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Author: therealheisenberg

Record 90% Of Fund Managers Say Inflation Has Peaked

December 13, 2022December 13, 2022

Global growth expectations might’ve bottomed this month among fund managers. That’s according to the December

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1 Comment on Record 90% Of Fund Managers Say Inflation Has Peaked

Samuel Bankman-Fried Is Under Arrest

December 12, 2022December 13, 2022

“Earlier this evening, Bahamian authorities arrested Samuel Bankman-Fried at the request of the US Government,”

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11 Comments on Samuel Bankman-Fried Is Under Arrest

Kolanovic Goes Underweight Stocks, Warns Of ‘Potential Risk Event’

December 12, 2022December 13, 2022

Late last month, JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic said that by this time next year, central banks

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Divergent Stock Outlook Reflects America’s Wealth, Education Divide

December 12, 2022December 13, 2022

Well-off Americans expect a Fed pivot. That’s one way to explain the widest disparity in

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2 Comments on Divergent Stock Outlook Reflects America’s Wealth, Education Divide

Americans Felt Better About Inflation Last Month, Fed Says

December 12, 2022December 12, 2022

Good news: Near-term consumer inflation expectations moderated significantly in November, according to the latest installment

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3 Comments on Americans Felt Better About Inflation Last Month, Fed Says

Recreating The Sun

December 12, 2022December 22, 2022

The holy grail was located near San Francisco. California-based scientists studying fusion energy at the

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17 Comments on Recreating The Sun

China’s ‘Giant Wave’

December 12, 2022December 19, 2022

“Official COVID case counts have been rendered meaningless.” So declared Bloomberg on Monday, in an

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7 Comments on China’s ‘Giant Wave’

Central Banks Set For 225 Basis Point Hiking Flourish

December 11, 2022December 12, 2022

The December FOMC meeting is the marquee event this week, but Jerome Powell won’t be

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Fed Finale: What To Expect From 2022’s Last Meeting

December 11, 2022December 14, 2022

This time last year, the Fed was busy disavowing “transitory” as a description of the

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4 Comments on Fed Finale: What To Expect From 2022’s Last Meeting

Is The Fed Trying Hard Enough?

December 10, 2022December 12, 2022

Rates aren’t high enough yet. If you like tautologies, that’s the best way to explain

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2 Comments on Is The Fed Trying Hard Enough?

JPMorgan Ponders ‘Armageddon’ Scenario

December 10, 2022December 19, 2022

“Pause is not enough.” That’s one of four possible macro scenarios included in JPMorgan’s 2023

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4 Comments on JPMorgan Ponders ‘Armageddon’ Scenario

Goldman’s Clients Fear ‘More Bearish’ 2023

December 10, 2022December 11, 2022

Goldman’s clients — some of them, at least — are more pessimistic about equities in

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1 Comment on Goldman’s Clients Fear ‘More Bearish’ 2023

Will The Fed Give Up On 2% Inflation?

December 9, 2022December 17, 2022

Fed officials have uniformly rejected the notion that it may ultimately be impossible to restore

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25 Comments on Will The Fed Give Up On 225 Inflation?

Upbeat. But Not Really

December 9, 2022December 11, 2022

The last of this week’s sparse US economic data was mercifully upbeat. Or as upbeat

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Cancel Your PPI Parties

December 9, 2022December 10, 2022

Cancel any weekend PPI parties you had planned. Producer prices in the US rose more

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‘Sell The Last Hike’

December 9, 2022December 15, 2022

It’s fair to say markets are obsessed with the idea that the last Fed hike

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2 Comments on ‘Sell The Last Hike’

Deflation In An Inflationary World

December 9, 2022December 10, 2022

“The spirits” were better Friday, as global equities attempted to trim this week’s losses ahead

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1 Comment on Deflation In An Inflationary World

‘The Spirits Are Down’

December 8, 2022December 10, 2022

A handful of headlines sounded promising on Thursday, but by and large, they belied recycled

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7 Comments on ‘The Spirits Are Down’

Trump, Bankman-Fried And OverDue Process

December 8, 2022December 9, 2022

The Sam Bankman-Fried saga poses a dilemma for me. It’s a similar dilemma to that

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12 Comments on Trump, Bankman-Fried And OverDue Process

A Healthy Dose Of Xi Jinping Hysteria

December 8, 2022December 17, 2022

Concerns around the rapid abandonment of strict pandemic control measures in China filled a news

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9 Comments on A Healthy Dose Of Xi Jinping Hysteria

‘Capitulation Events’ And ‘Nightmare Scenarios’

December 7, 2022December 8, 2022

The rates-driven, valuation compression stage of the bear market may be mostly behind us assuming

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5 Comments on ‘Capitulation Events’ And ‘Nightmare Scenarios’

Press Pause

December 7, 2022December 8, 2022

Rate hikes from developed market central banks continued on Wednesday. Admittedly, we might’ve passed the

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Goodbye ‘COVID Zero’

December 7, 2022December 13, 2022

China eased COVID restrictions on Wednesday. Again. Amid a rapid rollback of testing requirements across

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1 Comment on Goodbye ‘COVID Zero’

Warnock, Walker And A Nation Adrift

December 7, 2022December 13, 2022

“There’s no excuses in life,” Herschel Walker said late Tuesday, his penchant for poor grammar

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16 Comments on Warnock, Walker And A Nation Adrift

Smoke Signals And Fantasy Worlds

December 6, 2022December 7, 2022

The Fed is planning to hike rates beyond 5% in 2023 and company analysts are

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7 Comments on Smoke Signals And Fantasy Worlds

This Ain’t Over: Macro Discomfort Returns For The Holidays

December 6, 2022December 7, 2022

Muted markets and subdued sentiment looked more like visible discomfort by noon on Wall Street

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2 Comments on This Ain’t Over: Macro Discomfort Returns For The Holidays

Dimon On Crypto, Hurricanes And Cups ‘Runneth Over’

December 6, 2022December 13, 2022

Jamie Dimon has a lot on his mind. And Dimon’s mind isn’t something he’s shy

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Monthly Letters

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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