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Author: therealheisenberg

One Bank Sees 2019 Parallel Amid Sentiment, Positioning Overshoot

July 22, 2023July 24, 2023

If you’re wondering whether discretionary cohorts have continued to re-allocate and otherwise take up exposure

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Wall Street’s ‘Strategist Short Squeeze’ Goes Mainstream

July 21, 2023August 8, 2023

I have to hold my tongue sometimes. I’m immeasurably better at doing that now than

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6 Comments on Wall Street’s ‘Strategist Short Squeeze’ Goes Mainstream

McElligott Sees ‘Absolutely Remarkable US Growth Renaissance’

July 21, 2023July 23, 2023

Earlier this week, I noted that major Wall Street banks are beginning to speak as

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4 Comments on McElligott Sees ‘Absolutely Remarkable US Growth Renaissance’

A Contrarian Bearish Indicator

July 21, 2023

Looking for a contrarian bearish indicator? Stocks would probably work. US equities are up 20%

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The Fiscal Scapegoat

July 21, 2023July 22, 2023

Skepticism around the return of core inflation to central banks’ 2% target remains pervasive despite

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4 Comments on The Fiscal Scapegoat

Money Fund Assets Loiter Near Highs. RRP-Bill Transformation Proceeding Apace

July 20, 2023July 20, 2023

Money market funds returned to inflows in the week to July 19, a somewhat unexciting

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Midsummer Musings

July 20, 2023July 22, 2023

As is often the case during the summer months, the price action is dictating the

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Major Banks Suggest US Recession Pushed Out Indefinitely

July 20, 2023July 20, 2023

Has the world (or the US) dodged a recession? No. Another recession is always inevitable,

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Prices Near Records, Sales Slowest Since 2009 In Bizarre US Housing Market

July 20, 2023July 21, 2023

The US housing market is becoming entirely predictable. And yet, it’s still somewhat remarkable. That’s

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1 Comment on Prices Near Records, Sales Slowest Since 2009 In Bizarre US Housing Market

Is China Panicking Over Weak Yuan?

July 20, 2023July 21, 2023

The Chinese yuan — you know, the managed currency that’s going to supplant the currency

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1 Comment on Is China Panicking Over Weak Yuan?

Explaining The ‘Strangest’ Thing Albert Edwards Has Ever Seen

July 20, 2023August 8, 2023

SocGen’s Albert Edwards saw something this week he couldn’t believe. “Normally when interest rates rise,

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9 Comments on Explaining The ‘Strangest’ Thing Albert Edwards Has Ever Seen

Jobless Claims Fall, Philly Prices Spread Plunges To Most Negative Ever

July 20, 2023July 20, 2023

The US labor market isn’t cracking. Initial jobless claims fell to 228,000 in the week

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Fall, Philly Prices Spread Plunges To Most Negative Ever

Tesla, Netflix Mark Unofficial Start To Big US ‘Tech’ Earnings

July 19, 2023July 20, 2023

Wednesday marked the unofficial start of big “tech” earnings in the US, as Tesla and

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Was Q2 ‘As Bad As It Gets’ For Goldman?

July 19, 2023July 19, 2023

“Corporate activity and capital formation are core to our financial system,” David Solomon said Wednesday,

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Melting Up To 4700?

July 19, 2023

As you might’ve noticed, US equities are demonstrating an unshakable propensity to melt up into

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1 Comment on Melting Up To 4700?

Goldman Had An Interesting Quarter

July 19, 2023July 24, 2023

Headed into Q2 results Wednesday, it was just a matter of how bad Goldman’s report

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Spring Binge Building Gave US Home Construction A Hangover

July 19, 2023July 20, 2023

The boom in US home construction abated a bit in June, data released on Wednesday

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1 Comment on Spring Binge Building Gave US Home Construction A Hangover

In The UK, A Rare Glimmer Of Inflation Hope

July 19, 2023July 20, 2023

Believe it or not, the UK delivered some incrementally good news on inflation Wednesday. Consumer

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Pros Versus Amateurs

July 18, 2023July 18, 2023

Is there a sentiment disparity between professional and individual investors into the summer equity rally?

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$650 Billion Is Still Bearish. Sort Of.

July 18, 2023

For all the talk of a “FOMO”-driven equity rally, plain old fear is still more

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1 Comment on $650 Billion Is Still Bearish. Sort Of.

Donald Trump Is No Victim

July 18, 2023August 8, 2023

Donald Trump on Tuesday informed the 5.71 million unfortunate souls who wittingly subject themselves to

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9 Comments on Donald Trump Is No Victim

McElligott Flags Potential For ‘Very Large’ Vol Control Selling

July 18, 2023July 19, 2023

A consistent, reliable buyer of equities could morph into a seller going forward. And it

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3 Comments on McElligott Flags Potential For ‘Very Large’ Vol Control Selling

US Retail Sales Miss, But Control Group Doubles Estimates

July 18, 2023July 19, 2023

US retail sales rose less than expected in June, data out Tuesday showed. The figures,

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Upbeat Outlook Helps Offset Morgan Stanley’s ‘Meh’ Quarter

July 18, 2023July 19, 2023

Morgan Stanley delivered Q2 results that underwhelmed on Tuesday. The second quarter began with “subdued

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BofA Results Clear Bar. Trading Strong Again

July 18, 2023July 18, 2023

Big bank earnings continued to roll in on Tuesday, when Bank of America delivered a

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Worst-Case Liquidity Outcome Averted. But Risks Remain

July 17, 2023July 17, 2023

There’s still a ~$1 trillion question hanging over markets: How much Treasury issuance will ultimately

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JPMorgan Stays Bearish As Goldman Again Cuts US Recession Odds

July 17, 2023July 18, 2023

Goldman on Monday cut the subjective odds they assign to a US recession. Again. The

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