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Author: therealheisenberg

Kolanovic Calls For ‘Short Squeeze Rally’ Into Year-End

December 17, 2021January 1, 2022

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic sees something he hasn’t seen before. Namely, a paradoxical conjuncture that finds

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‘They Started Shooting The Generals’: All Eyes On Tech

December 17, 2021December 19, 2021

The post-Fed surge in big-cap US tech may have been more about mechanical flows than

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3 Comments on ‘They Started Shooting The Generals’: All Eyes On Tech

Stocks Collapse In Turkey As Lira Meltdown Sparks Panic

December 17, 2021December 21, 2021

A steep selloff in Turkish stocks tripped the Borsa Istanbul’s market-wide circuit breaker on Friday,

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2 Comments on Stocks Collapse In Turkey As Lira Meltdown Sparks Panic

As Clear As Mud

December 17, 2021December 18, 2021

Risk appetite was tepid Friday, as markets continued to assess the path forward after a

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4 Comments on As Clear As Mud

Goldman Sees Fed Liftoff In March, ‘Early’ Start To Balance Sheet Runoff

December 16, 2021December 25, 2021

It seems like just last month when Goldman pulled forward their forecast for the first

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2 Comments on Goldman Sees Fed Liftoff In March, ‘Early’ Start To Balance Sheet Runoff

Elusive Logic

December 16, 2021December 17, 2021

“If there’s logic, it’s of the elusive variety,” BMO’s Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery dryly

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McElligott Explains The Post-Fed Stock Rally

December 16, 2021December 17, 2021

In the immediate aftermath of the Fed’s hawkish pivot at 2021’s final policy meeting, I

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BOE Hikes Rates 24 Hours After COVID Cases Hit Record

December 16, 2021December 22, 2021

I’d say “better late than never,” but I’m not sure it’s applicable. The BoE surprised

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2 Comments on BOE Hikes Rates 24 Hours After COVID Cases Hit Record

ECB Gets Creative. Will Reduce Asset Purchases While Buying More Assets

December 16, 2021December 16, 2021

The ECB got right to the point in the statement accompanying the bank’s final policy

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2 Comments on ECB Gets Creative. Will Reduce Asset Purchases While Buying More Assets

Lira Bleeds Out As Erdogan Pushes Currency Into Abyss

December 16, 2021December 16, 2021

Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s adventures in obstinance continued on Thursday when, as expected, Turkey’s beholden central

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3 Comments on Lira Bleeds Out As Erdogan Pushes Currency Into Abyss

You’ve Got Questions, Powell’s Got (No) Answers

December 15, 2021December 21, 2021

Jerome Powell fumbled around in the dark on his way through the final post-FOMC press

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16 Comments on You’ve Got Questions, Powell’s Got (No) Answers

Powell Wins Plaudits For Buy-The-Fact Stock Rally

December 15, 2021December 16, 2021

US equities had their best “Fed day” in more than a year, even as Jerome

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4 Comments on Powell Wins Plaudits For Buy-The-Fact Stock Rally

Fed Bids ‘Transitory’ Adieu, Pulls Hikes Forward, Doubles Taper Pace

December 15, 2021December 21, 2021

It’s official. Inflation isn’t “transitory” anymore. Not that American consumers needed confirmation. And even if

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1 Comment on Fed Bids ‘Transitory’ Adieu, Pulls Hikes Forward, Doubles Taper Pace

Disappointing US Data Has Stagflation Vibe

December 15, 2021December 19, 2021

US retail sales rose far less than expected in November, data out Wednesday showed. The

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6 Comments on Disappointing US Data Has Stagflation Vibe

Is The Fed About To Become A Hawkish Outlier?

December 15, 2021December 15, 2021

Irrespective of any spin or successful needle-threading from Jerome Powell, there’s a chance the Fed

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A ‘Bad News Day’ For China Watchers

December 14, 2021December 19, 2021

Key data out Wednesday suggested the Chinese economy remained under pressure in November as property

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Fed Worries Prompt Cash Dash, Triggering Contrarian Buy Signal

December 14, 2021December 15, 2021

Expectations for higher short-term rates are the most elevated in three years, underscoring the perception

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McElligott On ‘Fatigue’ At A ‘Treacherous’ Juncture

December 14, 2021December 14, 2021

Fatigue is in the air as 2021 winds down and rates look to Wednesday as

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1 Comment on McElligott On ‘Fatigue’ At A ‘Treacherous’ Juncture

US Producer Price Inflation Nears Double-Digits

December 14, 2021December 20, 2021

US producer prices rose far more than expected in November, data out Tuesday showed. The

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2 Comments on US Producer Price Inflation Nears Double-Digits

Pfizer Confirms Pill Prevents Hospitalization. Investors Move On From COVID

December 14, 2021December 14, 2021

Hours after results from one of the first real-world studies of the Omicron variant’s capacity

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Pfizer Stops 70% Of Hospitalizations In Real-World Omicron Study

December 14, 2021December 20, 2021

One of the first major, real-world studies of the Omicron variant’s capacity to evade existing

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8 Comments on Pfizer Stops 708 Of Hospitalizations In Real-World Omicron Study

‘There’s Only One Risk That Matters’

December 13, 2021December 14, 2021

“Are you a buyer of dips?”, an anchor asked a guest, during a painfully generic

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4 Comments on ‘There’s Only One Risk That Matters’

‘Event’ Risk

December 13, 2021December 14, 2021

Most equity forecasts for 2022 are constructive. Even the “bearish” calls aren’t properly bearish. Morgan

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2 Comments on ‘Event’ Risk

Analysts, Investors Will Never Admit The Truth About Turkey

December 13, 2021December 19, 2021

Recep Tayyip Erdogan was back above the fold across mainstream financial media outlets on Monday.

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2 Comments on Analysts, Investors Will Never Admit The Truth About Turkey

Are Fed Critics Overcorrecting For Recency Bias?

December 13, 2021December 15, 2021

Nearly every media article about Fed policy and US inflation is a contradiction. Commentators and

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19 Comments on Are Fed Critics Overcorrecting For Recency Bias?

The QE Addiction Metaphor Revisited

December 12, 2021December 13, 2021

Debates about whether markets can “handle” a Fed tightening cycle and/or a reduction of the

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4 Comments on The QE Addiction Metaphor Revisited

Market Breadth Has Collapsed

December 12, 2021December 13, 2021

While marveling at the disproportionate performance burden shouldered by a handful of index heavyweights, BofA’s

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2 Comments on Market Breadth Has Collapsed

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