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Month: February 2021

China Underwhelms After Holiday, While Hong Kong IPO Craze Continues

February 18, 2021February 18, 2021

China got back to business Thursday following the Lunar New Year holiday. Mainland shares were

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Introducing 0% Coupon Bitcoin Bonds, By MicroStrategy

February 17, 2021February 18, 2021

I’ve heard some bad ideas in my time. Indeed, I’ve had some bad ideas in

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3 Comments on Introducing 03 Coupon Bitcoin Bonds, By MicroStrategy

A Varied Mix

February 17, 2021February 18, 2021

“He went by ‘Roaring Kitty’ on YouTube – where cats and kittens are a favorite

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6 Comments on A Varied Mix

Americans Are Making Stuff, Which Is Nice

February 17, 2021February 17, 2021

Generally speaking, Wednesday was a good day for economic data in the US, which leaves

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1 Comment on Americans Are Making Stuff, Which Is Nice

Flaming Hot Retail Sales May Rekindle Overheat Worries

February 17, 2021February 21, 2021

Retail sales in the US were sharply higher in January, closely-watched data out Wednesday showed.

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3 Comments on Flaming Hot Retail Sales May Rekindle Overheat Worries

Reddit Didn’t Conquer Silver, But It Did Spook An ETF

February 17, 2021February 18, 2021

Reddit’s excitable gamblers and other retail investors suffering from delusions of grandeur (and I’m uniquely

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4 Comments on Reddit Didn’t Conquer Silver, But It Did Spook An ETF

If Stocks Could Talk

February 17, 2021February 17, 2021

Markets felt cautious Wednesday. If equities were things that could talk, they’d be asking each

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5 Comments on If Stocks Could Talk

Bitcoin At The Center Of Risk-Addicted Markets

February 16, 2021February 17, 2021

Investors are taking higher than normal risks. Maybe you noticed. But, if you couldn’t glean

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1 Comment on Bitcoin At The Center Of Risk-Addicted Markets

Imagined Entities

February 16, 2021February 18, 2021

“It’s chaos. It’s crazy,” a gas and power trader told Bloomberg, describing wild price moves

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10 Comments on Imagined Entities

Nobody Is Bearish As Plunging Cash Levels Show Investors All-In

February 16, 2021February 21, 2021

There was quite a bit of taper tantrum talk Tuesday, as US yields hit the

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2 Comments on Nobody Is Bearish As Plunging Cash Levels Show Investors All-In

The VIX Is Still Screaming ‘Accident,’ Nomura’s McElligott Cautions

February 16, 2021February 19, 2021

US electricity markets grappling with a vicious deep-freeze aren’t the only places where a supply/demand

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1 Comment on The VIX Is Still Screaming ‘Accident,’ Nomura’s McElligott Cautions

Here’s A Balloon Because Empire Prices Hit A Decade High

February 16, 2021February 16, 2021

The market scarcely needed any additional reason to fret over imminent inflation. Or, if you’re

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(No) Power To The People

February 16, 2021February 17, 2021

America’s “energy crisis” continued to grab headlines Tuesday, where “crisis” just meant (and forgive me

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7 Comments on (No) Power To The People

Is Any Of It Real?

February 15, 2021February 16, 2021

Equities are having a good run. Perhaps you noticed. Thank the now ubiquitous reflation narrative.

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8 Comments on Is Any Of It Real?

Gods Gone Wild: Musk, Putin And Dogecoin

February 15, 2021February 16, 2021

Late last month, when Elon Musk was busy doing the same things he’s doing right

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20 Comments on Gods Gone Wild: Musk, Putin And Dogecoin

Exceptions

February 15, 2021February 16, 2021

“Texas isn’t well prepared for unusual Arctic weather,” a hilariously understated bullet point from a

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5 Comments on Exceptions

What Markets Want (Last Train To Tuckahoe)

February 14, 2021February 17, 2021

Retail sales will be the marquee data point in the US this week. It would

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9 Comments on What Markets Want (Last Train To Tuckahoe)

For One Bank, This Is ‘The $3 Trillion Question’

February 14, 2021February 14, 2021

In “Epic, Extreme Analogs’ And Ostensibly Stingy Banks,” I speculated about what might happen in

