Jackson Hole’s on deck. That’s pretty much all you need to know about the third
Author: therealheisenberg
Behind The Scenes Of August’s ‘Wall Street Whiplash’
Everybody’s astounded by the rapidity of the market recovery from the August 2-August 5 growth
What Panic? Global Equities Run Inflow Streak To 17 Weeks
Historically, August is a challenging month for equity flows. But here we are two weeks
Mood Swings
US consumer moods improved marginally early this month, apparently in response to Joe Biden’s decision
US Home Builders Just Stopped Building
Blame the weather if you like, but the pace of single-family home construction in America
Why ‘Many Fed Cuts Are A-Comin” Recession Or Not
“Green shoots!” BofA’s Michael Hartnett sees them. Exclamation point and all. In the latest installment
Should’ve Bought The Damn Dip
Guess you should’ve bought the dip. Who knew, right? Even absent the myriad structural factors
China’s Screwed
China’s mired in an intractable economic malaise. You’ve heard that how often from me? This
US Builders Leaned Heavily On Incentives Ahead Of Mortgage Rate Plunge
Given the sharp decline in financing costs witnessed in recent weeks, you might expect homebuilders
US Recession Postponed Again As Retail Sales Soar, Jobless Claims Drop
Consumerism! It’s a helluva thing. America’s legions of incorrigible spendthrifts didn’t get the recession memo
The Enduring Paradox Of A Bull Case Built On Rate Cut Hype
An equity rally built on expectations for aggressive rate cuts is inherently paradoxical. If you’re
Meanwhile, In Ukraine News…
Ukraine invaded Russia the other day which is — you know — funny. That’s not
US Inflation Report Benign Again, With Shelter The Only Blight
US inflation was benign again in July, crucial figures released on Wednesday showed. Core price
Refis Reheat In Otherwise Frozen US Housing Market
US housing (all housing, everywhere, now that you mention it) is sensitive to rates. By
UK Services Inflation Ebbs Sharply In Good News For BoE
The Bank of England will cut rates twice more this year, according to traders, who
Investors Implore Powell’s Fed: Go Big Or Else
Did they cancel the recession again? Or are market participants just confident in the Fed’s
Macro Volte-Face Triggered Black Swan Drawdown For CTAs
“Trend following had a tough time,” SocGen’s Sandrine Ungari gently remarked, in a recent note.
What Caused The August Vol Shock
Whether or not fund managers registered a drop in soft landing odds in recent days,
Services Index In US Wholesale Price Report Drops Most In 16 Months
Good news! Producer price growth in the US was cooler than expected last month, data
Soft Landing Buy-In Soars To Record Among Pros Despite Recession Panic
Professional investor sentiment took a hit from recent market disarray, but faith in a soft
‘Priced For Perfection’ Stocks Suddenly Awake To Rates Reality, Mike Wilson Cautions
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is… cautious. That’s one word to describe his disposition towards US
Wild Dislocation Enabled Historic VIX Spike
Today’s the one-week anniversary of the largest VIX spike on record. How are you celebrating?
Bonds Are Your Hedge Again. But Caveat Emptor…
Bonds! They’re your hedge again. On August 3 — so, a day after the Sahm
Foreign Investment In China Drops Most Ever As Xi’s Pitch Falls Flat
Xi Jinping wants foreign investors and corporates to believe China’s still a good place to
Please God, No Stagflation
Markets head into the new week still stressed after one of the more turbulent stretches
Will Wall Street’s Vol Shock Spill Over Into Corporate Credit?
Credit’s fine. For now. The chaos in front-end US rates that accompanied a triggered Sahm
‘Corr 1’ Shock Won’t Soon Be Forgotten, One Bank Says
Was the extreme market turbulence witnessed over the past several sessions the product of a
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