Kuroda Vs. The World: BoJ Moves On The 5Y As YCC ‘Mission Creep’ Looms
Dammit no one is really talking about this, but it’s definitely notable. On both Monday
Search Results for: trump stock market
You’ve ‘Got A Case To Be Worried’: Analysts Weigh In On North Korea ‘ICBM’ Launch
“There’s nervousness in the market but whether or not we’ll see panic will depend on whether there’s further escalation. Investors have a case to be worried but whether the worry will turn into something more serious we need to see what develops on the political front.”
“A Major, Serious” Situation In Japan, PMIs Galore, And A Deadline For Qatar
Ok, so Shinzo Abe’s LDP suffered a stunning loss in Tokyo assembly elections over the weekend,
About That Fed “Policy Mistake”…
“The thesis that the Fed has made a policy error would seem to imply two claims: that the Fed’s hawkish stance has led to excessive tightening in financial conditions, and that this in turn has caused the economy to slow more than intended. Neither of these has happened.”
Goldman Ups S&P Target Because Fuck It, Why Not?
“We raise our year-end 2017 S&P 500 price target to 2400 from 2300, reflecting a 1% decline over the next six months.”
The Third Mandate Is Official – And “It’s Stunning” That You Don’t See It
“This morning, at a speech at the BIS Annual General Meeting, Bill Dudley came right out and stated unequivocally that the Federal Reserve was targeting financial conditions.”
Barclays Sarcastically Asks: “What Could Possibly Go Wrong?”
“The reality is that there are many risks on the horizon as we write”…
Guest Post: Somewhere Cheap To Hide
“I don’t think there is any rush to buy. Yet for me, this is a perfect uncorrelated value story. Somewhere cheap to hide while the rest of the crazy extended market swings around.”
“Hakuna Matata”?
“In our opinion, this is not dangerous market complacency but a reflection of an abnormally tranquil macro environment, with a benign economic outlook, very supportive financial conditions, and lower political risks”…
Grab A Pitchfork: Albert Edwards Predicts Imminent Popular Revolt Against Central Banks
“In an age of “radical uncertainty†how long will it be before angry citizens tire of blaming an impotent political system for their ills and turn on the main culprits for their poverty – unelected and virtually unaccountable central bankers?”
‘And Now, Deep BTFD Thoughts,’ By Cameron Crise
“If the post-crisis equity rally were to have a theme song, it would probably be called “just buy the dip.” The strategy has generally worked well, until recently, when there seem to have been no dips to buy.”
Goldman Spent A Long Time On This Awesome Fed Preview, So The Least You Can Do Is Read It
Ok, so the Fed is going to hike tomorrow. And the best part about it
“On What Basis?!” One Trader Demands To Know Why You’re Short Treasurys
“U.S. Treasury bears haven’t come up with a compelling new argument in months, nor a reason why any of the old, stale logic will suddenly become valid now”…
“Goldilocks And The 3 Hikes”
“However, just like in the fairy tale, this perfect scenario is unlikely to last.”
Deutsche Bank Presents: An Updated Guide To The Low Vol Regime
“If there was sufficient loss of political support in the US for many of Trump’s policies such that the chance of successful execution falls towards zero, then central banks may need to return to the forefront of the deflation battle. Central Bank support for the economy was starting to lose credibility amongst some investors last year.”
Deutsche Bank: The S&P Has Only Done This 8 Times In 89 Years
“Such tight trading ranges for the S&P 500 that extended for 3 months or longer have been very unusual historically, with only 8 such comparable prior episodes (since 1928).”
Qatar Cut Off: Everything You Need To Know About Monday’s Mideast Earthquake
You might be wondering why Saudi Arabia seemingly gave Qatar the Fredo Corleone treatment on Monday.
This May Be “The Scariest Chart” In The World
Were you looking for another reason to be wary of US equities? Look no further…
Deutsche Bank: “Path Of Least Resistance” Is For Everything To Rally
“The conclusion is that the Fed can’t do a lot that appears credible to the market. The path of least resistance is therefore a soggy dollar, low yields and robust equities.”
Goldman: Here’s How To Play Upcoming Catalysts With ETF Options
“In fact, S&P500 (SPY) 1m implied volatility of 8% is near its pre-sell off level, and most sector ETFs have followed suit.”
Revisiting The “Tokyo Whale”
“We assume the BoJ’s current ETF holdings stand around Â¥15.7tn ($144bn), i.e. approximately 75% of the total assets in Japanese equity ETFs.”
Fed Minutes: “Soon” Or “Soon”-ish
“Most participants judged that if economic information came in about in line with their expectations, it would soon be appropriate for the Committee to take another step in removing some policy accommodation. A number of participants pointed out that clarification of prospective fiscal and other policy changes would remove one source of uncertainty for the economic outlook.”
One Trader Is Disgusted That You Bought The Terrorist Dip
“I thought the market reaction to the bombing in Manchester was appalling. And an indictment of a system that rewards, time and again, through official reaction functions, utter callousness and obliviousness to events. Everything may have become a buy-the-dip opportunity. But it shouldn’t be. It’s why nothing ever changes.”
Brazil’s Black Swan In Context: Another “Since The Crisis” Moment
The President appeals to Supreme Court to suspend investigation on him. No, that’s not breaking news
This Hasn’t Happened Since 2007
So a lot of folks have observed that if you’re looking for a reason to
“Thy Orb And Thy Staff They Comfort Me”: “Risk Feels A Bit Better Today!”
Yea, though we walk through the valley of the shadow of death, we will fear no geopolitical tail risk: for Donald Trump art with us; thy orb and thy staff they comfort me…
Trader: The “Goldilocks Environment For Equities Is Here For A Long While Yet”
“This isn’t a short-term signal, but it does suggest that the long- term Goldilocks environment for equities is here for a long while yet.”
You must be logged in to post a comment.