Remember “Tariff Man?” He was Donald Trump’s macro superhero alter ego. Tariff Man’s superpower was…
Author: therealheisenberg
A Merry Revision For The Fed
The BEA on Thursday provided the Fed with more evidence to justify this month’s dovish
About The December 20 0DTE Mini-‘Crash’
Did you hear? The stock rally died mid-week. If it has a Lazarus moment, don’t
Colossal Bond Rally Has Wall Street Grasping At Straws
If the seven-week stock rally put Wall Street’s more bearish top-down equity strategists behind the
A Complete Rundown Of Wall Street’s 2024 S&P Targets
On the heels of a remarkable seven-week run for equities and amid what’s setting up
Disqualified
You can’t be President of the United States if, at any point previous, you fomented
It’s Working: Fed Messaging, Stock Rally Juice Consumer Confidence
Suddenly, Americans feel great. That’s not true. They’re pretty miserable actually. But in the 2020s,
‘Prices Keep Marching Higher’ As US Home Sales Recover
US existing home sales actually rose last month, data out Wednesday showed. That (an increase
A Good Day For The Bank Of England
The Bank of England caught another break on Wednesday with an unexpectedly favorable UK inflation
The $366 Billion Short Squeeze ‘Heard ‘Round The World’
One of the more popular discussions in market circles over the seven- (going on eight-)
Black Swan Hunting In The Red Sea
I’m supposed to tell you the Houthis are poised to crash stocks. Or drive oil
Low VIX Belies Wall Street Stock Confusion
Earlier this week, I talked of a new “strategist short squeeze” on Wall Street. The
New US Home Construction Suddenly Booms
If you’re looking for evidence to support the idea that the recent easing in US
Fund Managers Ditch Cash For Stocks On ‘Goldilocks 2024’ Hopes
Fund manager sentiment is the least bearish in nearly two years, according to one bank’s
Was Powell’s Pivot Really Misguided? (Maybe Not)
Three months ago, Jerome Powell chafed at the suggestion the Fed wasn’t aiming to achieve
The Bear And The Doves
“Markets took the change in guidance as an ‘all clear’ sign to ramp up risk
Morale Improves In Wild US Housing Amid Steep Drop In Mortgage Rates
US homebuilders were in a slightly better mood this month, survey data released on Monday
‘Permanent Crisis Mode’: Germany Limps Out Of 2023 In Rough Shape
If you’re wondering whether the fiscal fiasco in Germany impacted the business outlook for the
A New ‘Strategist Short Squeeze’ Looms As Stocks Eye Records
Remember the “strategist short squeeze”? In June and July, when markets melted up following Nvidia’s
Front-Running And Chicken-Counting
It’s dangerous to count chickens. That was one message from Austan Goolsbee, who regaled CBS’s
Quick Anatomy Of A Crash-Down
Equities headed into the back half of December riding a seven-week melt-up. That alone is
Before The Ham And Eggnog
It’s the week before Christmas. The macro-policy docket isn’t exactly sparse, but interest and engagement
In Gaza, A Lost Cause
This goes without saying and I’m anyway not the first person to say it: The
Cashing In
Of all the questions that loom large for 2024, few are more pressing for market
Bear Humbug
Bears could still be right, God bless ’em. After all, the year’s not over yet.
Rare Occurrences
If the Fed cuts rates in 2024 with core inflation above the unemployment rate, it’d
Technically You Did Start It, John
“My fault? How is it my fault?” “Well, you did start it, John.” In “Critics
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