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Featured

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026

Markets

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Goldman Just Spent $1 Billion To Prop Up Its Own Money Market Funds Amid Turmoil

March 22, 2020March 22, 2020

“…providing liquidity to clients focused on the near-term implications of the current market environment.”

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Leave a Comment on Goldman Just Spent $1 Billion To Prop Up Its Own Money Market Funds Amid Turmoil

Global Crisis Rolls On: Nearly 1 In 4 Americans Locked Down, Italy Shuts Production, Bezos Says Amazon ‘Critical’

March 22, 2020March 22, 2020

“This is the most difficult crisis in our post-war period”.

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6 Comments on Global Crisis Rolls On: Nearly 1 In 4 Americans Locked Down, Italy Shuts Production, Bezos Says Amazon ‘Critical’

COVID Carte Blanche: Political Opposition To Trillion-Dollar Stimulus Crumbles In Pandemic

March 21, 2020March 22, 2020

“Certainly the rapidity of the collapse in markets and the unfolding economic slump has accelerated the policy response”.

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4 Comments on COVID Carte Blanche: Political Opposition To Trillion-Dollar Stimulus Crumbles In Pandemic

Distressed. Officially.

March 21, 2020

A “massive rush for liquidity”.

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5 Comments on Distressed. Officially.

As Virus Deaths Climb, Equity Positioning Drops To All-Time Low. Cue Helicopter Money

March 21, 2020March 21, 2020

“The package is coming in at about 10% of GDP. It’s very large”.

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5 Comments on As Virus Deaths Climb, Equity Positioning Drops To All-Time Low. Cue Helicopter Money

After ‘Great Liquidity Crisis,’ JPMorgan’s Kolanovic, Nomura’s McElligott Look Back And Ahead

March 20, 2020March 21, 2020

“Many aspects of this crisis have played out in-line with our prediction”.

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10 Comments on After ‘Great Liquidity Crisis,’ JPMorgan’s Kolanovic, Nomura’s McElligott Look Back And Ahead

The Premise That Nothing Bad Happens

March 20, 2020March 20, 2020

“So what happens next?”

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oil9 Comments on The Premise That Nothing Bad Happens

New York, London On Lockdown. Deaths In Italy Surge. More Banks See ‘Severe’ Global Recession

March 20, 2020March 20, 2020

“If this doesn’t work, we’re going to keep doing it until we get this going”.

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Leave a Comment on New York, London On Lockdown. Deaths In Italy Surge. More Banks See ‘Severe’ Global Recession

The Fed’s Mini-Muni Bailout And Why It Matters

March 20, 2020March 20, 2020

“Exigent circumstances”.

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4 Comments on The Fed’s Mini-Muni Bailout And Why It Matters

Goldman Sees Near Total Collapse: US Economy To Contract 24% In Q2, Jobless Claims To Hit 2.25 Million This Week

March 20, 2020March 20, 2020

“A decline of this magnitude would be nearly two-and-a-half times the size of the largest quarterly decline in the history of modern GDP statistics”.

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19 Comments on Goldman Sees Near Total Collapse: US Economy To Contract 2419 In Q2, Jobless Claims To Hit 2.25 Million This Week

Restaurant Industry Flatlines, Jobless Claims Set For Exponential Spike As COVID Crisis Hits Home In America

March 20, 2020March 20, 2020

“…do nothing more than ‘provide information using generalities”.

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5 Comments on Restaurant Industry Flatlines, Jobless Claims Set For Exponential Spike As COVID Crisis Hits Home In America

Any Dawn Will Do. Stocks Up, Dollar Down, Germany Mulls Nationalizations

March 20, 2020March 20, 2020

False dawn? Maybe. But…

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Leave a Comment on Any Dawn Will Do. Stocks Up, Dollar Down, Germany Mulls Nationalizations

In Credit, A Swan Song

March 19, 2020March 20, 2020

This was always the worry. But no one ever took it seriously.

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4 Comments on In Credit, A Swan Song

Don’t Call It A Reprieve.

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

The underlying economic reality is stark.

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3 Comments on Don’t Call It A Reprieve.

Trump, Clearly Making It Up As He Goes Along, Jawbones Oil To Best Day In History

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“They’re in a fight”.

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oil, OPEC8 Comments on Trump, Clearly Making It Up As He Goes Along, Jawbones Oil To Best Day In History

Gamma Drop-Off Offers Hope, But Now We Know: The Babadook Is Real

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

You can’t get rid of the Babadook.

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5 Comments on Gamma Drop-Off Offers Hope, But Now We Know: The Babadook Is Real

BOE Goes All In, Cuts Rates (Again), Ramps Up QE

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“Bazooka Bailey”.

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Leave a Comment on BOE Goes All In, Cuts Rates (Again), Ramps Up QE

Fed Answers Market SOS, Expands Dollar Swap Lines In Crucial Move Amid FX Chaos

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

The new facilities will be in place for “at least six months”, the Fed said Thursday.

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Ray Dalio: ‘We Have A Crisis. US Corporate Losses May Be $4 Trillion’

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“What’s happening has not happened in our lifetime before”.

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6 Comments on Ray Dalio: ‘We Have A Crisis. US Corporate Losses May Be $4 Trillion’

Mar-A-Lago Accord, Untradeable FX And The Dangers Of Shutting Markets

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“FX remains untradeable”.

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3 Comments on Mar-A-Lago Accord, Untradeable FX And The Dangers Of Shutting Markets

Fed Moves To Support Money Market Funds In Latest GFC Flashback

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

Are all the leaks plugged now? Somehow, I doubt it.

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1 Comment on Fed Moves To Support Money Market Funds In Latest GFC Flashback

Australia Unveils Asset Purchases, Yield Targeting As Economy Set For First Recession In Three Decades

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

“The functioning of major government bond markets has been impaired”.

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Leave a Comment on Australia Unveils Asset Purchases, Yield Targeting As Economy Set For First Recession In Three Decades

ECB Launches New €750 Billion ‘Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program’. Says ‘Won’t Tolerate’ Virus Anymore

March 18, 2020March 19, 2020

“The Governing Council will do everything necessary.”

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4 Comments on ECB Launches New €750 Billion ‘Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program’. Says ‘Won’t Tolerate’ Virus Anymore

‘A Massive Margin Call On The Whole Financial Asset Rally Since 2010’

March 18, 2020March 19, 2020

“The moves smack of massive de-leveraging and a run into dollar cash”.

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oil12 Comments on ‘A Massive Margin Call On The Whole Financial Asset Rally Since 2010’

Ablaze.

March 18, 2020March 19, 2020

Wartime.

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8 Comments on Ablaze.

Bernanke, Yellen, Ackman Sound Alarm. Some Now See Virus As Existential Threat

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

We are, to put it bluntly, at a tipping point.

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14 Comments on Bernanke, Yellen, Ackman Sound Alarm. Some Now See Virus As Existential Threat

‘When Risk Parity Goes Wrong’ And The Coming ‘New World Order’

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

“I believe that investors are realizing that, in fact, this dual ‘Left Tail’ is now clearly about to dictate a ‘new world order'”.

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2 Comments on ‘When Risk Parity Goes Wrong’ And The Coming ‘New World Order’

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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