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Author: therealheisenberg

Empathy For The Bedeviled

October 19, 2021October 21, 2021

Economists and policymakers have the luxury of spending their days debating the meaning of the

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15 Comments on Empathy For The Bedeviled

America’s Housing Conundrum Persisted In September

October 19, 2021November 17, 2021

Housing starts fell last month, data out Tuesday showed. Typically, I’d offer a one-sentence explanation,

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$1.3 Trillion Is Now Least Bullish In A Year, Key Survey Shows

October 19, 2021October 25, 2021

Investors are the least bullish in a year. That was the headline takeaway from the

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4 Comments on $1.3 Trillion Is Now Least Bullish In A Year, Key Survey Shows

Scary Stories

October 18, 2021October 19, 2021

Thank god for the flattener. Monday’s action in rates breathed life into what might have

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3 Comments on Scary Stories

‘Bad-flation’

October 18, 2021October 19, 2021

The bear flattening impulse seen across global bonds to start the week felt ominous. If

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7 Comments on ‘Bad-flation’

Buyback Comeback

October 18, 2021October 19, 2021

When it comes to equity demand, there’s no bid quite like the corporate bid. Buybacks

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1 Comment on Buyback Comeback

Rate Hike Threats, Surging Inflation Dominate Headlines

October 18, 2021October 19, 2021

Traders are increasingly convinced that surging prices will force central banks to tighten. And posthaste.

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7 Comments on Rate Hike Threats, Surging Inflation Dominate Headlines

Chinese Economy Decelerates Amid Crises

October 17, 2021October 25, 2021

The Chinese economy decelerated in the third quarter, data out Monday confirmed, validating a chorus

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4 Comments on Chinese Economy Decelerates Amid Crises

The Hard Truth About The Energy Crisis And Climate Change

October 17, 2021October 18, 2021

The data docket is relatively sparse in the US this week. Housing figures, claims and

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17 Comments on The Hard Truth About The Energy Crisis And Climate Change

Stock Allocations Breach Dot-Com Bubble Highs

October 17, 2021October 18, 2021

Overall equity allocations are at a record high. That probably won’t surprise anyone. After all,

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1 Comment on Stock Allocations Breach Dot-Com Bubble Highs

The Girl With The Black Lab

October 16, 2021October 18, 2021

Serendipity is a funny thing. The Merriam-Webster definition is “the faculty or phenomenon of finding valuable

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How To Make Sense Of Stocks In Modern Markets

October 16, 2021October 17, 2021

Earlier this month, at least one bank suggested dip-buying, as a strategy, failed following the

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16 Comments on How To Make Sense Of Stocks In Modern Markets

An $8 Trillion Cliff

October 15, 2021October 17, 2021

For now, the market is “cool with” policymakers being behind the curve on inflation. That

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2 Comments on An $8 Trillion Cliff

Honeymoon Over: Biden Economic Plan ‘Too Risky,’ Americans Reckon

October 15, 2021October 22, 2021

Consumer sentiment deteriorated anew in October, the preliminary read on the University of Michigan’s gauge

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7 Comments on Honeymoon Over: Biden Economic Plan ‘Too Risky,’ Americans Reckon

Goldman Caps Wall Street’s IB Bonanza With Huge Beats

October 15, 2021October 20, 2021

“What does this mean for Goldman?” That was the question on market participants’ minds this

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2 Comments on Goldman Caps Wall Street’s IB Bonanza With Huge Beats

Somehow, Americans Keep Spending

October 15, 2021October 18, 2021

US retail sales unexpectedly rose in September, data out Friday showed. Although economists expected to

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3 Comments on Somehow, Americans Keep Spending

Evergrande The ‘Controllable’ Demolition

October 15, 2021October 15, 2021

Beijing is aware of the problem. Thankfully, it’s “controllable.” That’s the word the PBoC used

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2 Comments on Evergrande The ‘Controllable’ Demolition

What’s Albert Edwards Worried About?

October 14, 2021October 15, 2021

The title is a bit of a red herring. If the question is “What’s Albert

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4 Comments on What’s Albert Edwards Worried About?

Wall Street’s Investment Bankers ‘Firing On All Cylinders’

October 14, 2021October 21, 2021

After a deluge of big bank earnings delivered over what certainly felt like a compressed

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5 Comments on Wall Street’s Investment Bankers ‘Firing On All Cylinders’

Breaching 300K

October 14, 2021October 18, 2021

Initial US jobless claims fell below 300,000 last week, a milestone of sorts. 293,000 Americans

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2 Comments on Breaching 300K

US Producer Price Growth Slows, But Clarity Not Forthcoming

October 14, 2021October 18, 2021

US producer prices rose less than expected in September, data out Thursday showed. The 0.5%

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Bank Of America Turns In Uncharacteristically Compelling Results

October 14, 2021October 14, 2021

Bank of America turned in what looked, on the surface anyway, like solid results Thursday.

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IEA Warns On Gas Crisis, Saudis Say Everyone Needs An OPEC

October 14, 2021October 14, 2021

The October vintage of the IEA’s oil market report grabbed headlines Thursday as the world’s

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2 Comments on IEA Warns On Gas Crisis, Saudis Say Everyone Needs An OPEC

Fed Effectively Announces November Taper. Nobody Cares

October 13, 2021October 18, 2021

The onset of the taper could begin as early as November. That was one takeaway

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2 Comments on Fed Effectively Announces November Taper. Nobody Cares

Fundamental Selloff Triggers

October 13, 2021October 14, 2021

“All-clear” isn’t quite right. In fact, it’s not right at all, really. A dizzying array

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1 Comment on Fundamental Selloff Triggers

Hearts, Minds And ‘Dirty Words’

October 13, 2021October 21, 2021

US consumer prices rose more than expected in September, data out Wednesday showed, but the

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6 Comments on Hearts, Minds And ‘Dirty Words’

JPMorgan Says Made Billions In Bunches. M&A Doing Great

October 13, 2021October 14, 2021

JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings with a top-line beat. Adjusted revenue for Q3 was

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8 Comments on JPMorgan Says Made Billions In Bunches. M&A Doing Great

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Monthly Letters

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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