is pretty f*cking low these days. Going into
Author: therealheisenberg
Markets Relieved After Trump/Abe Meeting, Reflation Narrative Intact
Well, it was all aboard the reflation train right out of the gate in early
Key Calls (Monday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
Are your stocks on the list?
The French Connection
With French election risk front and center, and having spent what is probably an inordinate
Bad Chinese
By now, you’re probably aware that China is in a tough spot. As I’m fond
“This Time, The Experts Aren’t Exaggerating”: A Former Goldmanite’s Warning To Markets
“Both of these inferences are wrong. The risk of a President Le Pen is far lower than the ex ante risk of Brexit or President Trump was last year, but the consequence of her winning would be far worse.”
Chart Check Double Feature (Reflation Nation)
Time and again I’ve emphasized the importance of watching cross-asset correlations and positioning data as
This Is What BofAML’s Clients Are Most Concerned About…
Surprise, surprise…
Whatever You Do, “Don’t Ignore Him”: One Bank’s Advice On President Trump
“A weaker USD, lower yields, strong equities, low vol and strong EM suggest that markets do not expect US fiscal stimulus this year, but also do not expect trade protection. We strongly disagree”…
Asleep At The Wheel: “Clients Are Asking If Our Models Are Updating Properly”
Assuming this “asleep at the wheel” dynamic can’t persist for much longer, spreads have to either compress further or blow out. Which do you think is more likely?
This Is How Much A Stronger Dollar Hurts Multinationals
If you have multinational US corporate behemoths in your portfolio, you’re probably acutely aware of
Fitch Blasts Trump: He’s “A Risk To International Economic Conditions”
In a further testament to the impact the resurrection of nationalism will likely have on markets, Fitch was out Friday warning that Trump’s policies could well prove catastrophic for the rest of the world.
“They’re Stealing Our Jobs!”: Populism And False Prophets
What they’re really doing is grabbing power for themselves and taking advantage of “the people” who, thanks to a number of factors, are vulnerable to manipulation. They are false prophets.
Chart Check (Behind The Curve)
As usual…
You Are Being Politically Exploited
“While globalisation is by no means the only factor behind the increase in inequality, it is easy to exploit politically”…
An Eerie Parallel
“This ‘treading water’ spread action for the credit market is in pretty sharp contrast to an equity market that has been rallying to new all time highs”…
Here Are The “Single Most Important Questions” For America’s Banks
“‘There’s nobody better to tell me about Dodd-Frank than Jamie,’ Mr. Trump said, presumably meaning that there was nobody better to help him dismantle Dodd-Frank than Jamie.”
Record Treasury Short Trimmed For Fourth Straight Week, Trump Weighs On Dollar Longs
As you’re probably aware – and if you’re not, you should make yourself aware –
Goldman Says Clients Still Buying This Bulls*t – For Now
Well it’s that time of the week again. That time when Goldman reveals the second, third, and fourth, most asked questions from client meetings. I say “second, third, and fourth” because you damn well know that the “first” question is this…
Chart Check (Eat Your OATs)
Take a bow populism…
How To Trade Rates In An “Event-Driven” Week
Earlier today I previewed Janet Yellen’s forthcoming Congressional testimony. Needless to say, that will be
Chart Check (It’s A Setup)
Danger Will Robinson…
Maybe Shinzo Abe Isn’t The Right Guy To Be Talking To About Making Stuff “Great Again”
Well, Donald Trump and Japanese PM Shinzo Abe held a joint news conference a couple of
Previewing A “Massacre”: A Look Ahead To Yellen’s Congressional Testimony
On Thursday, I brought you the latest commentary from SocGen’s incorrigible bear Albert Edwards who
Chart Check (A Subtle Reminder As The VIX Slumbers)
Late cycle problems…
Binky’s Bullets: Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Explains His S&P 2600 Call
Earlier this week, Bloomberg reported that Binky had summited Mount Siegel. That’s right, Deutsche Bank’s Binky Chadha is now officially the most bullish Wall Street strategist when it comes to the S&P, which he figures will hit 2600 by the end of the year.
US Stocks Eye Record-er-er Highs As Oil Soars, China Exports Jump, Trump Meets Abe
Friday is all about Trump again. More specifically, FX markets will be closely eyeing a meeting between the President and Japanese PM Shinzo Abe. Meanwhile, oil is buoyant Friday on the back of an IEA report showing OPEC has achieved a record 90% compliance while demand is on the rise.
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