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Featured

The Capex Catch-22

November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026

economy

Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Traders To Ponder Bonds, Key Data In New Week As ‘This Guy Jerome’ Goes Quiet

September 8, 2019November 21, 2021

Although Europe will make headlines, there’s plenty to focus on in the US.

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As ‘Super Mario’ Steps Up To Bat, ‘Markets Are Vulnerable To A Correction’

September 8, 2019

Let’s see if he has one more rabbit in the hat.

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1 Comment on As ‘Super Mario’ Steps Up To Bat, ‘Markets Are Vulnerable To A Correction’

China Said To Offer ‘Modest’ Farm Purchases In Exchange For Delay Of October 1 Tariff Hike

September 8, 2019September 8, 2019

This doesn’t say much for “progress”.

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Leave a Comment on China Said To Offer ‘Modest’ Farm Purchases In Exchange For Delay Of October 1 Tariff Hike

Hong Kong Protests Turn Red, White And Blue, Trump Hailed As ‘Liberator’

September 8, 2019September 8, 2019

“Today’s march from the US consulate looks to be the most red, white and blue protest that Hong Kong has seen”.

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1 Comment on Hong Kong Protests Turn Red, White And Blue, Trump Hailed As ‘Liberator’

‘Rudd’erless Brexit Plan Likely Spells Another Bad Week For Boris Johnson

September 8, 2019September 8, 2019

“Of course”.

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3 Comments on ‘Rudd’erless Brexit Plan Likely Spells Another Bad Week For Boris Johnson

#TalibanTrump Roasted On Twitter After Revealing Bungled Camp David Talks

September 8, 2019September 8, 2019

“Read ‘The Art Of The Deal!'”

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3 Comments on #TalibanTrump Roasted On Twitter After Revealing Bungled Camp David Talks

China’s Export Machine Slams Into Reverse In August Amid New Trade Threats

September 8, 2019

We’re going to need more easing.

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Khalid Al-Falih Ousted As Saudi Energy Minister – MBS Half-Brother Will Take It From Here

September 7, 2019November 21, 2021

This was his third demotion in two weeks.

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on Khalid Al-Falih Ousted As Saudi Energy Minister – MBS Half-Brother Will Take It From Here

US Bond Yields Will Keep Falling Unless One Of These 3 ‘Disruptors’ Comes Calling

September 7, 2019

This should sound familiar.

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1 Comment on US Bond Yields Will Keep Falling Unless One Of These 3 ‘Disruptors’ Comes Calling

Sorry France, Trump May Impose Those Wine Tariffs After All

September 7, 2019November 21, 2021

Cheers!

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4 Comments on Sorry France, Trump May Impose Those Wine Tariffs After All

The Great War Of Attrition: 5 Reasons Why The US-China Trade Conflict Won’t End Soon

September 7, 2019September 8, 2019

“Stay tuned”.

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9 Comments on The Great War Of Attrition: 5 Reasons Why The US-China Trade Conflict Won’t End Soon

Iran Says Enrichment Limit Null And Void, In Latest Escalation

September 7, 2019September 7, 2019

“Maximum pressure” still isn’t working.

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3 Comments on Iran Says Enrichment Limit Null And Void, In Latest Escalation

On One Read, Stocks And Credit May Be Perilously Disconnected From Economic Reality

September 6, 2019September 7, 2019

The glass-half-empty take.

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2 Comments on On One Read, Stocks And Credit May Be Perilously Disconnected From Economic Reality

S&P Can (And Probably Will) Rally Despite US Manufacturing Contraction, Goldman Says

September 6, 2019September 7, 2019

Fingers crossed.

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7 Comments on S&P Can (And Probably Will) Rally Despite US Manufacturing Contraction, Goldman Says

Powell Delivers Acceptable Performance In Zurich: Highlights

September 6, 2019September 6, 2019

“We don’t have groupthink on the FOMC”.

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8 Comments on Powell Delivers Acceptable Performance In Zurich: Highlights

Boris Johnson’s Bad Week Got A Bit Worse On Friday

September 6, 2019September 6, 2019

“That is not a hypothesis I’m willing to contemplate”.

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2 Comments on Boris Johnson’s Bad Week Got A Bit Worse On Friday

Larry Kudlow Is Furious With Bill Dudley – Let’s Discuss

September 6, 2019September 6, 2019

“Dudley went over the cliff”.

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1 Comment on Larry Kudlow Is Furious With Bill Dudley – Let’s Discuss

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘The Only Catalyst To Turn The Tide On Perpetually Lower Rates May Be MMT’

September 6, 2019September 6, 2019

“From a secular perspective, the only catalyst I can see on the horizon”…

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Leave a Comment on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘The Only Catalyst To Turn The Tide On Perpetually Lower Rates May Be MMT’

Not Goldilocks: Jobs Report Misses, Wage Growth Comes In Hot

September 6, 2019September 6, 2019

Disappointing headline and hot wage inflation.

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2 Comments on Not Goldilocks: Jobs Report Misses, Wage Growth Comes In Hot

No Light At End Of German Tunnel As Industrial Production Sinks Again

September 6, 2019

“There are still no signs of improvement”.

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What To Know About China’s RRR Cut

September 6, 2019September 6, 2019

This is likely just the beginning.

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1 Comment on What To Know About China’s RRR Cut

Let’s Be Honest: Trump Is Nowhere Close To A ‘Real’ Trade Deal With China Or Europe

September 5, 2019September 6, 2019

Don’t forget, “there is no pot of gold at the end of a rainbow”.

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3 Comments on Let’s Be Honest: Trump Is Nowhere Close To A ‘Real’ Trade Deal With China Or Europe

$74 Billion In Three Days: Corporate America Goes On Record Borrowing Binge

September 5, 2019September 5, 2019

It’s official.

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3 Comments on $74 Billion In Three Days: Corporate America Goes On Record Borrowing Binge

It’s America’s Turn To Inflate The Bond Bubble, Goldman Says

September 5, 2019

From here forward, the bullish bond impulse will have to come from the US.

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Leave a Comment on It’s America’s Turn To Inflate The Bond Bubble, Goldman Says

And Now, A Brutal Bloodbath In Bonds

September 5, 2019September 5, 2019

We were due.

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10 Comments on And Now, A Brutal Bloodbath In Bonds

Albert Edwards Reprises Famous Ice Age Thesis After ‘Cold’ Summer For Critics

September 5, 2019September 5, 2019

“My outlandish visions can suddenly come to pass very quickly indeed”.

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Turkey’s Erdogan Threatens To Flood Europe With Syrians, Also Says He Might Need Some Nukes

September 5, 2019September 5, 2019

“We did not receive the support needed”.

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2 Comments on Turkey’s Erdogan Threatens To Flood Europe With Syrians, Also Says He Might Need Some Nukes

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • WMD on The Capex Catch-22
  • Gerard Jones on Let’s Talk Blue Waves
  • WMD on Let’s Talk Blue Waves
  • T-Dog on The Capex Catch-22

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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