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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Presenting, One Bank’s ‘Refi Losers’

January 29, 2019

Domino effects.

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1 Comment on Presenting, One Bank’s ‘Refi Losers’

Once A Caver, Always A Caver?

January 29, 2019January 29, 2019

“Funny how things change when Powell is staring down the barrel of a stock market decline that seemed to be spiraling out of control.”

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3 Comments on Once A Caver, Always A Caver?

‘Nobody Move, Nobody Gets Hurt’: Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On Market ‘Standoff’ Ahead Of Key Events

January 29, 2019January 29, 2019

For now, folks seem content to “rent” the risk rally.

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3 Comments on ‘Nobody Move, Nobody Gets Hurt’: Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On Market ‘Standoff’ Ahead Of Key Events

Harley-Davidson Profit Plunges To Zero Thanks To Trump’s Tariffs As MAGA Promise Keeps Delivering ‘Bigly’

January 29, 2019

“Hog wild”.

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1 Comment on Harley-Davidson Profit Plunges To Zero Thanks To Trump’s Tariffs As MAGA Promise Keeps Delivering ‘Bigly’

As S&P Guns For Best January Since 1990, Risks Abound

January 29, 2019January 29, 2019

Mind the land mines.

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Leave a Comment on As S&P Guns For Best January Since 1990, Risks Abound

Maduro Faces Endgame In Venezuela

January 28, 2019

It’s almost over.

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8 Comments on Maduro Faces Endgame In Venezuela

One Way To Kill Trust Ahead Of Trade Talks Is To Announce Criminal Charges Against Huawei, So That’s Just What We’ll Do

January 28, 2019January 28, 2019

Bad timing.

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3 Comments on One Way To Kill Trust Ahead Of Trade Talks Is To Announce Criminal Charges Against Huawei, So That’s Just What We’ll Do

As Barr Waffles, Blumenthal And Grassley Vow ‘American People Will Have Access To The Full Story’ From Mueller

January 28, 2019January 29, 2019

“Our legislation would guarantee that every Special Counsel does a report complete with findings and evidence – and that it be directly disclosed to Congress and the American people.”

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10 Comments on As Barr Waffles, Blumenthal And Grassley Vow ‘American People Will Have Access To The Full Story’ From Mueller

Buybacks Of The ‘Highest Quality’ And More To Come (Says One Bank)

January 28, 2019

If you’re looking for a relatively positive narrative…

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Leave a Comment on Buybacks Of The ‘Highest Quality’ And More To Come (Says One Bank)

Nvidia Sees Your China Worries, Raises You One ‘Extraordinary, Unusually Turbulent, Disappointing Quarter’

January 28, 2019

Sentiment “death blow”?

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Leave a Comment on Nvidia Sees Your China Worries, Raises You One ‘Extraordinary, Unusually Turbulent, Disappointing Quarter’

Trump Screams At ‘Gutless’ Howard Schultz, Says He Still Wants His Starbucks ‘Rent Money’, Though

January 28, 2019January 28, 2019

Spoiler alert: Howard doesn’t care what Trump tweets.

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2 Comments on Trump Screams At ‘Gutless’ Howard Schultz, Says He Still Wants His Starbucks ‘Rent Money’, Though

No Butterflies Here: Caterpillar Dives In Nauseating Knee-Jerk To Earnings Miss

January 28, 2019January 28, 2019

“High water mark.”

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2 Comments on No Butterflies Here: Caterpillar Dives In Nauseating Knee-Jerk To Earnings Miss

‘Less Than 50-50’: Local Septuagenarian Says Odds Are Against Him Staying Sane For Much Longer

January 28, 2019January 28, 2019

“Personally, I think”…

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15 Comments on ‘Less Than 50-50’: Local Septuagenarian Says Odds Are Against Him Staying Sane For Much Longer

Everything But The Kitchen Sink: Full Week Ahead Preview

January 27, 2019October 26, 2021

To say the week ahead features a full docket would be to grossly understate the case.

