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Author: therealheisenberg

‘Yet Another Frame Of Reference’ Collapses Amid Fed Blitz

October 15, 2022October 16, 2022

The rapidity (perhaps “ferocity” is more apt at this juncture) of Fed hikes has markets

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6 Comments on ‘Yet Another Frame Of Reference’ Collapses Amid Fed Blitz

‘Foolproof’ 60/40 Has Worst Year In History. ‘Big Low’ Elusive

October 15, 2022October 24, 2022

Hope springs eternal, which is why, when US equities staged their fifth biggest intraday reversal

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9 Comments on ‘Foolproof’ 60/40 Has Worst Year In History. ‘Big Low’ Elusive

Dimon, Summers Warn Of More ‘Surprises,’ ‘Mines’ After Wild Week

October 14, 2022October 16, 2022

A wild week for markets closed on a decidedly dour note, as US equities fell

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6 Comments on Dimon, Summers Warn Of More ‘Surprises,’ ‘Mines’ After Wild Week

Investment Banking Not Dead, Just Resting

October 14, 2022October 15, 2022

On Friday, on the firm’s Q3 conference call, Morgan Stanley’s James Gorman described himself as

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2 Comments on Investment Banking Not Dead, Just Resting

Gas Prices And Hostile Royals

October 14, 2022October 14, 2022

Bad news. More of it. Consumer inflation expectations in the key University of Michigan survey

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12 Comments on Gas Prices And Hostile Royals

McElligott Explains ‘Stock Reversal For The Ages’

October 14, 2022October 15, 2022

Thursday’s reversal in US equities was one “for the ages,” as one mainstream media outlet

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16 Comments on McElligott Explains ‘Stock Reversal For The Ages’

‘You Have Asked Me To Stand Aside’: Kwarteng Sacked By Truss

October 14, 2022October 14, 2022

“I hope the PM doesn’t think the problem can be solved by getting rid of

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6 Comments on ‘You Have Asked Me To Stand Aside’: Kwarteng Sacked By Truss

Dimon Steers JPMorgan To Solid Quarter Despite Macro Storm

October 14, 2022October 20, 2022

“There are significant headwinds immediately in front of us,” Jamie Dimon said Friday, in remarks

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Bank Of England, Markets 1. Truss 0.

October 14, 2022October 17, 2022

Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey deserves plaudits. I guess. Earlier this week, while speaking

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3 Comments on Bank Of England, Markets 1. Truss 0.

US Retail Sales Ambiguous. Like Everything Else In 2022

October 14, 2022October 15, 2022

Retail sales in the US were flat in September, ambiguous data out Friday showed. Overall,

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Leave a Comment on US Retail Sales Ambiguous. Like Everything Else In 2022

‘Ample Tradable Opportunities’

October 13, 2022October 14, 2022

Plainly, something was “amiss” in equities on Thursday, although I’m not sure “amiss” is the

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9 Comments on ‘Ample Tradable Opportunities’

Fiscal Fold? Truss May Blink On Taxes After Market Crash

October 13, 2022October 14, 2022

Earlier this week, I wondered if the Bank of England might be attempting to enlist

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6 Comments on Fiscal Fold? Truss May Blink On Taxes After Market Crash

‘More Work To Do’

October 13, 2022October 14, 2022

Market participants weren’t amused with the hottest read on US core inflation in 40 years,

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4 Comments on ‘More Work To Do’

Hot Damn!

October 13, 2022October 18, 2022

Core US inflation rose more than expected in September, hotly anticipated data released on Thursday

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16 Comments on Hot Damn!

If It Could Go Wrong, It Has

October 13, 2022October 13, 2022

News flow has turned almost uniformly foreboding, which I suppose could be a precursor to

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6 Comments on If It Could Go Wrong, It Has

‘Test And Fail’: The Worst-Case Scenario

October 12, 2022October 13, 2022

Earlier this month, BofA’s global equity derivatives team warned of a “test and fail” of

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7 Comments on ‘Test And Fail’: The Worst-Case Scenario

US Inflation Unbowed As Producer Prices Accelerate

October 12, 2022October 13, 2022

Anyone hoping for signs of cooler inflation in the US (so, everyone), was disappointed Wednesday,

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5 Comments on US Inflation Unbowed As Producer Prices Accelerate

Total Chaos: UK Morphs Into Emerging Market

October 12, 2022October 14, 2022

The headlines around the UK’s ongoing economic crisis and attendant policy debacle were a sight

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1 Comment on Total Chaos: UK Morphs Into Emerging Market

Is The Bank Of England Playing 3D Chess With Liz Truss?

October 12, 2022October 13, 2022

More than a few observers suggested Andrew Bailey was either oblivious or crazy on Tuesday

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2 Comments on Is The Bank Of England Playing 3D Chess With Liz Truss?

Markets Are Sick. QT Is Dead

October 11, 2022October 12, 2022

“Signs of sickness are growing in markets,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Tuesday. It was a

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10 Comments on Markets Are Sick. QT Is Dead

SEC Comes Knocking At Bored Ape Yacht Club: Bloomberg

October 11, 2022October 12, 2022

Regular readers will fondly (or not) recall my three-month foray into Web3 and decentralized finance.

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5 Comments on SEC Comes Knocking At Bored Ape Yacht Club: Bloomberg

Breaking: Fed Goes Broke

October 11, 2022October 12, 2022

The people who control the money are broke! Fair warning: This is a heavy sarcasm

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4 Comments on Breaking: Fed Goes Broke

IMF Serves Up Lavish Banquet Of Doom

October 11, 2022October 19, 2022

It’s not lookin’ good. That’s the short version of the IMF’s new World Economic Outlook.

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9 Comments on IMF Serves Up Lavish Banquet Of Doom

UK ‘Mixes Uppers With Downers’ In Wild Policy Debacle

October 11, 2022October 11, 2022

A glaring policy disparity is emerging in the UK, and I don’t just mean between

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9 Comments on UK ‘Mixes Uppers With Downers’ In Wild Policy Debacle

Linker Madness Forces Bank Of England Further Down Rabbit Hole

October 11, 2022October 17, 2022

LDI funds in the UK “have made substantial progress” over the past week in addressing

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5 Comments on Linker Madness Forces Bank Of England Further Down Rabbit Hole

Dimon, Jones, Socrates And Wood

October 10, 2022October 11, 2022

Sometimes (ok, pretty much all of the time) I wonder whether we, as market participants,

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22 Comments on Dimon, Jones, Socrates And Wood

‘Unanimous? Really?’: Cathie Wood’s Open Letter To Jay Powell

October 10, 2022October 11, 2022

Regular readers have heard the story more times than most probably care to recall. I

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25 Comments on ‘Unanimous? Really?’: Cathie Wood’s Open Letter To Jay Powell

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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