
Chart Check: “Le Pen Risk” Falls To Lowest In 5 Weeks
There's been no shortage of warnings from analysts, economists, and political scientists (you know, Taleb's "pseudo-experts" who know nothing) regarding just how traumatic it would be both for financial markets and for the EU in general were Marine Le Pen to pull a (populist) rabbit of her hat and win the French presidency.
But is that "tail risk" becoming more tail risk-ish (i.e. less probable)?
According to credit markets, the answer would appear to be "yes", as French CDS is now trading be
In this time of “bad dreams” it would be a mistake to overlook the strong possibility of “MURPHY” rearing it’s ugly head.