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Author: therealheisenberg

‘Corr 1’ Shock Won’t Soon Be Forgotten, One Bank Says

August 10, 2024August 12, 2024

Was the extreme market turbulence witnessed over the past several sessions the product of a

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3 Comments on ‘Corr 1’ Shock Won’t Soon Be Forgotten, One Bank Says

Bull Still Standing

August 9, 2024August 12, 2024

We know systematics — pejoratively “the machines,” accurately, and in order of speed, CTAs, target

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1 Comment on Bull Still Standing

Wall Street ‘Bossing’ Powell Into Big Cuts With Prime Rate At Nosebleed Levels

August 9, 2024August 11, 2024

Long and variable lags. Monetary policy works on long and variable lags. Impolitely: You hike

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5 Comments on Wall Street ‘Bossing’ Powell Into Big Cuts With Prime Rate At Nosebleed Levels

Market Shock Fails To Trigger Stock Outflows. History Says They’re Coming

August 9, 2024August 11, 2024

If you were wondering whether recent fireworks across markets triggered outflows from equities, the answer’s

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3 Comments on Market Shock Fails To Trigger Stock Outflows. History Says They’re Coming

Cash! Money Fund AUM Nears $6.2 Trillion In VaR Shock Safety Bid

August 8, 2024

We reached the point of diminishing returns months ago on stating and restating the same

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About That Recession…

August 8, 2024August 10, 2024

I suppose this goes without saying, but just in case: You’re not going to be

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2 Comments on About That Recession…

Another Day, Another Bad Treasury Auction

August 8, 2024

I suppose it’s not surprising that Thursday’s long bond sale went poorly. After all, Wednesday’s

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1 Comment on Another Day, Another Bad Treasury Auction

Volatility Shocks Have Consequences

August 8, 2024August 9, 2024

“Volatility’s your exposure toggle.” You’ve heard that tagline before. It’s one of several attributed to

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9 Comments on Volatility Shocks Have Consequences

Albert Edwards Got His Crash

August 8, 2024August 9, 2024

As time marches on, there are few of us left who were in the industry

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9 Comments on Albert Edwards Got His Crash

Overhyped US Jobless Claims Update Produces No Fireworks

August 8, 2024August 9, 2024

There was high drama around Thursday’s jobless claims update in the US. The justification for

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6 Comments on Overhyped US Jobless Claims Update Produces No Fireworks

The $4 Trillion Unwind

August 7, 2024August 8, 2024

How big’s the yen carry trade? In recent days, the existential character of that question

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2 Comments on The $4 Trillion Unwind

A Quick Word On A Bad Auction

August 7, 2024August 7, 2024

In light of recent fireworks across the US rates complex, and considering 10-year yields are

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That Wasn’t A Selloff

August 7, 2024August 10, 2024

Don’t call it a selloff.  Seriously. Do yourself a favor. Earlier this week, a lot

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3 Comments on That Wasn’t A Selloff

Why The Crash-Down Rebound Won’t Morph Into A New Crash-Up

August 7, 2024August 7, 2024

If you’re wondering what typically happens to equities and the VIX following two-session spasms akin

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Leave a Comment on Why The Crash-Down Rebound Won’t Morph Into A New Crash-Up

US Mortgage Rates Plunge, Fanning Talk Of Late-Summer Housing Thaw

August 7, 2024August 8, 2024

Stressed out, would-be American homeowners packed like sardines into cramped apartments with their spouses and

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6 Comments on US Mortgage Rates Plunge, Fanning Talk Of Late-Summer Housing Thaw

Bank Of Japan Apologizes For Blowing Up Global Stock Rally

August 7, 2024August 8, 2024

Sorry about that. So said influential BoJ deputy governor Shinichi Uchida, only not quite in

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16 Comments on Bank Of Japan Apologizes For Blowing Up Global Stock Rally

Wall Street Bloodletting Pauses. But Don’t Call It Stability

August 6, 2024August 7, 2024

I wouldn’t call it “calm.” “Stability” would be a misnomer too. But the bleeding stopped

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3 Comments on Wall Street Bloodletting Pauses. But Don’t Call It Stability

Betting On ‘Weird’

August 6, 2024August 7, 2024

She went with Mr. “weird.” Kamala Harris chose Midwestern dad Tim Walz as her running mate

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16 Comments on Betting On ‘Weird’

Is The Selloff Over?

August 6, 2024August 7, 2024

Wall Street attempted to recover on Tuesday after a rather harrowing start to the week.

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5 Comments on Is The Selloff Over?

‘Cool Heads’ And Adrenaline Junkies

August 6, 2024August 7, 2024

The adrenaline junkies among you are having a grand ole time. Hot on the heels

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2 Comments on ‘Cool Heads’ And Adrenaline Junkies

Traders Rushed To Hedge As Crash Ushered In A Whole New World

August 5, 2024August 6, 2024

The outcome distribution for markets expanded meaningfully over the past several sessions. Maybe you noticed.

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Global Game-Changer: ‘Biggest Carry Trade The World Has Ever Seen’ Unwinds

August 5, 2024August 6, 2024

If anyone asks you what, exactly, happened to markets on Monday — a session that’ll

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10 Comments on Global Game-Changer: ‘Biggest Carry Trade The World Has Ever Seen’ Unwinds

What Happened To The VIX?!

August 5, 2024August 6, 2024

“What’s going on with the VIX?!” That’s a question I’ve heard half a dozen times

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2 Comments on What Happened To The VIX?!

Chaos Reigns As US Curve Dis-Inverts, Market Pleads For Emergency Fed Cut

August 5, 2024August 6, 2024

The US 2s10s curve dis-inverted on Monday, however briefly. Amid a bout of extreme global

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11 Comments on Chaos Reigns As US Curve Dis-Inverts, Market Pleads For Emergency Fed Cut

US Services Sector Argues Against Recession Narrative

August 5, 2024August 5, 2024

If you could get past the deluge of dire headlines on Monday, there was some

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1 Comment on US Services Sector Argues Against Recession Narrative

In Asia: Black Monday

August 5, 2024August 6, 2024

If you were wondering whether the selling was over — whether last week’s risk-off tone

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11 Comments on In Asia: Black Monday

Albert Edwards Sees Recession, Deflation And Also Inflation

August 4, 2024August 4, 2024

Albert Edwards’s tech “crash” call isn’t looking too shabby three weeks later. Or not too

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1 Comment on Albert Edwards Sees Recession, Deflation And Also Inflation

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