More cowbell.
The rather precipitous drop in U.S. equities on Wednesday morning marks a continuation of a trend flagged by Nomura’s Charlie McElligott last week.
Specifically, he noted that the growth shock-led steepening episode seemed to catalyze a ”
“Momentum factor unwind, correspond[ing] with the reversal in the Growth / Value ratio.”
We touched briefly on that again Monday in the course of documenting a spate of negative news for Google.
Fast forward to Wednesday and, amid the dreaded sign “flip” in the equity-rates correlation, you should probably keep yourself apprised of the extent to which the stock selloff continues to exhibit that same unwind in Momentum/Tech/Growth.
The Momentum ETF is having a truly horrible time after narrowly avoiding a third consecutive >1% down day on Monday.
Meanwhile, Growth continues to underperform Value. This is the seventh session out of eight that the Growth ETF has lagged.
As you might expect, FANG+ is having a truly rough go of it, falling the most since March:
(Bloomberg)
The losses there are starting to really pile up:
(Bloomberg)
And finally, note that this is the “wrong” kind of rate rise, as reals and the term premium trade lead bond selloff:
(Bloomberg)
[Side note: The teaser image for this post is an Old Fashioned – I feel like some of my avocado toast/ vodka cranberry Millennial readers might not be familiar]
H, didn’t you mention in one of your posts that something like 85% of SP500 companies are currently in blackout period as a result of earnings coming up? I guess this is what it looks like when there are no buy backs to jump…
Brian K,
Always makes me laugh when retail investors believe there is a blackout period for companies:
Read Rule 10b-18
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rule10b18.asp