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Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 4, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 4, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026

Markets

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 4, 2026
  • Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

    November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026

economy

Someone’s Got Work For You

November 3, 2026November 4, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Macro Tourist: This Is The Best Long Vol. Position Out There Right Now

August 1, 2019August 1, 2019

“When he figures it out, there’s only one trade you want on the sheets”.

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1 Comment on Macro Tourist: This Is The Best Long Vol. Position Out There Right Now

‘He Tweeted With Everyone Still In The Oval’: Trump’s New Tariffs And What They May Mean For GDP

August 1, 2019August 2, 2019

The president clearly believes his luck will never run out.

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6 Comments on ‘He Tweeted With Everyone Still In The Oval’: Trump’s New Tariffs And What They May Mean For GDP

Trump Suggests He’d Consider Cutting Off All Trade With China

August 1, 2019

“We’d save a lot of money”.

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9 Comments on Trump Suggests He’d Consider Cutting Off All Trade With China

‘I’m Goin’ Long Tinfoil Hats’: Trump Tariff Broadside Triggers Massive Bond Rally

August 1, 2019August 1, 2019

“It sure looks like someone knew this was coming”.

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1 Comment on ‘I’m Goin’ Long Tinfoil Hats’: Trump Tariff Broadside Triggers Massive Bond Rally

As ‘Large Local Risk’ Realized, Fed May Be Forced To Finance Political ‘Rationality Deficit’

August 1, 2019August 1, 2019

“In the absence of conviction about the existence of political circuit breakers”…

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3 Comments on As ‘Large Local Risk’ Realized, Fed May Be Forced To Finance Political ‘Rationality Deficit’

‘Tariff Man’ Returns: Trump Announces New China Tariffs, Stocks Crash

August 1, 2019August 1, 2019

Everyone knew it was coming. 

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8 Comments on ‘Tariff Man’ Returns: Trump Announces New China Tariffs, Stocks Crash

‘A Sea Of Red’: Manufacturing Malaise Says World’s Ablaze

August 1, 2019August 1, 2019

“A sea of red, with all lights warning”.

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3 Comments on ‘A Sea Of Red’: Manufacturing Malaise Says World’s Ablaze

‘We’re Asking You, Mr. President’: Cincinnati Enquirer Begs Trump, Supporters Not To Humiliate The City At MAGA Rally

August 1, 2019

“We know this appeal might sound naive, but we cannot stop expecting the best from ourselves or our president”.

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11 Comments on ‘We’re Asking You, Mr. President’: Cincinnati Enquirer Begs Trump, Supporters Not To Humiliate The City At MAGA Rally

Goldman: The Fed Probably Thinks That Was A ‘Successful Meeting’

August 1, 2019

You could conceivably argue that Wednesday’s mini-tantrum was worth it.

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1 Comment on Goldman: The Fed Probably Thinks That Was A ‘Successful Meeting’

‘Rip-Roaring’ Dollar Rally Threatens Economic, Disinflationary And Political Headwinds

August 1, 2019August 1, 2019

This was the risk.

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6 Comments on ‘Rip-Roaring’ Dollar Rally Threatens Economic, Disinflationary And Political Headwinds

‘As Usual, Powell Let Us Down’: Trump Verbally Abuses Beleaguered Fed Chair After Bungled Press Conference

July 31, 2019August 1, 2019

Just a matter of time.

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7 Comments on ‘As Usual, Powell Let Us Down’: Trump Verbally Abuses Beleaguered Fed Chair After Bungled Press Conference

Nomura’s McElligott On What Can Go Wrong If The Fed Keeps Guiding Expectations Lower

July 31, 2019July 31, 2019

“From the perspective of a ‘give ‘em an inch, they take a mile'”…

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On What Can Go Wrong If The Fed Keeps Guiding Expectations Lower

Jerome Powell Turns In Disastrous Performance As ‘Plain English’ Goes Awry Yet Again

July 31, 2019July 31, 2019

“That’s where I’ll leave you for that”.

