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Featured

The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

November 9, 2026
  • Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026

Markets

Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

Goldman: Trump Accidentally “Reduces The American Economy’s Speed Limit”

February 6, 2017

When you go out and you do something that everyone tells you is, if not completely crazy, at least ill-advised, the least you can do is make yourself aware of the likely consequences.

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Chart Check (There’s Hope For You Yet)

February 6, 2017

For anyone still holding out hope that there’s upside for our standard valuation metrics beyond the 100th percentile, there’s always the old corporate buyback bailout…

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This Really Isn’t All That Complicated, Just Look…

February 6, 2017

But really, I don’t see why everyone says it’s a complex process. I mean just look how simple it seems on paper…

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1 Comment on This Really Isn’t All That Complicated, Just Look…

Buy Your Rolex Now

February 6, 2017February 6, 2017

First on Trump’s FX hit list: Switzerland?

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Trump Wakes Up, Congratulates Patriots, Calls All Polls Fake, Says No Separation Of Powers, Goes Back To Sleep

February 6, 2017February 6, 2017

“Any negative polls are fake news.”

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1 Comment on Trump Wakes Up, Congratulates Patriots, Calls All Polls Fake, Says No Separation Of Powers, Goes Back To Sleep

Chart Check (Trading A French Kiss)

February 6, 2017

What would you do with a French kiss from Marine Le Pen?

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Goldman Explains Why The Trump Trade Is Fading

February 6, 2017February 6, 2017

As Goldman noted last week, “following the election, the positive shift in sentiment among investors,

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Daily Kickstart (French Kiss)

February 6, 2017February 6, 2017

“Let’s make it a bad souvenir”…

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1 Comment on Daily Kickstart (French Kiss)

Key Calls (Monday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

February 6, 2017

Are your stocks on the list?

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Monday Trader Humor: “Let’s Assume Trump Is Guided By A Coherent View”

February 6, 2017

With the recent sputtering of the bullish-dollar reflation trade, perhaps it’s time to pay a bit more attention to what the president and his advisers are saying about currencies.”

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Trump Instructs Followers To “Blame Federal Judge” For Future Terrorist Attacks

February 5, 2017

The most dangerous part of this is that millions upon millions of people in America would invariably do just as Trump says should a tragedy befall the US…

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1 Comment on Trump Instructs Followers To “Blame Federal Judge” For Future Terrorist Attacks

Sorry Donald, You Can’t Build An Autocracy Here

February 5, 2017February 5, 2017

But this can only become America’s reality if the new administration is shrewd. Clever. Cunning. And, above all, patient. Trump is anything but.

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4 Comments on Sorry Donald, You Can’t Build An Autocracy Here

A Fantastically Metaphysical Market Metaphor

February 5, 2017

In September 2015, just a few weeks after the latest incarnation of Black Monday, Deutsche Bank’s Aleksandar

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Currency Markets In Turmoil: A Pocket Guide For The Week Ahead

February 5, 2017

As political risk continues to dominate the headlines (even as US equities steadfastly refuse to

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Correlation Meets Causation

February 5, 2017February 5, 2017

I told you so…

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1 Comment on Correlation Meets Causation

Chart Check (“Gold”en Opportunity)

February 5, 2017February 5, 2017

You know when you think about it, it probably makes sense to go long gold

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4 Comments on Chart Check (“Gold”en Opportunity)

Top Strategist: Macro Is Running The Show And You “Should Not Be Surprised”

February 4, 2017February 4, 2017

“Investing is macro and macro is geopolitics. If you don’t get that, you’re going to be perpetually behind the curve going forward.

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Leave a Comment on Top Strategist: Macro Is Running The Show And You “Should Not Be Surprised”

“That’s A Pretty Big Conclusion To Make”: WSJ Questions Interpretation Of “Disappointing” Jobs Number

February 4, 2017

Investors and traders aren’t enamored with the January jobs number. And why should they be? After

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1 Comment on “That’s A Pretty Big Conclusion To Make”: WSJ Questions Interpretation Of “Disappointing” Jobs Number

Is This The Greatest Risk To Markets?

February 4, 2017

“(Un)favorable”…

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oil2 Comments on Is This The Greatest Risk To Markets?

Saturday Humor (“What Is This Country Coming To?”)

February 4, 2017

Can someone please help explain what’s going on, because Donald Trump is getting frustrated…

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A Listless Nadir

February 4, 2017

So it’s the weekend and on weekends I like to keep things simple for those

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DHS Suspends “Any And All Actions” On Trump’s Muslim Ban

February 4, 2017

“Winning?”…

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1 Comment on DHS Suspends “Any And All Actions” On Trump’s Muslim Ban

Chart Check (History Is Not On My Side)

February 4, 2017

I’m going down with the ship: “this time is different.”

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Goldman Tacitly Bullish On War

February 4, 2017

“A&D stocks will be direct beneficiaries of any increase in the defense budget.”

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Trump Wakes Up, Has Epic Twitter Meltdown

February 4, 2017February 4, 2017

I want to make an appeal to rationality here…

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6 Comments on Trump Wakes Up, Has Epic Twitter Meltdown

The Massive Spec Treasury Short Is Still… Well… Pretty Massive

February 3, 2017

As you’re surely aware, keeping up with the CFTC positioning data is mandatory these days.

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Behold: A Whole Bunch Of “Bull”Sh*t

February 3, 2017

Now, look. The thing about predicting the future is that you can’t ever really be “wrong”

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1 Comment on Behold: A Whole Bunch Of “Bull”Sh*t

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • John3D on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • Frederic MARI on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • Frederic MARI on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • SeaTurtle on The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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