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Author: therealheisenberg

Market Breadth Has Collapsed

December 12, 2021December 13, 2021

While marveling at the disproportionate performance burden shouldered by a handful of index heavyweights, BofA’s

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2 Comments on Market Breadth Has Collapsed

The Short Road To A Policy Error

December 12, 2021December 15, 2021

Jerome Powell may have officially “retired” the word “transitory” as a description of elevated inflation

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6 Comments on The Short Road To A Policy Error

The Infallible Dip-Buyers

December 11, 2021December 13, 2021

The latest swoon for US equities proved to be another opportunity. Once again, investors’ classical

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3 Comments on The Infallible Dip-Buyers

No, ‘Americans’ Didn’t Get $34 Trillion Richer During Pandemic

December 11, 2021January 23, 2022

Earlier this week, one widely-followed reporter at a mainstream financial media outlet took to Twitter

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9 Comments on No, ‘Americans’ Didn’t Get $34 Trillion Richer During Pandemic

‘Our Strategy Is Our Strategy’

December 10, 2021December 12, 2021

It’s time to sell the rips in tech. Hold that thought. “So, if you’ve never

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3 Comments on ‘Our Strategy Is Our Strategy’

Sentiment Survey Reveals Unprecedented Disparities

December 10, 2021December 12, 2021

Consumers’ expectations for inflation were unchanged in early December, the preliminary read on the University

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2 Comments on Sentiment Survey Reveals Unprecedented Disparities

‘The Fed Should Hike Next Week’

December 10, 2021December 11, 2021

The Fed “could” and “should” hike rates next week. That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett,

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3 Comments on ‘The Fed Should Hike Next Week’

Inflation Nation

December 10, 2021December 17, 2021

US inflation accelerated sharply in November, hotly-anticipated data out Friday showed. Headline CPI rose 6.8%

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2 Comments on Inflation Nation

Herd Behavior

December 10, 2021December 10, 2021

“You can’t ignore the policy signals,” Eddie Cheung, an EM strategist at Credit Agricole, said

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Leave a Comment on Herd Behavior

The Great Rotation Fascination

December 9, 2021December 11, 2021

I’ve variously characterized 2021 as a year during which thematic swings and factor reversals became

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1 Comment on The Great Rotation Fascination

What Marko Kolanovic Sees For 2022

December 9, 2021December 10, 2021

“Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an

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US Jobless Claims Plummet To New Half-Century Low

December 9, 2021December 11, 2021

Jobless claims dove again in the week to December 4, hitting a 52-year low for

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1 Comment on US Jobless Claims Plummet To New Half-Century Low

D-Day Arrives For Evergrande

December 9, 2021December 19, 2021

“There has been no announcement from the company or the trustee regarding the coupon payments

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2 Comments on D-Day Arrives For Evergrande

Mark It 5,200

December 8, 2021December 9, 2021

On the heels of a massive three-day rally on Wall Street, analysts are raising their

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4 Comments on Mark It 5,200

‘Great Resignation’ Rolls On As Americans Quit By The Millions

December 8, 2021December 25, 2021

The number of US job openings stood at 11 million on the last business day

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7 Comments on ‘Great Resignation’ Rolls On As Americans Quit By The Millions

How Broken Is The Vol Complex?

December 8, 2021December 9, 2021

I’ve talked at length over the past year about imbalances in the vol complex and

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3 Comments on How Broken Is The Vol Complex?

Pfizer Says Omicron ‘Neutralized’ By Three Doses In Lab Test

December 8, 2021December 12, 2021

With markets on tenterhooks for an update that passes for authoritative vis-à-vis the efficacy of

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15 Comments on Pfizer Says Omicron ‘Neutralized’ By Three Doses In Lab Test

‘Omicron-Like’ Emerges. UK Set For ‘Plan B’ Protocol

December 8, 2021December 9, 2021

Boris Johnson was poised to unveil a new round of COVID restrictions for England as

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2 Comments on ‘Omicron-Like’ Emerges. UK Set For ‘Plan B’ Protocol

S&P 5,000 By June (Or By Friday)

December 7, 2021December 9, 2021

The S&P has a date with 5,000 by… well, by the end of the week

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5 Comments on S&P 5,000 By June (Or By Friday)

‘Tangible Risks’ As ‘2018 Redux’ Worries Grow

December 7, 2021December 8, 2021

“It’s possible we won’t see the same pressure on the Fed to back off if

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2 Comments on ‘Tangible Risks’ As ‘2018 Redux’ Worries Grow

Searching For A Narrative

December 7, 2021December 8, 2021

US equities catapulted higher Tuesday, capping a mammoth two-day rally and putting the S&P on

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6 Comments on Searching For A Narrative

China Reaches Pain Threshold. Easing Cycle Seen Underway

December 7, 2021December 19, 2021

After spending the better part of a year engineering a series of overlapping crises in

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2 Comments on China Reaches Pain Threshold. Easing Cycle Seen Underway

China’s Export Machine Shows ‘No Signs Of Slowing’

December 7, 2021December 8, 2021

China’s economy may be beset with difficulties, but trade remains robust. Exports and imports both

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1 Comment on China’s Export Machine Shows ‘No Signs Of Slowing’

The ‘Blind Spot’: Traditional Portfolios’ Biggest Risk

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

What happens to the US equity market if macro volatility rises as a result of

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13 Comments on The ‘Blind Spot’: Traditional Portfolios’ Biggest Risk

Fed Put Re-Struck On ‘Tier 1 Political Hot Potato’

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

We’ve seen it before. The Fed pivots hawkish, only to recant in the face of

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2 Comments on Fed Put Re-Struck On ‘Tier 1 Political Hot Potato’

More Noise Than Signal

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

I’d call it a testament to rampant uncertainty, but it’s probably more accurate to say

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1 Comment on More Noise Than Signal

Evergrande, Alibaba Meltdowns Exemplify China’s Engineered Crisis

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

Another day, another selloff in Chinese tech shares. The Hang Seng Tech Index dove more

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4 Comments on Evergrande, Alibaba Meltdowns Exemplify China’s Engineered Crisis

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Monthly Letters

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