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Author: therealheisenberg

UK Inflation Rises, Burns Rate Cut Bets

January 17, 2024January 18, 2024

Bad news: UK inflation ticked up in December. Headline consumer prices rose 4% last month,

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Chinese Economy Is Giant Question Mark After Challenging Year

January 16, 2024February 8, 2024

Congratulations to Beijing. China hit its growth goal for 2023 despite Xi Jinping’s best efforts

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5 Comments on Chinese Economy Is Giant Question Mark After Challenging Year

Options-Selling ETF Trend Spreads To Single Stocks

January 16, 2024

A little over a month ago, I revisited a familiar, but slightly esoteric topic: Ballooning

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1 Comment on Options-Selling ETF Trend Spreads To Single Stocks

Stocks’ Interpretation Of Rate Cut Pricing May Lack Nuance

January 16, 2024January 16, 2024

Stocks’ interpretation of market pricing for Fed cuts in 2024 may lack sufficient nuance. That

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1 Comment on Stocks’ Interpretation Of Rate Cut Pricing May Lack Nuance

Bonds Upset By Waller’s ‘Careful’ Cuts

January 16, 2024January 17, 2024

There’s “no reason” the Fed should cut rates “as quickly or as rapidly as in

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2 Comments on Bonds Upset By Waller’s ‘Careful’ Cuts

$600 Billion Writes Off Recession

January 16, 2024January 17, 2024

And the biggest driver of equity prices in 2024 will be — drumroll — the

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2 Comments on $600 Billion Writes Off Recession

Wall Street Earnings Wrap Up With Goldman Reclaiming Equities Crown

January 16, 2024February 8, 2024

“We have a much stronger platform for 2024,” David Solomon said Tuesday, in remarks accompanying

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Zelensky Gets Thoughts And Prayers In Davos

January 16, 2024January 16, 2024

“I’m Jamie Dimon from JPMorgan Chase,” said Jamie Dimon, from JPMorgan Chase. “God bless you.”

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3 Comments on Zelensky Gets Thoughts And Prayers In Davos

New Houthi Attacks Leave US, UK With Few Options

January 15, 2024January 16, 2024

Following a round of airstrikes on Houthi targets and positions in Yemen last week, the

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1 Comment on New Houthi Attacks Leave US, UK With Few Options

The Loners

January 15, 2024December 30, 2024

Every night on my stroll home from nowhere I pass a warm-looking farm-to-table restaurant. It’s

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16 Comments on The Loners

Is China Out Of Ideas To Rescue Its Economy?

January 15, 2024January 16, 2024

China was supposed to cut rates on Monday. Consumer prices are flat in good months

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We’re All CTAs Now

January 14, 2024January 16, 2024

Over the years, and across countless articles, I’ve described the extent to which all market

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Fed Speakers In Focus As Rate Cut Expectations Build

January 14, 2024January 18, 2024

It’s another holiday-shortened week in the US. Traders coming off the three-day weekend (the third

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One More Time: Chaos Is Normal. Calm Is The Outlier

January 13, 2024January 23, 2024

Over and over again, day after day, market observers of all kinds (myself included, although

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Taiwan Rebukes China, Elects ‘Troublemaker’ Lai

January 13, 2024January 23, 2024

Somewhere, Xi Jinping donned his famous smirk. Taiwan chose Lai Ching-te for president on Saturday,

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Rowdy Rebels

January 12, 2024January 14, 2024

“It’s not possible for us not to respond to these operations.” That accidentally (and tragically)

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5 Comments on Rowdy Rebels

Xi Stares At Deflation

January 12, 2024January 12, 2024

The Chinese economy is in trouble. You already know that, so I won’t dwell too

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Big Bank Earnings More Opaque Than Usual. Which Is Saying Something

January 12, 2024January 14, 2024

Sifting through big bank results is a largely thankless task but, unfortunately, it’s obligatory. JPMorgan’s

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5 Comments on Big Bank Earnings More Opaque Than Usual. Which Is Saying Something

Dimon Warns On Risky World As NII Beat Offsets Otherwise Mixed Quarter

January 12, 2024January 16, 2024

JPMorgan kicked off earnings season in the US with what looked like a mixed set

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US Producer Prices Slow Again, But Red Sea Drama Poses Inflation Risk

January 12, 2024January 13, 2024

If you were up all night worrying about the overshoot on headline CPI reported by

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Houthis Get Their Wish: US, UK Pound Yemen With Airstrikes

January 11, 2024January 23, 2024

For weeks, the Houthi leadership in Yemen insisted the group was prepared for a head-to-head

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13 Comments on Houthis Get Their Wish: US, UK Pound Yemen With Airstrikes

MMF AUM Edges Closer To $6 Trillion. RRP Still Falling. BTFP Hits $147 Billion

January 11, 2024

Money market fund inflows slowed after a massive haul around the calendar flip, but total

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1 Comment on MMF AUM Edges Closer To $6 Trillion. RRP Still Falling. BTFP Hits $147 Billion

Soft Landing Bandwagon Welcomes A Big Name As Market Ponders CPI

January 11, 2024January 12, 2024

Call off the soft landing. Larry Summers has joined the bandwagon. Normally that’d be funny.

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2 Comments on Soft Landing Bandwagon Welcomes A Big Name As Market Ponders CPI

Albert Edwards Revisits Greedflation, Sees Something ‘Sad’ At Fed

January 11, 2024January 12, 2024

Investors are “divorced from cyclical reality.” That’s according to SocGen’s Albert Edwards, who, if past

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US Inflation Report Warm, But Too Ambiguous To Alter Narratives

January 11, 2024January 11, 2024

Inflation in the US was quicker than expected in December, data released on Thursday showed.

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Iran Escalates As Masked Hijackers Seize Oil Tanker

January 11, 2024January 12, 2024

The tanker formerly known as the Suez Rajan was carrying a cargo of Iraqi crude

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Spend It If You Have It!

January 10, 2024

Broken record time but, hey, what can you do, right? The knock-on effects from 2023’s

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