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Author: therealheisenberg

Chips Ahoy!

October 10, 2022October 19, 2022

Wars, wars everywhere. Lost in the macabre daily news flow out of Ukraine Monday was

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17 Comments on Chips Ahoy!

‘Mass Strikes’

October 10, 2022October 11, 2022

“Curtains flapped from inside the shattered windows of a high rise residential building,” Megan Specia

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16 Comments on ‘Mass Strikes’

Still Meeting Outside The Bunker. For Now

October 9, 2022October 10, 2022

For those weary of war and macro doomsaying, the week ahead will be an arduous

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13 Comments on Still Meeting Outside The Bunker. For Now

Earnings Season Is Here!

October 9, 2022October 10, 2022

Earnings season is upon us, and that’s not necessarily a good thing. The “profit reckoning”

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9 Comments on Earnings Season Is Here!

Plenty Of Pain. Still No Gain

October 9, 2022October 13, 2022

“Fed officials won’t relent on path to 4.5% and may move higher,” one headline declared

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10 Comments on Plenty Of Pain. Still No Gain

R** And The Funniest Thing You’ll Read All Week

October 8, 2022October 10, 2022

The topic du jour across markets and macro in October is the “breakage” discussion. Posed

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18 Comments on R** And The Funniest Thing You’ll Read All Week

Summers: It’s ‘Soul-Searching’ Time For Risky Economic Model

October 8, 2022October 14, 2022

Mary Daly’s protestations aside, the Fed knows that continuing to hike policy rates in large

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23 Comments on Summers: It’s ‘Soul-Searching’ Time For Risky Economic Model

Burning Bridges

October 8, 2022October 14, 2022

“Part of the crossing collapsed into the sea.” That’s a quote from voluminous Saturday coverage

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22 Comments on Burning Bridges

Locked In

October 7, 2022October 9, 2022

“Stocks crushed as jobs keep Fed on hiking path,” one Friday market wrap declared. US

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5 Comments on Locked In

75 Minutes To Midnight

October 7, 2022October 8, 2022

As you might imagine, the September jobs report was widely viewed as confirmatory for another

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4 Comments on 75 Minutes To Midnight

Investors Flee Screaming To Cash Amid ‘Armageddon’ Overhang

October 7, 2022October 8, 2022

Cash isn’t trash anymore. Maybe you noticed. Ray Dalio did. “As John Maynard Keynes is

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1 Comment on Investors Flee Screaming To Cash Amid ‘Armageddon’ Overhang

Good News Of The Bad Variety

October 7, 2022October 11, 2022

The US economy added more jobs than expected in September, while the unemployment rate moved

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7 Comments on Good News Of The Bad Variety

One Bear Is ‘So Tempted’ To Turn Contrarian Bull. Alas…

October 7, 2022October 7, 2022

It’s “so tempting to be a contrarian bull,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett said. After all, bonds

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7 Comments on One Bear Is ‘So Tempted’ To Turn Contrarian Bull. Alas…

‘Abundant, Wide’ Market Dislocations ‘Unlikely To Disappear’: Kocic

October 6, 2022October 7, 2022

These are unprecedented times. I’m immediately compelled to roll out two caveats that frustrate some

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4 Comments on ‘Abundant, Wide’ Market Dislocations ‘Unlikely To Disappear’: Kocic

Jeffrey Sachs And The Nord Stream: A Counter-Narrative Case Study

October 6, 2022October 7, 2022

I’ve long described my raison d’être in terms of the intersection between geopolitics and finance.

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22 Comments on Jeffrey Sachs And The Nord Stream: A Counter-Narrative Case Study

OPEC+ Output Cut: The Bigger Picture

October 6, 2022October 7, 2022

There’s most assuredly a tie in between the naked politicization of the world’s most financialized

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5 Comments on OPEC+ Output Cut: The Bigger Picture

US Believes Daria Dugina Assassinated By Ukrainians: NYT

October 5, 2022October 6, 2022

War is hell. Elements within the Ukrainian government might’ve been responsible for the August 20

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11 Comments on US Believes Daria Dugina Assassinated By Ukrainians: NYT

The OPEC Problem

October 5, 2022October 16, 2022

“Shortsighted.” That, in a word, is what the Biden White House thought of OPEC+’s move

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8 Comments on The OPEC Problem

Why Would The Bond Vigilantes Spare The Bank Of England?

October 5, 2022October 7, 2022

Since announcing an emergency bond market intervention last week to prevent the UK pension complex

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3 Comments on Why Would The Bond Vigilantes Spare The Bank Of England?

Resilient, Stubborn Or Stagflationary?

October 5, 2022October 5, 2022

US services sector activity was healthy in September, according to top-tier data released on Wednesday.

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Leave a Comment on Resilient, Stubborn Or Stagflationary?

The ‘Absolutely Staggering’ Flows Behind This Week’s Fireworks

October 5, 2022October 6, 2022

On Tuesday evening, while recapping the largest two-day gain for US shares since the tumultuous

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3 Comments on The ‘Absolutely Staggering’ Flows Behind This Week’s Fireworks

US Private Sector Added Some Jobs Last Month

October 5, 2022October 5, 2022

US private sector employers added 208,000 jobs in September, ADP said Wednesday. It felt, for

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3 Comments on US Private Sector Added Some Jobs Last Month

The New ‘Now’ Zeitgeist

October 5, 2022October 5, 2022

Policy pivot euphoria waned Wednesday, as investors and traders weighed persistent inflation and tough-talking central

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6 Comments on The New ‘Now’ Zeitgeist

$35 Trillion Was Enough (Pivot Point)

October 4, 2022October 5, 2022

A year ago last month, the Norges Bank became the first central bank to raise

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8 Comments on $35 Trillion Was Enough (Pivot Point)

Elon Musk Scales New Heights Of Ignominy

October 4, 2022October 11, 2022

Let me state this clearly: I have no desire to waste my time or yours

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13 Comments on Elon Musk Scales New Heights Of Ignominy

‘Soft Landing’ Narrative Gets Its Lazarus Moment

October 4, 2022October 9, 2022

Suddenly, the data is playing along. US job openings notched one of their largest monthly

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14 Comments on ‘Soft Landing’ Narrative Gets Its Lazarus Moment

Dalio Gives Up Running Bridgewater To Mentor The People Running It

October 4, 2022October 4, 2022

Ray Dalio “no longer has the final word” at Bridgewater. That’s a quote from co-Chief

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2 Comments on Dalio Gives Up Running Bridgewater To Mentor The People Running It

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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