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Author: therealheisenberg

‘The Better 40’

August 31, 2024September 2, 2024

Is 60/40 well and truly dead? I doubt it. First of all, 60/40’s a religion.

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4 Comments on ‘The Better 40’

40 Acres

August 30, 2024December 26, 2024

27 minutes. I was 27 minutes late, and I left 45 minutes early. This city

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22 Comments on 40 Acres

Traders Eye S&P’s Worst Month As Curtain Closes On Wild August

August 30, 2024September 2, 2024

In with a roar, out with a whimper. That was August. A month that began

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2 Comments on Traders Eye S&P’s Worst Month As Curtain Closes On Wild August

Fed Gets More Good Inflation News. Saving Rate Slips Below 3%

August 30, 2024September 1, 2024

Consumer price growth on the Fed’s preferred metrics was benign last month, data released ahead

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2 Comments on Fed Gets More Good Inflation News. Saving Rate Slips Below 32

‘Government And Friends’

August 30, 2024September 1, 2024

One bank sees recession canaries in the US jobs data. And I don’t mean the

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7 Comments on ‘Government And Friends’

Warren Buffett Has Enough Cash To Buy Every Share Of Stock Held By Black America

August 29, 2024August 29, 2024

Warren Buffett was in the news this week for the only reason Warren Buffett’s ever

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1 Comment on Warren Buffett Has Enough Cash To Buy Every Share Of Stock Held By Black America

The Profits Are Fine

August 29, 2024August 31, 2024

Earlier this week, I suggested US equities would have a hard time rising without Nvidia.

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9 Comments on The Profits Are Fine

Did US Housing Just Reach A Tipping Point?

August 29, 2024August 30, 2024

Even if I were inclined to positive spin — and I’m obviously not — I’d

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1 Comment on Did US Housing Just Reach A Tipping Point?

Poor People Cited As Dollar General Plunges Most Ever

August 29, 2024August 30, 2024

Poor people get blamed a lot for a lot in America. Including for their own

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13 Comments on Poor People Cited As Dollar General Plunges Most Ever

Have Jobs, Will Spend

August 29, 2024August 30, 2024

If you came into Thursday’s US economic data looking for evidence of additional labor market

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3 Comments on Have Jobs, Will Spend

Nvidia Beats, But Huang’s Revolution Faces Impossibly High Bar

August 28, 2024August 29, 2024

“Hopper demand remains strong, and the anticipation for Blackwell is incredible,” Jensen Huang beamed, rhapsodizing

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7 Comments on Nvidia Beats, But Huang’s Revolution Faces Impossibly High Bar

Big Numbers, Hard Landings

August 28, 2024August 29, 2024

Big numbers. (“Loud noises!”) Market participants were focused on big numbers ahead of… well, ahead

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US Home Down Payments Soar To Record. Mortgage Rates Fall Again

August 28, 2024August 29, 2024

Mortgages. Get ’em while they’re hot. Err, “cheap.” Financing costs for half-million dollar human self-storage

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3 Comments on US Home Down Payments Soar To Record. Mortgage Rates Fall Again

Israel Launches Massive West Bank Operation

August 28, 2024August 29, 2024

The Israeli military’s in “the first stages” of a sweeping operation in the West Bank,

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3 Comments on Israel Launches Massive West Bank Operation

Melt-Up Tickets

August 27, 2024August 27, 2024

It’s perilous to say anything about directionality for equities index when the only stock that

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Stocks To Get $43 Billion Of Support Over The Next Week. If They Behave

August 27, 2024August 28, 2024

Interest in systematic flows — and specifically the effort to anticipate and quantify their impact

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4 Comments on Stocks To Get $43 Billion Of Support Over The Next Week. If They Behave

‘Mixed Feelings’

August 27, 2024August 28, 2024

American consumers harbor “mixed feelings.” On one hand, they live in the US as opposed

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4 Comments on ‘Mixed Feelings’

US Home Prices Climb Further With 86% Of Mortgages Still Handcuffed

August 27, 2024August 28, 2024

US home prices are still rising. “Breaking news,” I know. If you don’t own one

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22 Comments on US Home Prices Climb Further With 8622 Of Mortgages Still Handcuffed

$55 Billion Stock Crash Underscores China’s ‘Inevitable’ Date With Deflation

August 27, 2024August 28, 2024

Earlier this month, PDD founder Colin Huang usurped water baron Zhong Shanshan atop the list

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5 Comments on $55 Billion Stock Crash Underscores China’s ‘Inevitable’ Date With Deflation

Checking The Mechanics

August 26, 2024August 26, 2024

The earliest of this week’s trade on Wall Street was a bit difficult to parse,

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1 Comment on Checking The Mechanics

FOMO, Nvidia And ‘All-Time High Watch’

August 26, 2024August 27, 2024

Goldman’s Scott Rubner is “back on all-time high watch.” Writing Monday at the beginning of

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3 Comments on FOMO, Nvidia And ‘All-Time High Watch’

Powell’s ‘Tetonic’ Shift And How To Make 50% In Six Days

August 26, 2024August 27, 2024

I hesitate to say anything that might be construed as even remotely predictive vis-à-vis markets

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Can High Rates Stoke Inflation? Ask $3 Trillion

August 26, 2024August 27, 2024

Somehow, it’s still controversial to suggest that rate hikes, and particularly the persistence of Fed

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5 Comments on Can High Rates Stoke Inflation? Ask $3 Trillion

Gold’s Trying To Tell Us Something

August 25, 2024

Gold’s trying to tell us something. As you might’ve noticed, bullion hit records above $2,500

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Bloody Inanity

August 25, 2024August 26, 2024

Israel and Hezbollah have reached the point of sheer, blatant inanity. On Sunday, the IDF

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6 Comments on Bloody Inanity

Inflation Updates Eyed In Post-Jackson Hole Trade

August 25, 2024August 27, 2024

It’s the week before Labor Day, which means trader participation and conviction will be limited

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1 Comment on Inflation Updates Eyed In Post-Jackson Hole Trade

Capitalist Suicide Cult

August 24, 2024August 26, 2024

We — card-carrying members of a suicide cult called “capitalism” — tell ourselves a fantastical

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29 Comments on Capitalist Suicide Cult

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Dissembling Strategery
  • Engineer on Mona Lisa’s Smirk
  • Engineer on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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