McElligott Returns, Talks Tail Risks, Vol ‘Phase Shift’
Previously smooth Sharpes on short-vol trades are “getting chopped up” as traders see fatter tail
Previously smooth Sharpes on short-vol trades are “getting chopped up” as traders see fatter tail
If you’re wondering why the risk-asset rally feels inexorable on most days — why the
“Nvidia nailed it.” So said Nomura’s Charlie McElligott on Thursday, as US equities looked for
“We all should understand that generic / naked vol-selling is the proverbial ‘picking up pennies
Skew is dead, long live skew. For the better part of two months, Nomura’s Charlie
There’s a “big mystery” about 2024. It’s related to the “one question” I posed previously
As the keen among you have surely surmised by now, the optically awful 30-year sale
Stocks are a bit of a sideshow right now. It’s all about bonds. Indeed, equities
One risk headed into earnings was the abatement of the low bar dynamic. Low bars
Bonds haven’t been the best hedge for your equities over the past two years. Maybe
Have we seen the turning point for bonds? I hope so. I like being right
How sustainable is the nascent correction in US equities? At the fundamental level, a lot
You’ve heard it again and again. Or at least you have if you frequent these
One thing sticks out as “spooky and dangerous” when set against months of simultaneous re-risking
Earlier this week, I noted that major Wall Street banks are beginning to speak as
A consistent, reliable buyer of equities could morph into a seller going forward. And it
The equities vol space is quite interesting these days — or “really fascinating,” as Nomura’s
“The banks left-tail outcome is growing in real-time,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Thursday, amid another
Short vol strategies have been profitable lately. “Grotesquely” so, in fact. The colorful description comes
The market is “dominated by option sellers.” That’s according to JPMorgan analysts led by Marko
It can be a challenge to crystallize, and otherwise make sense of, cross-asset price action
What are the ramifications of the events that shook the US financial system last week
Last week, one of the most recognizable names on the sell-side weighed in on the
Sometimes, bad macro news is just bad news. Common sense interpretations of incoming data went
Over the past several weeks, I’ve editorialized breathlessly about the potential perils ahead for corporate
Markets are forward looking and the near universal adoption of the The Great One’s famous
The word “shock” was bandied about on Thursday to describe the Fed’s new dot plot,
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