Chart Check (History Is Not On My Side)
I’m going down with the ship: “this time is different.”
Goldman Tacitly Bullish On War
“A&D stocks will be direct beneficiaries of any increase in the defense budget.”
Trump Wakes Up, Has Epic Twitter Meltdown
I want to make an appeal to rationality here…
The Massive Spec Treasury Short Is Still… Well… Pretty Massive
As you’re surely aware, keeping up with the CFTC positioning data is mandatory these days.
Behold: A Whole Bunch Of “Bull”Sh*t
Now, look. The thing about predicting the future is that you can’t ever really be “wrong”
Good Jobs, Bad Jobs
It’s like they’re micromanaging this thing by the hour…
Elizabeth Warren Is Not F*cking Amused With Trump’s Dodd-Frank Rollback
“We’re finding out whose side Trump is really on”…
Chart Check (“Not Again Please”)
Stocks have become completely disconnected from rates and FX in terms of vol. That’s a dangerous thing because it only corrects in one of two ways: 1) rates and FX vol subside, or 2) equity vol rises. When if equity vol rises, your stocks will likely get hit.
Chart Check (“There Are Only Two Ways This Corrects Itself”)
There are only two ways that this corrects itself and one of them is bad for your stocks…
The Mystery Of Friday’s “Somehow Disappointing” Jobs Number
I mean look, I get it. And I’m sure you do too. Hourly earnings missed and it looks like the 0.1% m/m growth was the lowest since last August. If you’re so inclined you can read into that something about consumer spending and consumer spending is three fourths of the economy. And on, and on. It’s not rocket science. But…
On Payrolls Friday, One Trader Asks: “Are You Feeling Lucky?”
Here we are on payrolls Friday after a week in which a lot of sh*t
January Payrolls Beat, Unemployment Ticks Higher
227K vs. 180K est.
Friday Morning Humor (“Our New Reality”)
“To be clear, this is actually happening”…
Key Calls (Friday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
Are your stocks on the list?
Daily Kickstart (US Payrolls Awaited, China Tightens, BoJ Flouts Trump)
“Non-Farm Friday is no time to plead exhaustion,” Bloomberg’s Richard Breslow wrote earlier this morning
Goldman’s January NFP Preview
It was a busy week. The BoJ. The Fed. A blowout ADP report. The BoE.
Epic Thursday Night Humor (“Trump Draws”)
“He kept holding them up to everybody and looking so proud like he just did something just so incredible that he had to show his mom”…
Snapchat Goes Public, Will “Reinvent The Camera”
Importantly, it also means you can effectively buy back partial ownership of all the naked pictures and sexual messages you sent through the platform. So that’s a plus.
Thursday Humor (Terminated)
Why don’t we switch jobs…
Kolanovic (a.k.a. “JP Merlin”) Sees 5% Stock Selloff
You might be familiar with JPMorgan’s quant wizard Marko Kolanovic or, as I like to
The Market Hates It: British Pound “Pounded” As Brexit Reality Sets In
You can talk all you want about how the world needs a clean break with the established order and how populism and nationalism will represent a return to some bygone era of pride and prosperity, but the market hates it. Every single last bit of it.
Chart Check (“Hope”)
Behold: the ghost of Keynes…
This Annotated Chart Shows You Your Markets On Trump
This is your dollar. This is your dollar on tweets.
The Latest From Albert Edwards Or, Proof That “The Concept Of Heroes Is Never Great”
I’m not into hero worship. You might say that this is one time where I agree with Donald Trump who, when asked about heroes last month, hilariously said the following: “I don’t like the concept of heroes. The concept of heroes is never great.”
Chart Check (Cheap Dollar?)
Goldman thinks so…
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