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Author: therealheisenberg

The ‘Unstable Dynamics’ Behind Treasury ‘Scarefest’

October 21, 2022October 22, 2022

Ninon Bachet finally scored a prominent quote in a Bloomberg feature piece. When you peruse

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‘Disorderly’ Deposits, The ‘Main Trade’ And 2022’s ‘Great Irony’

October 21, 2022October 22, 2022

“We’re bearish despite ubiquitous bear sentiment,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett said, flatly. He’s adamant, that one.

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5 Comments on ‘Disorderly’ Deposits, The ‘Main Trade’ And 2022’s ‘Great Irony’

Ice-Nine

October 20, 2022October 21, 2022

I doubt this needs further emphasis, but just in case: Rates are the sponsor of

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14 Comments on Ice-Nine

An Itsy Bitsy Little Gully

October 20, 2022October 24, 2022

Sales of existing US homes were down almost 24% in September from the same period

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5 Comments on An Itsy Bitsy Little Gully

Six Astoundingly Ridiculous Weeks Later, Truss Walks Away

October 20, 2022October 25, 2022

Queen Elizabeth II reigned for seven decades. Liz Truss “reigned” for less than seven weeks.

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5 Comments on Six Astoundingly Ridiculous Weeks Later, Truss Walks Away

Got Inflation? Turkey’s Erdogan Has The Medicine!

October 20, 2022October 24, 2022

If you have an inflation problem (and who doesn’t these days, right?) Recep Tayyip Erdogan

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7 Comments on Got Inflation? Turkey’s Erdogan Has The Medicine!

Musk: Tesla Valuation Can Exceed Apple And Saudi Aramco ‘Combined’

October 20, 2022October 21, 2022

In “‘Super Bad Feelings’ About A ‘Strong-As-Hell’ Economy,” I referenced Elon Musk’s vague recession remarks

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5 Comments on Musk: Tesla Valuation Can Exceed Apple And Saudi Aramco ‘Combined’

‘The Big Boys Are Now Full-Tilt Day Traders’: McElligott Shocker

October 19, 2022October 28, 2022

On Wednesday afternoon, in response to a reader comment, I noted that although the impact

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17 Comments on ‘The Big Boys Are Now Full-Tilt Day Traders’: McElligott Shocker

Incantations

October 19, 2022October 20, 2022

2022’s great inflation debate divides economists and market observers into two distinct camps: Those who

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5 Comments on Incantations

‘Super Bad Feelings’ About A ‘Strong-As-Hell’ Economy

October 19, 2022October 24, 2022

Warnings about impending economic doom (or at least gloom) filled a headline void Wednesday. Jeff

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17 Comments on ‘Super Bad Feelings’ About A ‘Strong-As-Hell’ Economy

False Starts

October 19, 2022October 19, 2022

Market participants were treated to another mostly ambiguous read on housing starts and permits Wednesday.

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4 Comments on False Starts

As UK Prices Spiral, The Only Certainty Is Stagflation

October 19, 2022October 20, 2022

UK inflation is double digits. Again. For the second time this year, headline price growth

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4 Comments on As UK Prices Spiral, The Only Certainty Is Stagflation

The New Market Reality: ‘Each Day Is Its Own Ecosystem’

October 18, 2022October 19, 2022

Last week, following one of the most dramatic intraday reversals for US equities in history,

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2 Comments on The New Market Reality: ‘Each Day Is Its Own Ecosystem’

‘Schrödinger’s Economy’

October 18, 2022October 24, 2022

Headed into Q3 reporting season in the US, the narrative among many top-down strategists sounded

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7 Comments on ‘Schrödinger’s Economy’

‘Unhealthy, Unsustainable’: US Housing Recession Worsens Dramatically

October 18, 2022October 20, 2022

Homebuilder sentiment tumbled for a 10th consecutive month in October. In other words, sentiment has

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10 Comments on ‘Unhealthy, Unsustainable’: US Housing Recession Worsens Dramatically

$1 Trillion Now Most Bullish Long-Term Bonds Since 2008

October 18, 2022October 19, 2022

Fund managers have virtually never been this bullish on long-term bonds. Or at least not

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8 Comments on $1 Trillion Now Most Bullish Long-Term Bonds Since 2008

‘No Cuts, No Glory’: Policy Capitulation Seen By More Fund Managers

October 18, 2022October 18, 2022

As usual, BofA’s Michael Hartnett gets points for style. “No cuts, no glory,” read the

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3 Comments on ‘No Cuts, No Glory’: Policy Capitulation Seen By More Fund Managers

Goldman Says Made Lots Of Money. Will Reorganize To Make More

October 18, 2022October 22, 2022

As expected, Goldman unveiled a third reorganization in four years on Tuesday. Consistent with media

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Bad Calls, Worse Op-Eds And Terrible Ideas

October 18, 2022October 24, 2022

Sometimes it’s hard to know who’s serious and who’s just after some press these days.

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8 Comments on Bad Calls, Worse Op-Eds And Terrible Ideas

Dynamite Fishing

October 17, 2022October 18, 2022

Let’s get one thing straight: The selloff in UK bonds accelerated when Kwasi Kwarteng unveiled

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6 Comments on Dynamite Fishing

Goldman: This Is The Remix

October 17, 2022October 18, 2022

I’m sure consumer banking sounded like fun at Goldman, but it’s turned into a hassle.

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5 Comments on Goldman: This Is The Remix

Trussonomics Gets Stunning Coup De Grâce From Hunt

October 17, 2022October 23, 2022

It’s over. Trussonomics is dead. It lasted less than a month. On Monday, one business

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6 Comments on Trussonomics Gets Stunning Coup De Grâce From Hunt

All Things Considered, Bank Of America Doing Pretty Well

October 17, 2022October 18, 2022

US consumers “remained resilient” during the third quarter, Brian Moynihan said Monday, in remarks accompanying

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1 Comment on All Things Considered, Bank Of America Doing Pretty Well

Gilt Trip Looms For Panicked Markets

October 16, 2022October 17, 2022

Update: Trussonomics is dead. Jeremy Hunt on Monday effectively scrapped every key element of Liz

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3 Comments on Gilt Trip Looms For Panicked Markets

Fixer-Uppers

October 16, 2022October 17, 2022

US investors will get a reprieve from top-tier data in the new week, but likely

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10 Comments on Fixer-Uppers

The King’s Speech

October 16, 2022October 22, 2022

“The next five years will be crucial,” Xi Jinping said Sunday, opening the 20th National

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17 Comments on The King’s Speech

Preaching To A Choir Of Bears

October 15, 2022October 17, 2022

It almost feels gratuitous to keep making the case against US equities. It’s preaching to

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8 Comments on Preaching To A Choir Of Bears

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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