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10 Comments on Jerome Powell Turns In Disastrous Performance As ‘Plain English’ Goes Awry Yet Again

Fed Cuts Rates For First Time Since 2008. George, Rosengren Dissent

July 31, 2019July 31, 2019

With the world – and Donald Trump – watching…

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2 Comments on Fed Cuts Rates For First Time Since 2008. George, Rosengren Dissent

If We Don’t Reelect Trump, The Economy Will Fall Into A Depressionary ‘Sinkhole’ Unseen In Human History, Says Trump

July 31, 2019October 11, 2021

“Miracles”.

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7 Comments on If We Don’t Reelect Trump, The Economy Will Fall Into A Depressionary ‘Sinkhole’ Unseen In Human History, Says Trump

‘High Priestess’ Marianne Williamson Scores In Fight Against ‘Dark Psychic Forces’

July 31, 2019November 14, 2021

We laugh. But we laughed at Trump too.

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9 Comments on ‘High Priestess’ Marianne Williamson Scores In Fight Against ‘Dark Psychic Forces’

In Europe, No Green Shoots

July 31, 2019July 31, 2019

There’s little here to suggest the malaise is likely to clear.

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Leave a Comment on In Europe, No Green Shoots

US-China Talks Fizzle Out As Economic Cold War Shows No Signs Of Thawing

July 31, 2019July 31, 2019

According Xinhua, the two sides will hold the next round of talks in September.

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Leave a Comment on US-China Talks Fizzle Out As Economic Cold War Shows No Signs Of Thawing

Trump: ‘People In Baltimore Are Happy I’m Bringing Out The Fact It’s Like Living In Hell’

July 30, 2019

“I have no strategy. There’s zero strategy”.

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10 Comments on Trump: ‘People In Baltimore Are Happy I’m Bringing Out The Fact It’s Like Living In Hell’

As Accusations Fly, US-China Relationship Splinters Further At Just The Wrong Time

July 30, 2019

It’s been death by a thousand soundbites this week.

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Leave a Comment on As Accusations Fly, US-China Relationship Splinters Further At Just The Wrong Time

Here Are The 14 Biggest Problems With Central Banks Being ‘The Only Game In Town’

July 30, 2019July 30, 2019

As we approach a pivotal juncture for the post-crisis monetary policy regime, potential problems are mounting.

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Leave a Comment on Here Are The 14 Biggest Problems With Central Banks Being ‘The Only Game In Town’

Surprise! Trump Funnels Vast Majority Of $8 Billion In Farmer Bailouts To Wealthy, White Men

July 30, 2019July 30, 2019

Shocking, we know.

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3 Comments on Surprise! Trump Funnels Vast Majority Of $8 Billion In Farmer Bailouts To Wealthy, White Men

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Messy’ Dollar Funding Markets May Argue For Fed ‘Power Cut’ – But There’s A Catch

July 30, 2019July 30, 2019

What’s the real rationale behind a potential “shock” cut?

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Messy’ Dollar Funding Markets May Argue For Fed ‘Power Cut’ – But There’s A Catch

Trump Furious With China For Not ‘Following Through’ On Farm Promise They Never Made

July 30, 2019July 30, 2019

“They should probably wait out our Election to see if we get one of the Democrat stiffs like Sleepy Joe”.

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3 Comments on Trump Furious With China For Not ‘Following Through’ On Farm Promise They Never Made

Goldman Lifts S&P Price Target, Sees 3,400 In 2020, Slashes EPS Outlook

July 30, 2019July 30, 2019

There’s good news and there’s bad news.

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2 Comments on Goldman Lifts S&P Price Target, Sees 3,400 In 2020, Slashes EPS Outlook

Out Of Rabbits, A Paralyzed Bank Of Japan Sits Idly By

July 30, 2019July 30, 2019

The BoJ did what they could do on Tuesday – which was nothing.

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Read Elizabeth Warren’s New ‘Our Terms’ Trade Policy

July 29, 2019

“As President, I won’t hand America’s leverage to big corporations to use for their own narrow purposes”.

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2 Comments on Read Elizabeth Warren’s New ‘Our Terms’ Trade Policy

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Monthly Letters

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