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5 Comments on For One Bank, This Is ‘The $3 Trillion Question’

Bitcoin Nears $50,000 48 Hours After Taleb Calls It A ‘Failure’

February 14, 2021February 16, 2021

Bitcoin looked poised to hit $50,000 on Sunday because… well, to tell you truth, nobody

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20 Comments on Bitcoin Nears $50,000 48 Hours After Taleb Calls It A ‘Failure’

The Reality Behind Donald Trump’s Second Acquittal

February 13, 2021February 19, 2021

The Senate voted to acquit Donald Trump on Saturday, closing the book on one of

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22 Comments on The Reality Behind Donald Trump’s Second Acquittal

‘Epic, Extreme Analogs’ And Ostensibly Stingy Banks

February 13, 2021February 14, 2021

A dozen years of “money printing” and debt monetization created a lot of things, but

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4 Comments on ‘Epic, Extreme Analogs’ And Ostensibly Stingy Banks

What Virus? Corporate Profits Surpassed Pre-Pandemic Levels In Q4

February 13, 2021February 19, 2021

The pandemic is over according to corporate earnings in the US. Or at least that’s

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1 Comment on What Virus? Corporate Profits Surpassed Pre-Pandemic Levels In Q4

Fine, But Who Will Make The Pizza?

February 12, 2021February 21, 2021

Now, I’ll write the article I meant to write at noon on Friday. Sometimes, when

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4 Comments on Fine, But Who Will Make The Pizza?

Gamblers

February 12, 2021February 21, 2021

Folks are worried about stock trading. Specifically, too much of it. A nebulous adage cautions

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11 Comments on Gamblers

Record Stock Inflows (Gibsons In The Bar Car)

February 12, 2021February 16, 2021

Is this the top you’re looking for? Maybe. Equities just witnessed their largest inflow on

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4 Comments on Record Stock Inflows (Gibsons In The Bar Car)

People Without Money Worried About Finances, Data Reveals

February 12, 2021February 13, 2021

Consumer sentiment disappointed expectations in Friday’s only notable economic data release. This isn’t surprising considering

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6 Comments on People Without Money Worried About Finances, Data Reveals

Who Needs Free Candy?

February 12, 2021February 12, 2021

Global equities (figure below) will be happy to see the curtain close on this week,

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7 Comments on Who Needs Free Candy?

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Monthly Letter+

  • Reinventing Wheels

    April 23, 2023May 2, 2023

Week’s News

Don’t Short A Bubble

May 25, 2023May 27, 2023

Nvidia Scores Historic One-Day Value Gain On ‘iPhone Moment’

May 25, 2023May 26, 2023

Man Who Downgraded America Weighs In On Debt Ceiling Drama

May 23, 2023May 24, 2023

Corporate America’s New Strategy: Just Say ‘A.I.’

May 22, 2023May 23, 2023

Debt Ceiling Crisis Spotlights Democracy’s Dilemma

May 21, 2023May 22, 2023

Most Read

  • Prospectors, Gamblers And Golden Tickets
    Prospectors, Gamblers And Golden Tickets
  • 'Less Cash To Propagate Financial Assets': JPMorgan Warns On Liquidity
    'Less Cash To Propagate Financial Assets': JPMorgan Warns On Liquidity
  • The Path To An A.I. Dot-Com Moment
    The Path To An A.I. Dot-Com Moment
  • For A Nation Of Spendthrifts, Americans Are A Gloomy Bunch
    For A Nation Of Spendthrifts, Americans Are A Gloomy Bunch
  • Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data
    Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data

Recent Comments

  • fredm421 on Soooo, Stagflation It Is Then?
  • fredm421 on For A Nation Of Spendthrifts, Americans Are A Gloomy Bunch
  • fredm421 on Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data
  • longinTTH on Prospectors, Gamblers And Golden Tickets
  • derek on The Path To An A.I. Dot-Com Moment

Monthly Letters

Reinventing Wheels

April 23, 2023May 2, 2023

Lost At Sea

March 11, 2023April 29, 2023

Exiles On Main Street

February 4, 2023March 11, 2023

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