There were some questions earlier this week about what I dubbed a “crash-up blueprint 2.0.”
Author: therealheisenberg
‘Don’t Take Disinflation For Granted’: Two Charts And A Lot Of Words
Admittedly, the “risk of inflation re-acceleration” talking point is a bit tired by now. Over
Potential Market And Macro Surprises For 2024
This week, in honor of the late Byron Wien, BofA released a list of 10
War Drums Beat, War Headlines Bleat
“Wars are becoming existential, like it or not,” one opinion-section headline published on Wednesday declared.
‘WEN CRASH?’
“WEN CRASH?” one popular strategist asked on Tuesday, employing a crypto meme for comedic effect.
‘Boom, You’re Cooking With Grease’: A New Crash-Up Blueprint?
I’ve mentioned Lorie Logan three times in three days. Four times in four days if
It Was The Liquidity! It Always Is
It’s the liquidity! It always is. Last year was remarkable for a number of reasons,
Is This ‘The Calm Before The Profit Storm?’
“Forecasting is challenging,” SocGen’s Andrew Lapthorne wrote, in his latest. “Some would say impossible.” He’s
Blinken Pitches Israel ‘Real Opportunities’ Amid Gaza Devastation
Israel has “real opportunities” to build better relations with Arab countries, Antony Blinken imagined, out
Americans’ Credit Card Spending Soars, Inflation Expectations Plunge
A pair of third-tier US macro updates released on Monday were worth a quick mention
Kolanovic Still Cautious Amid ‘Overbought’ Markets, ‘Complacent’ Sentiment
The raucous rally in stocks and bonds to end 2023 left markets “overbought and sentiment
Macro-Stock Permutations For 2024
“With growth remaining subdued, the onus is on accommodative policy, ample liquidity and lower/contained interest
How Market Makers Cashed In On Jobs Day 0DTE Frenzy
It never gets old. Waking market participants up to what’s really going on behind the
Wilson: Lack Of ‘Forecast Dispersion’ Could Spell ‘High Variance’ In Asset Prices
I’ve avoided being this blunt until now, but here it is: It doesn’t make a
Israel Kills Hezbollah’s Wissam Al-Tawil In Significant Escalation
Israel picked off another top enemy commander on Monday, when Wissam Al-Tawil (stage name “Hajj
Revisiting America’s Institutional Credibility Crisis
Over and over again, I find myself revisiting the notion that America’s experiencing an acute,
Inflation Week To Bring More Evidence Of Fed’s Pyrrhic Victory
It’s inflation week in the US. Inflation data week, I mean. Every week is inflation
Where’s The Deep State When You Need It?
Saturday was insurrection day in America. The third anniversary of the redneck rebellion. All across
Delaying The Inevitable. Forever…
Equities and bonds meandered rudderless into the weekend following a spate of inconclusive data out
Mind SPX 4650
Why do selloffs accelerate? In modern markets, the answer to that question is very often
‘Key Services Sector Hiring Gauge Plunges!’ Is A Headline You’ll Probably Click
To the extent markets needed an “offset” for a hot NFP print and a commensurately
Annoyingly Noisy Jobs Beat Dents Case For March Fed Cut
Hiring accelerated across the world’s largest economy last month, the most important US jobs report
2024’s Most Important Market Events By Month
Just two things matter for asset prices, BofA’s Michael Hartnett reminded investors, in the first
MMF AUM Surges, RRP At 31-Month Low, Free Money Fed Arb Still Enticing
Money market funds took in more than $78 billion in the week to January 3,
It Was ISIS, In Iran, With The Explosive Belts
It was Colonel Mustard, in the library with the candlestick. In the immediate aftermath of
US Sends Abu Taqwa To Meet The General
Fire at will, apparently. A PMF leader was killed in Baghdad on Thursday, the latest
Janet Yellen, Not Jay Powell, Triggered Historic ‘Everything Rally’
What (or who) turned the tide nine weeks ago for markets? Put differently, what was
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