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‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026
  • There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

    September 21, 2026September 21, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 21, 2026

Markets

Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • Relief

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Holding Pattern

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

FAIT Accompli

February 15, 2025February 17, 2025

The cure for high prices is supposed to be high prices. The logic’s sound: If

Read More

2 Comments on FAIT Accompli

Buy Europe? Traders Think The Unthinkable Amid Ukraine ‘Peace’ Talks

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

They’re buying what? It’s been so long since anyone bought European stocks that you’d be

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13 Comments on Buy Europe? Traders Think The Unthinkable Amid Ukraine ‘Peace’ Talks

Sorry, Ukraine. We’re Cowards Over Here Now

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

The saving grace for humanity may be that he’s old. I’m not talking about Donald

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20 Comments on Sorry, Ukraine. We’re Cowards Over Here Now

Don’t Look Now, But The Incorrigible American Consumer Just Tapped Out

February 14, 2025February 16, 2025

Did the US consumer just crack? I’ve asked that I don’t know how many times

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12 Comments on Don’t Look Now, But The Incorrigible American Consumer Just Tapped Out

Behold: The Dawn Of A New Chinese Tech Bull?

February 14, 2025February 15, 2025

Don’t look now, but big Chinese tech’s in a bull market. After falling more than

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6 Comments on Behold: The Dawn Of A New Chinese Tech Bull?

Record Retail Dip-Buying Won’t Last, Popular Strategist Cautions

February 13, 2025February 13, 2025

So far in 2025, the retail crowd’s buying every dip. That’s according to Goldman’s Scott

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Who’s Sticking Around For The Crash?

February 13, 2025February 14, 2025

Maybe you noticed, maybe you didn’t, but these last three weeks were “perhaps the best

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4 Comments on Who’s Sticking Around For The Crash?

President Orban

February 13, 2025February 14, 2025

I’ll concede to being grimly amused by Donald Trump again, and that’s probably a mistake.

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6 Comments on President Orban

Don’t Buy The Spin: The US PPI Release Was More Bad News

February 13, 2025February 14, 2025

A day on from a disconcertingly warm CPI report which prompted traders to price out

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Leave a Comment on Don’t Buy The Spin: The US PPI Release Was More Bad News

Fed Policy’s Not Restrictive No Matter How Many Times Powell Says Otherwise

February 12, 2025February 12, 2025

I don’t love this talking point, and even if I did, it feels exhausted by

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1 Comment on Fed Policy’s Not Restrictive No Matter How Many Times Powell Says Otherwise

Neville Chamberlain

February 12, 2025February 14, 2025

With very few exceptions — mobsters, warlords, Xi Jinping, Kim Jong-Un, Bashar al-Assad, Ramzan Kadyrov

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9 Comments on Neville Chamberlain

Market Exposed To Left-Tail Shock Amid Reflation Zeitgeist Crowding

February 12, 2025February 13, 2025

Needless to say, macro watchers — which is very often a polite euphemism for economists,

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1 Comment on Market Exposed To Left-Tail Shock Amid Reflation Zeitgeist Crowding

Trump Ready To ‘Rock And Roll!!!’ Wants Fed To Sing Along

February 12, 2025February 13, 2025

Donald Trump’s ready to “rock and roll” and he’d very much appreciate it if Jerome

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9 Comments on Trump Ready To ‘Rock And Roll!!!’ Wants Fed To Sing Along

Disaster Strikes In God-Awful US CPI Report

February 12, 2025February 13, 2025

Oh no! Houston, we have a problem! Consumer price growth across the world’s largest economy

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13 Comments on Disaster Strikes In God-Awful US CPI Report

Too Many Circles To Square

February 11, 2025February 12, 2025

A key question as Donald Trump squeezes into his “Tariff Man” leotard in the service

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3 Comments on Too Many Circles To Square

‘Super Obvious’

February 11, 2025February 12, 2025

The idea of cutting five (or whatever number) regulations for every new one adopted sounds

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14 Comments on ‘Super Obvious’

Stoic, For Now

February 11, 2025February 12, 2025

The Fed’s on hold until June most probably. And Jerome Powell wants no part of

Read More

3 Comments on Stoic, For Now

If You Ain’t First…

February 11, 2025February 12, 2025

Another day, another deluge of tariff headlines. I’d describe Donald Trump’s aversion to trade imbalances

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14 Comments on If You Ain’t First…

Donald Trump Is World’s Only Hope To Stop Elon Musk

February 10, 2025February 11, 2025

If you asked me last week what’s more dangerous than Elon Musk exercising what, on

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8 Comments on Donald Trump Is World’s Only Hope To Stop Elon Musk

‘Big History’ Spotted In Gold’s Bull Run

February 10, 2025February 11, 2025

Atahualpa’s downfall is runnin,’ dammit. That’s a morbid gold rally joke. I’ve used it before.

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7 Comments on ‘Big History’ Spotted In Gold’s Bull Run

For The First Time In Years, Big Tech Fails To Top Wall Street Sales Estimates

February 10, 2025February 11, 2025

With the (not insignificant) caveat that Nvidia’s yet to report, the handful of US companies

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You Get Tariffs, You Get Tariffs, You Get Tariffs…

February 10, 2025February 13, 2025

Donald Trump’s the Oprah of trade levies. “You get tariffs, you get tariffs, you get

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8 Comments on You Get Tariffs, You Get Tariffs, You Get Tariffs…

Corporate America Clears The Bar. Again.

February 9, 2025

Earnings season’s nearly over. Except for Nvidia. Which is about like saying football season’s over

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3 Comments on Corporate America Clears The Bar. Again.

US Inflation On Deck, Powell On The Hot Seat

February 9, 2025February 10, 2025

It’s CPI week in the US and Jerome Powell will trudge up to Capitol Hill

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Leave a Comment on US Inflation On Deck, Powell On The Hot Seat

China Still Dangerously Close To Deflation Event Horizon Despite CPI Fillip

February 9, 2025February 10, 2025

You may see a headline or two touting the liveliest read on Chinese consumer price

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7 Comments on China Still Dangerously Close To Deflation Event Horizon Despite CPI Fillip

Meanwhile, Last Night

February 8, 2025February 10, 2025

“Just an old fashioned.” “Sure. Do you care what bourbon?” He look quizzically at the

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27 Comments on Meanwhile, Last Night

Are Trump And Musk Trying To Engineer A ‘Government Recession’?

February 7, 2025February 10, 2025

Donald Trump and Elon Musk (only one of whom was elected, by the way) may

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5 Comments on Are Trump And Musk Trying To Engineer A ‘Government Recession’?

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Lee 2253 on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Mr. Lucky on There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…
  • Engineer on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Dean Grossmith on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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