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Featured

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026
  • Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • An ARM And A Leg

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

The Price Of Peace

August 25, 2021August 26, 2021

“Summer melt-up continues,” read one headline, on a sleepy Wednesday afternoon. I don’t know, maybe

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5 Comments on The Price Of Peace

‘Clouded Over Again’

August 25, 2021August 26, 2021

A furious rebound in beleaguered Chinese tech behemoths stalled after just two days, while global

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1,000-Point Gap Opens Between S&P Bulls, Bears

August 24, 2021August 29, 2021

The “doubt proved misplaced,” Bloomberg’s Lu Wang wrote Tuesday, as US equities marched toward another

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Risk Of ‘Balanced Bear’ May Increase, Goldman Says

August 24, 2021August 25, 2021

Remember the “can’t lose” conjuncture? It’s a pretty simple dynamic. Secular growth, including mega-US tech,

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Leave a Comment on Risk Of ‘Balanced Bear’ May Increase, Goldman Says

Regular People Can’t Keep Buying $400K Homes

August 24, 2021September 1, 2021

Happy day. After falling for three consecutive months, new home sales topped estimates for July,

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18 Comments on Regular People Can’t Keep Buying $400K Homes

‘A Good Ol’ Fashioned Short-Squeeze’

August 24, 2021August 25, 2021

Stocks may end up “trapped” again, where that means consigned to a rangebound grind, likely

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Odds Of China Policy Pivot Game-Changer Increase Rapidly

August 24, 2021August 31, 2021

It’s “everybody back in the risk pool,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Tuesday, on the heels

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2 Comments on Odds Of China Policy Pivot Game-Changer Increase Rapidly

‘Uninvestable’ Chinese Tech Stages Ridiculous Comeback Rally

August 24, 2021August 24, 2021

Chinese tech shares surged a second day Tuesday, bolstering global risk sentiment and (finally) rewarding

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5 Comments on ‘Uninvestable’ Chinese Tech Stages Ridiculous Comeback Rally

Payback?

August 23, 2021August 24, 2021

Generally speaking, analysts blamed the Delta variant for the recent deterioration in consumer sentiment and

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‘What Turned The Tide’ For Stocks

August 23, 2021August 28, 2021

So close, yet so far. From a cascading, selling-begets-selling, self-fulfilling drawdown, that is. For a

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Stagflation-ary

August 23, 2021August 24, 2021

Economic activity decelerated in early August, flash PMIs out Monday suggested, underscoring what, by now,

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5 Comments on Stagflation-ary

An Atrocity Against Human Progress And Reason

August 23, 2021August 24, 2021

Cases keep rising, and people keep dying, but Americans are a stubborn bunch. Stubborn is

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18 Comments on An Atrocity Against Human Progress And Reason

Rebounds, Bargains And ‘Zero’ Covid

August 23, 2021August 23, 2021

Risk assets started the new week on the front foot, as the dollar backpedaled from

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Speed Bumps

August 22, 2021August 23, 2021

Jackson Hole isn’t the only thing on the docket in the new week. Jerome Powell’s

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2 Comments on Speed Bumps

Cotton Candy Skies (Virtually)

August 22, 2021August 26, 2021

The marquee event in the new week is obviously Jackson Hole. It’ll be hosted virtually

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2 Comments on Cotton Candy Skies (Virtually)

America’s Cold Civil War

August 22, 2021August 23, 2021

When, however, inequality reaches the critical point, when interests diverge so much that consensus is

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8 Comments on America’s Cold Civil War

‘Professional Prognosticators’

August 21, 2021August 23, 2021

The smartest among us admit how little we know and, as a corollary, acknowledge that

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6 Comments on ‘Professional Prognosticators’

Amazon, BABA Burn Hedge Funds Amid Record ‘VIP’ Lag

August 21, 2021August 22, 2021

It’s been a rough stretch for hedge funds’ most popular positions. If you’re inexplicably inclined

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1 Comment on Amazon, BABA Burn Hedge Funds Amid Record ‘VIP’ Lag

Autumn ‘Flash Recession’ And A Litany Of Concerns

August 20, 2021August 27, 2021

It’s all too easy to cite a litany of concerns in the course of suggesting

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7 Comments on Autumn ‘Flash Recession’ And A Litany Of Concerns

‘Little Wonder Everyone Buys The Dip’

August 20, 2021August 22, 2021

“Our view, negative returns for stocks and credit in the second half,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett

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2 Comments on ‘Little Wonder Everyone Buys The Dip’

What Goes Up

August 20, 2021August 21, 2021

Negativity on the macro front is finding its way into investor sentiment despite robust earnings,

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Xi Burns It Down: Hong Kong In Bear Market, Tech Wiped Out

August 20, 2021August 24, 2021

The Hang Seng fell into a bear market Friday amid another steep decline in Chinese

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3 Comments on Xi Burns It Down: Hong Kong In Bear Market, Tech Wiped Out

Wall Street Moves Up Taper Timeline As Fed ‘Taken Literally’

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

The Fed pretty clearly believes the market is prepared to deal with a reduction in

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4 Comments on Wall Street Moves Up Taper Timeline As Fed ‘Taken Literally’

The Fed’s Afghanistan

August 19, 2021August 29, 2021

“The idea that somehow, there’s a way to have gotten out without chaos ensuing, I

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11 Comments on The Fed’s Afghanistan

We May Be ‘On The Verge’ Of A Cascade

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

You can skip the “taper tantrum” (or, as some market participants branded it Thursday, “mini-tantrum”)

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Meanwhile, The Data Is A Mixed Bag

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

348,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, down markedly from the prior week and

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Leave a Comment on Meanwhile, The Data Is A Mixed Bag

Chinese Tech Collapse Reaches 45%. Toyota Delivers Delta Reality Check

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

Sentiment took a marked turn for the worse Thursday as a confluence of factors conspired

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4 Comments on Chinese Tech Collapse Reaches 454. Toyota Delivers Delta Reality Check

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on Lagarde Versus Le Pen?
  • Gimpy on Lagarde Versus Le Pen?
  • Caribbean Breeze on My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money
  • Blognonymous on My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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