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Author: therealheisenberg

Kamala Harris Needs To Change The Economic Narrative

July 30, 2024July 31, 2024

“Even though consumers remain relatively positive about the labor market, they still appear to be

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12 Comments on Kamala Harris Needs To Change The Economic Narrative

Bartender, Waitress Hiring Plunges In Otherwise Constructive US Labor Market Appetizer

July 30, 2024July 31, 2024

Job openings fell in the US last month, but not by as much as economists

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3 Comments on Bartender, Waitress Hiring Plunges In Otherwise Constructive US Labor Market Appetizer

Former Bond Fund Manager Wonders Why Americans Don’t Just Buy A House Already

July 30, 2024July 30, 2024

If you’re sitting on your hands waiting for a better time to buy a home,

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9 Comments on Former Bond Fund Manager Wonders Why Americans Don’t Just Buy A House Already

‘Sick Man’ Germany Blights Decent Eurozone Growth

July 30, 2024July 30, 2024

The sick man’s still sick. Europe’s largest economy contracted on both a QoQ and YoY

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2 Comments on ‘Sick Man’ Germany Blights Decent Eurozone Growth

Treasury Cuts Borrowing Estimate Amid QT Taper: A Quick Word

July 29, 2024July 29, 2024

The US government will sell less debt than expected during the current quarter, the new

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America As Bizarro Iran

July 29, 2024July 30, 2024

Two months ago, Samuel Alito was approached at a gala by a woman who suggested

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16 Comments on America As Bizarro Iran

Wilson Sticks To Big-Cap Bias Amid History-Making Small-Cap Rally

July 29, 2024July 30, 2024

The dramatic rotations in US equities witnessed over the past couple of weeks are primarily

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1 Comment on Wilson Sticks To Big-Cap Bias Amid History-Making Small-Cap Rally

About China’s Silly Bond Bubble

July 29, 2024July 30, 2024

China has a bond bubble on its hands. I’m not sure how interesting that is

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2 Comments on About China’s Silly Bond Bubble

‘Allocations Are Full’: Stocks Face End Of $300 Billion Money Spigot

July 28, 2024July 28, 2024

Stocks might’ve stumbled recently, but inflows continue unabated. On net, anyway. Global equities headed into

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1 Comment on ‘Allocations Are Full’: Stocks Face End Of $300 Billion Money Spigot

Buckle Up: A Monumental Week For Macro Watchers Looms

July 28, 2024July 30, 2024

This’ll be a huge week on the macro-market front. There’s a Fed meeting, of course,

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1 Comment on Buckle Up: A Monumental Week For Macro Watchers Looms

BoE And BoJ In Focus On First Cut, Second Hike Speculation

July 28, 2024July 29, 2024

The Fed’s not the only central bank game in town this week. In fact, the

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What Not To Expect From The July FOMC Meeting

July 28, 2024July 29, 2024

With apologies to Bill Dudley, the Fed isn’t going to cut rates this week. Dudley

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4 Comments on What Not To Expect From The July FOMC Meeting

Who’s Afraid Of The Big, Bad Tech Mini-Correction?

July 27, 2024July 29, 2024

It says a lot about market psychology, and maybe even more about the generational composition

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9 Comments on Who’s Afraid Of The Big, Bad Tech Mini-Correction?

What The Vol Shock Hath Wrought

July 26, 2024July 28, 2024

A couple of days ago, I noted that the reset higher in vol surely meant

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1 Comment on What The Vol Shock Hath Wrought

It’s Nice To Own Stocks

July 26, 2024July 28, 2024

If you were wondering, the final read on University of Michigan sentiment for July (released

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15 Comments on It’s Nice To Own Stocks

As Obama Endorses Harris, Trump Struggles For New Attack Strategy

July 26, 2024July 28, 2024

It took a while, but the Obamas got around to endorsing Kamala Harris. The five-day

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4 Comments on As Obama Endorses Harris, Trump Struggles For New Attack Strategy

Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauges Generally Cooperate Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

July 26, 2024July 27, 2024

The Fed’s preferred price gauges came in mostly as expected in this week’s final top-tier

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Uncharted Territory

July 25, 2024July 25, 2024

So… market concentration. It’s topical. And it’s extreme. It’s topical because it’s extreme. At this

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Dog Days, August Bears

July 25, 2024July 26, 2024

If you think flows, liquidity, market depth and positioning matter, the outlook for US equities

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3 Comments on Dog Days, August Bears

Return Of Yen-Sanity Sparks Chaos

July 25, 2024July 26, 2024

The yen. It’s never complicated, but somehow it never ceases to confound. If it seems

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1 Comment on Return Of Yen-Sanity Sparks Chaos

Recession Spotters Frustrated Again As US Economy Outperforms

July 25, 2024July 26, 2024

The US economy expanded at a much brisker pace than expected in Q2, according to

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They’re Starting To Panic In China

July 25, 2024July 26, 2024

There’s a little bit of panic going on in Chinese policy circles. When the PBoC

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2 Comments on They’re Starting To Panic In China

Wall Street’s Worst Day Of 2024 Could Be The Start Of Something

July 24, 2024July 25, 2024

The Nasdaq 100 just had a very, very bad day. July 24 counted as the

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17 Comments on Wall Street’s Worst Day Of 2024 Could Be The Start Of Something

‘Anything Can Happen’: Magnificent 7 Plunges

July 24, 2024July 24, 2024

Big-cap US tech came into this week squarely on the back foot having traded meaningfully

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Why Bill Dudley’s ‘Cut Rates Now’ Call Is A Non-Starter

July 24, 2024July 25, 2024

You can’t say Bill Dudley wasn’t direct. “I changed my mind,” Dudley said Wednesday. “The

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4 Comments on Why Bill Dudley’s ‘Cut Rates Now’ Call Is A Non-Starter

Netanyahu’s Election Interference

July 24, 2024July 25, 2024

Accounts of Benjamin Netanyahu’s trip to the US this week were couched in uncomfortably similar

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4 Comments on Netanyahu’s Election Interference

New US Home Sales Fall Again As ‘Skittish’ Buyers Balk

July 24, 2024July 25, 2024

A day on from another lackluster read on existing home sales in the US, government

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4 Comments on New US Home Sales Fall Again As ‘Skittish’ Buyers Balk

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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