Why Bill Dudley’s ‘Cut Rates Now’ Call Is A Non-Starter
You can’t say Bill Dudley wasn’t direct. “I changed my mind,” Dudley said Wednesday. “The
You can’t say Bill Dudley wasn’t direct. “I changed my mind,” Dudley said Wednesday. “The
Last year was bad for bonds. In fact, we can call 2022 anomalously poor. If
In late March, around the time the 2s10s inverted, Bill Dudley penned a somewhat abrasive Op-Ed for
Inevitably, Bill Dudley’s “inevitable” recession call prompted pushback from some market participants and served as
Two days ago, in “Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock,” I wrote that
If you’re looking to explain intraday market swings, don’t read too much into the incessant
“If the Fed managed to push that down by another 0.5 percentage point, what difference
“Although I have no idea of the timing, as this cycle continues, I am getting more sympathetic to the idea credit is a time bomb.”
“Dudley went over the cliff”.
“My intention was to be provocative”.
“There’s even an argument that the election itself falls within the Fed’s purview”.
“Central bank officials face a choice”.
“There was blood, there was glass, there was beer and there was some shouting.”
With Yellen, Fischer, and now Dudley gone (or leaving), the three most influential policy makers are all headed for greener pastures…
On Friday morning we got some data you probably don’t care about. Or maybe you
“Don’t be crazy.” You’re already hearing the exhortations to Donald Trump. I didn’t see “crazy”
If nobody else gets it, Raphael Bostic does. Four hours or so after BLS data
Needless to say, the marquee macro release this week is the September US CPI report.
Needless to say, the US rates complex reacted — and I’m searching for the right
“It’s truly amazing how the fate of the entire world seems to rest on whether
“Hey, Jay. Why don’t you just get started?” Asking for Bill Dudley. With just days
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is… cautious. That’s one word to describe his disposition towards US
The US economy added far fewer jobs than expected in July and the unemployment rose,
The Fed kept rates on hold as expected Wednesday. Notwithstanding the exhortations of Bill Dudley
With apologies to Bill Dudley, the Fed isn’t going to cut rates this week. Dudley
The US economy expanded at a much brisker pace than expected in Q2, according to
If there’s anything that frustrates me about opining on macro, markets and policy on a
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