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1 Comment on Everything But The Kitchen Sink: Full Week Ahead Preview

Goldman Slashes Q1 US GDP Forecast (Again) Thanks To Shutdown

January 27, 2019January 27, 2019

Well, the US is all set to get back to business this week…

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1 Comment on Goldman Slashes Q1 US GDP Forecast (Again) Thanks To Shutdown

In Brazen Move, EU Set To Officially Launch Iran SPV Designed To Circumvent Trump’s Sanctions

January 27, 2019

Now let’s see how Trump responds.

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7 Comments on In Brazen Move, EU Set To Officially Launch Iran SPV Designed To Circumvent Trump’s Sanctions

Obstacles To Trump’s Syria Plan Mount As Kurds Shelled, Israel Pushes Back

January 27, 2019October 26, 2021

Donald Trump’s Syria plan is going “great”- in case you haven’t noticed.

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1 Comment on Obstacles To Trump’s Syria Plan Mount As Kurds Shelled, Israel Pushes Back

Saudi Crown Prince Rinses Blood Off Hands, Asks For $425 Billion In Investment

January 26, 2019

After all, what’s a dismembered journalist among friends, right?

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5 Comments on Saudi Crown Prince Rinses Blood Off Hands, Asks For $425 Billion In Investment

What Defeat Sounds Like: A Hapless Trump Flails After Crushing Week

January 26, 2019January 27, 2019

Body blows.

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3 Comments on What Defeat Sounds Like: A Hapless Trump Flails After Crushing Week

‘We Feel The Need To Shout About This Risk Even Louder’: Angels In Europe

January 26, 2019

Fallen angel risk, European style.

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5 Comments on ‘We Feel The Need To Shout About This Risk Even Louder’: Angels In Europe

Cognitive Instability And The Fed’s ‘Addiction Liability’

January 26, 2019October 24, 2021

“We are troubled with the opinions we have of things and not by the things themselves.”

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2 Comments on Cognitive Instability And The Fed’s ‘Addiction Liability’

Trump Caves, Agrees To Reopen Government With No Wall Money, Delivers Insane Rose Garden Presser

January 25, 2019January 26, 2019

Brace yourself, the video clips are characteristically unhinged…

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7 Comments on Trump Caves, Agrees To Reopen Government With No Wall Money, Delivers Insane Rose Garden Presser

‘Fallen Angel Risk’ Still Front And Center Despite Bounce As $186 Billion Of Bonds ‘Migrate’ To BBB

January 25, 2019

…nobody wants to assign a high probability to what would be a catastrophic event. 

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1 Comment on ‘Fallen Angel Risk’ Still Front And Center Despite Bounce As $186 Billion Of Bonds ‘Migrate’ To BBB

Frank Pentangeli Cameo In Roger Stone Indictment Makes Bad Optics Immeasurably Worse For White House

January 25, 2019January 25, 2019

“On multiple occasions, including on or about December 1, 2017, STONE told Person 2 that Person 2 should do a ‘Frank Pentangeli'”.

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3 Comments on Frank Pentangeli Cameo In Roger Stone Indictment Makes Bad Optics Immeasurably Worse For White House

Sanders Says Stone Indictment (Which Has 29 Mentions Of The Word ‘Trump’) Has ‘Nothing To Do With Trump’

January 25, 2019

No, *you’re* the collusion.

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4 Comments on Sanders Says Stone Indictment (Which Has 29 Mentions Of The Word ‘Trump’) Has ‘Nothing To Do With Trump’

As WSJ Tips ‘Earlier-Than-Expected’ End To QT, One Bank Assesses Impact On VIX, Rates Vol.

January 25, 2019

It’s time for another Timiraos “story”.

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1 Comment on As WSJ Tips ‘Earlier-Than-Expected’ End To QT, One Bank Assesses Impact On VIX, Rates Vol.

‘FBI. Open The Door’: Roger Stone Arrested, Charged With Obstruction, Witness Tampering

January 25, 2019October 24, 2021

“Get to [the head of Organization 1] [a]t Ecuadorian Embassy in London and get the pending [Organization 1] emails”…

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10 Comments on ‘FBI. Open The Door’: Roger Stone Arrested, Charged With Obstruction, Witness Tampering

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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