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Featured

The Capex Catch-22

November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026

economy

Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

ADP, WSJ Deliver One-Two Punch To ‘Aggressive’ Fed Cut Narrative

September 5, 2019

Curb your enthusiasm.

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1 Comment on ADP, WSJ Deliver One-Two Punch To ‘Aggressive’ Fed Cut Narrative

Nomura’s McElligott Talks US-China Trade News, September Sequencing For Equities

September 5, 2019

“Merely ‘face time’ for markets and little more”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Talks US-China Trade News, September Sequencing For Equities

‘This Is Rubbish’: Former Lehman Trader Says Stocks Living On ‘Hopes And Prayers’

September 5, 2019September 5, 2019

The data out of Germany is still bad. And one trader isn’t optimistic.

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4 Comments on ‘This Is Rubbish’: Former Lehman Trader Says Stocks Living On ‘Hopes And Prayers’

‘Hey, Where’s My Yield?’: UBS, BNP See 10Y US Yields Tumbling To Just 1% As Growth Slows

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

“Our growth forecasts remain below consensus, even though consensus has come down significantly”.

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US, China Trade Talks Scheduled For Early October As Hope Floats

September 4, 2019September 5, 2019

Rejoice…

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4 Comments on US, China Trade Talks Scheduled For Early October As Hope Floats

Apple Has $200 Billion In Cash – But It’s Borrowing $7 Billion Anyway

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

A sign of the times…

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3 Comments on Apple Has $200 Billion In Cash – But It’s Borrowing $7 Billion Anyway

Boris Johnson Racks Up More Losses In Absurd Quest For Brexit

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

Let the farce continue.

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2 Comments on Boris Johnson Racks Up More Losses In Absurd Quest For Brexit

Trump: ‘My Stock Market Would Be 10,000 Points Higher’ If Not For My Tariffs

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

“To me, this is much more important than the economy”.

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7 Comments on Trump: ‘My Stock Market Would Be 10,000 Points Higher’ If Not For My Tariffs

Alan Greenspan: Negative Rates In The US ‘Just A Matter Of Time’

September 4, 2019

Not far-fetched – not even a little bit.

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Alan Greenspan: The Fate Of The Economy In 2019 Depends On The Stock Market

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

“Strangely enough”…

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2 Comments on Alan Greenspan: The Fate Of The Economy In 2019 Depends On The Stock Market

Why A Flat Curve Ties The Fed’s Hands And May Force ‘Outer Rim’ Easing Options

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

Trouble with the curve.

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‘Reading The News Would Suggest The US Is Already In Recession’: SocGen

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

One more shove and bond pricing will send a warning sign to equities…

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1 Comment on ‘Reading The News Would Suggest The US Is Already In Recession’: SocGen

Bill Dudley Is Back, Says The Fed Has Been Politicized, Swears There’s No ‘Deep State’

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

“My intention was to be provocative”.

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Leave a Comment on Bill Dudley Is Back, Says The Fed Has Been Politicized, Swears There’s No ‘Deep State’

Hong Kong’s Carrie Lam To Formally Withdraw Extradition Bill. But It’s Not Enough For Protesters

September 4, 2019September 4, 2019

“Five Demands. Not One Less.”

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1 Comment on Hong Kong’s Carrie Lam To Formally Withdraw Extradition Bill. But It’s Not Enough For Protesters

The More Trump Tweets, The Worse Off Stocks Are, BofA Shows

September 3, 2019

“Tread cautiously”.

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4 Comments on The More Trump Tweets, The Worse Off Stocks Are, BofA Shows

Trump Wanted To Double Tariffs On China, Had To Be Talked Down By ‘Multiple CEOs’

September 3, 2019September 4, 2019

Mnuchin and Lighthizer were forced to ask CEOs to call the president and warn him about the potential impact.

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4 Comments on Trump Wanted To Double Tariffs On China, Had To Be Talked Down By ‘Multiple CEOs’

‘Not A Good Start Boris!’ Johnson Loses Critical Vote As MPs Move To Prevent No-Deal Brexit

September 3, 2019September 3, 2019

The farce continues.

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2 Comments on ‘Not A Good Start Boris!’ Johnson Loses Critical Vote As MPs Move To Prevent No-Deal Brexit

‘We Are Too High’: Jim Bullard Says It’s Time To ‘Feel The Market’ With Bigly Rate Cut

September 3, 2019September 3, 2019

“We should have a robust debate”.

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3 Comments on ‘We Are Too High’: Jim Bullard Says It’s Time To ‘Feel The Market’ With Bigly Rate Cut

Macro Tourist: The Simple Reason Yield Curve Control Isn’t Coming To The US

September 3, 2019September 3, 2019

Pegging the yield curve will be the last step they take.

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5 Comments on Macro Tourist: The Simple Reason Yield Curve Control Isn’t Coming To The US

Trump Sanctions Iran’s Space Program Days After Infamous Rocket Tweet

September 3, 2019September 3, 2019

An “urgent threat”, apparently.

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MAGA Economy Dealt Another Body Blow As ISM Dives Into Contraction

September 3, 2019September 3, 2019

We’re gonna need more insurance cuts (and more tweets).

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3 Comments on MAGA Economy Dealt Another Body Blow As ISM Dives Into Contraction

Iran, France Rush To Finalize $15 Billion Credit Line Amid Escalations

September 3, 2019September 3, 2019

“We can have 20% enriched fuel within one or two days”.

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Trump Piles On, Threatens To ‘Crumble’ China’s Supply Chain, Create Massive Job Losses

September 3, 2019

“16 months PLUS is a long time to be hemorrhaging jobs”.

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10 Comments on Trump Piles On, Threatens To ‘Crumble’ China’s Supply Chain, Create Massive Job Losses

Draft Of Trump Allies’ Plan To Target Editors, Reporters From NY Times, WaPo, CNN Leaks

September 3, 2019

“CNN, MSNBC, all broadcast networks, NY Times, Washington Post, BuzzFeed, Huffington Post”…

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8 Comments on Draft Of Trump Allies’ Plan To Target Editors, Reporters From NY Times, WaPo, CNN Leaks

Huawei Alleges Vast US Conspiracy Complete With Cyber Attacks, FBI Agents, Entrapment

September 3, 2019

“A malign, concerted effort”.

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‘The World Is Sighing’: US-China Stalemate Shows No Signs Of Breaking

September 3, 2019September 3, 2019

“Obviously”.

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Inflation In South Korea Just Fell To Zero

September 2, 2019November 30, 2019

Don’t worry, because “it’s hard to say it’s a precursor of deflation”.

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Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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