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Featured

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

Oil, Dammit!

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘I Can’t Even Begin To Guess Where Prices Will Be’: Oil Has A Virus Problem

June 24, 2020June 24, 2020

“Banks are completely unprepared for what is heading their way”.

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oil10 Comments on ‘I Can’t Even Begin To Guess Where Prices Will Be’: Oil Has A Virus Problem

‘Days Like This’: Coronavirus News Takes Decisive Turn For The Worse

June 24, 2020June 24, 2020

Cue The Shirelles.

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8 Comments on ‘Days Like This’: Coronavirus News Takes Decisive Turn For The Worse

IMF Delivers Dour New Economic Projections. Says This Is ‘Crisis Like No Other’

June 24, 2020June 24, 2020

“The recent rebound in financial market sentiment appears disconnected from shifts in underlying economic prospects”.

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2 Comments on IMF Delivers Dour New Economic Projections. Says This Is ‘Crisis Like No Other’

Albert Edwards: ‘This Is Exactly What The Ice Age End-Game Always Was’

June 24, 2020June 24, 2020

“The veil is finally being lifted”.

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19 Comments on Albert Edwards: ‘This Is Exactly What The Ice Age End-Game Always Was’

Summer Gin And Tonics At Risk As Tariff Man Makes A Stealth Comeback

June 24, 2020June 24, 2020

Now that’s a potential tragedy.

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5 Comments on Summer Gin And Tonics At Risk As Tariff Man Makes A Stealth Comeback

Congrats To Jay Powell! June Junk Bond Bonanza Shatters All-Time Record

June 23, 2020June 23, 2020

Quite the feat.

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2 Comments on Congrats To Jay Powell! June Junk Bond Bonanza Shatters All-Time Record

No Kidding. No Entry. No Bears.

June 23, 2020June 24, 2020

At least America has something going for it.

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4 Comments on No Kidding. No Entry. No Bears.

Just Send The Checks.

June 23, 2020

“You know what they say”…

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1 Comment on Just Send The Checks.

US Economy ‘Deeply Scarred,’ As PMIs Show Tepid, Albeit Readily Perceptible, Recovery

June 23, 2020

“Continual vigilance by the Fed… will therefore be required”.

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1 Comment on US Economy ‘Deeply Scarred,’ As PMIs Show Tepid, Albeit Readily Perceptible, Recovery

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘One Very Significant Source’ Of US Equities Buying Started A Daisy Chain

June 23, 2020June 23, 2020

“…we might have triggered a ‘buyers are higher’ dynamic”.

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Close Encounters.

June 23, 2020June 23, 2020

“A taste of things to come”.

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9 Comments on Close Encounters.

Europe ‘No Longer Collapsing,’ Useless Data Shows

June 23, 2020June 23, 2020

“…a sense of relief that a sharp rebound is possible but at the same time caution against too much optimism”.

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Leave a Comment on Europe ‘No Longer Collapsing,’ Useless Data Shows

‘It’s Over’: Peter Navarro Declares China Trade Deal Dead, Immediately Backtracks

June 22, 2020October 12, 2021

“They sent hundreds of thousands of people to this country to spread that virus”.

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9 Comments on ‘It’s Over’: Peter Navarro Declares China Trade Deal Dead, Immediately Backtracks

Unacceptable.

June 22, 2020June 23, 2020

“…largely out of grasp”.

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15 Comments on Unacceptable.

‘The Most Fundamental Problem’ For Jerome Powell: Your Savings Account

June 22, 2020June 22, 2020

I know a way out of this nightmare.

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16 Comments on ‘The Most Fundamental Problem’ For Jerome Powell: Your Savings Account

Equity Supply/Demand Picture In 2020 More ‘Benign’ Than Feared, One Bank Says

June 22, 2020

“…significantly higher from last year but not massively so”.

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4 Comments on Equity Supply/Demand Picture In 2020 More ‘Benign’ Than Feared, One Bank Says

The Gorilla In The Room.

June 22, 2020June 22, 2020

The TGA question, dollar liquidity and a Machiavellian “conspiracy theory”.

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9 Comments on The Gorilla In The Room.

Market (Quietly) Pivots Back To Lockdown Trades, As Kudlow Says ‘No Second Wave Coming’

June 22, 2020June 22, 2020

“I really think it’s a pretty good situation”.

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8 Comments on Market (Quietly) Pivots Back To Lockdown Trades, As Kudlow Says ‘No Second Wave Coming’

Participation Is ‘Voluntary’

June 22, 2020June 22, 2020

“…the markets are in the mood to try to be happy”.

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3 Comments on Participation Is ‘Voluntary’

Trump To Axios: I Haven’t Sanctioned China For Human Rights Abuses Because Of The Trade Deal

June 21, 2020June 22, 2020

“But I don’t go around saying, ‘Oh, help me with my election”.

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6 Comments on Trump To Axios: I Haven’t Sanctioned China For Human Rights Abuses Because Of The Trade Deal

‘Kung Flu’: Trump Reverts To Reckless Abandon In Virus Fight

June 21, 2020June 21, 2020

“A tongue in cheek thing”. 

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4 Comments on ‘Kung Flu’: Trump Reverts To Reckless Abandon In Virus Fight

‘Surprise!’ Another 20/20 Moment

June 21, 2020June 21, 2020

Hindsight.

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4 Comments on ‘Surprise!’ Another 20/20 Moment

Goldman: Corporate Demand For US Stocks ‘Will Plummet 80%’ This Year. S&P Ain’t Going Anywhere

June 21, 2020June 21, 2020

“Equity issuance has skyrocketed to $170 billion this year”…

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10 Comments on Goldman: Corporate Demand For US Stocks ‘Will Plummet 8010’ This Year. S&P Ain’t Going Anywhere

No, Positioning In Equities Is Still Not Stretched. ‘Mania’ Talk Notwithstanding

June 20, 2020

Of course, the list of things that could go wrong is obviously quite long. But you already know that.

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4 Comments on No, Positioning In Equities Is Still Not Stretched. ‘Mania’ Talk Notwithstanding

‘Creeping Into The Unconventional’ And Why Everything You Thought You Knew Is Wrong

June 20, 2020June 20, 2020

“There is only one way to pay.”

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20 Comments on ‘Creeping Into The Unconventional’ And Why Everything You Thought You Knew Is Wrong

End Game Nears In Hong Kong, As China Releases Details Of National Security Plan

June 20, 2020June 20, 2020

“This new law can simply mean anything Beijing wants it to mean”.

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7 Comments on End Game Nears In Hong Kong, As China Releases Details Of National Security Plan

Trump, Bill Barr Make Most Brazen Move Yet With Late-Night Sacking Of Geoffrey Berman

June 20, 2020June 21, 2020

“Why does a president get rid of his own hand-picked US Attorney less than five months before the election?”

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13 Comments on Trump, Bill Barr Make Most Brazen Move Yet With Late-Night Sacking Of Geoffrey Berman

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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