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Featured

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026
  • Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • An ARM And A Leg

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Through The Looking Glass: A Survey Of Decentralized Finance

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

We are witnessing a renaissance at the intersection of mathematics, computer science, and finance, and

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3 Comments on Through The Looking Glass: A Survey Of Decentralized Finance

The Strain, The Taper And The Caveats

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

The word “variant” showed up seven times in the July Fed minutes, the word “Delta”

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1 Comment on The Strain, The Taper And The Caveats

Booster Clarion Call: Reasoning With The ‘Other’ Half

August 18, 2021August 23, 2021

It’s probably best if you get a booster shot, US health officials reckon. “The available

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7 Comments on Booster Clarion Call: Reasoning With The ‘Other’ Half

US Housing Conundrum Persists Amid Sky-High Prices

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

US housing starts dropped to a 1.534 million annualized pace last month, the Commerce Department

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7 Comments on US Housing Conundrum Persists Amid Sky-High Prices

Is Fear Back?

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

Fear sells, and Wednesday was a good day to be in the business of peddling

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3 Comments on Is Fear Back?

Did We Underestimate The Biggest Risks?

August 17, 2021August 26, 2021

Investors may have underestimated the biggest risks. Imagine that. While there’s no straightforward, mechanical read-through

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13 Comments on Did We Underestimate The Biggest Risks?

Huge Disparity Emerges Between Growth Outlook, Equity Allocation

August 17, 2021August 18, 2021

“Macro expectations have rolled over.” That was one takeaway from the August vintage of BofA’s

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4 Comments on Huge Disparity Emerges Between Growth Outlook, Equity Allocation

Benefit Of The Doubt

August 17, 2021August 18, 2021

It’s “unclear” whether the Delta variant will have important effects on the economy, Jerome Powell

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1 Comment on Benefit Of The Doubt

Retail Sales Dive, Underscoring Delta, Inflation Concerns

August 17, 2021August 17, 2021

US retail sales sagged in July, closely-watched data out Tuesday showed. The 1.1% decline was

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5 Comments on Retail Sales Dive, Underscoring Delta, Inflation Concerns

What Really Happened Monday, According To Charlie McElligott

August 17, 2021August 18, 2021

The standard, boilerplate copy on days when weakness across equities reverses during the cash session

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Wary Eyes, Familiar Concerns

August 17, 2021August 17, 2021

The mood was cautious Tuesday as markets cast a wary eye at a familiar set

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1 Comment on Wary Eyes, Familiar Concerns

How Many More Headstones?

August 16, 2021August 23, 2021

“American troops cannot and should not be fighting in a war, and dying in a

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12 Comments on How Many More Headstones?

Wilson ‘Marks To Market.’ Kolanovic Weighs 2022 Macro Risks

August 16, 2021August 17, 2021

I’ve used “mark to market” in tongue-in-cheek fashion on any number of occasions lately, mostly

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‘Obvious Things’ And Credit, The Four-Letter Word

August 16, 2021August 17, 2021

“Obvious things can still matter,” Morgan Stanley’s Andrew Sheets reckoned, in a well-written note dated

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7 Comments on ‘Obvious Things’ And Credit, The Four-Letter Word

Strike Two

August 16, 2021August 16, 2021

Hot (or cold) on the heels of a disastrously bad University of Michigan sentiment print,

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1 Comment on Strike Two

The Day After

August 16, 2021August 22, 2021

Airlines rerouted planes to avoid Afghan airspace, while others nixed flights as chaos gripped Kabul

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14 Comments on The Day After

China’s Key Activity Data Misses Across The Board

August 15, 2021August 16, 2021

Outside of jitters about the durability of the US recovery in the face of surging

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Leave a Comment on China’s Key Activity Data Misses Across The Board

Safe Inside The Bubble

August 15, 2021August 18, 2021

In the new week, market participants will have the luxury of watching the outside world

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2 Comments on Safe Inside The Bubble

‘But Nothing That Should Matter To Markets’

August 15, 2021August 19, 2021

“But nothing that should matter to markets.” That disclaimer is applicable to nearly everything these

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5 Comments on ‘But Nothing That Should Matter To Markets’

Don’t Fear The Lock-Up Expiries

August 14, 2021August 16, 2021

When it comes to equities, we know where the demand will come from. Or at

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1 Comment on Don’t Fear The Lock-Up Expiries

Explaining The Calmest Market Since Yellen’s Short Vol Bubble

August 14, 2021August 19, 2021

The last time things were this placid, Janet Yellen was presiding over the short vol

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Leave a Comment on Explaining The Calmest Market Since Yellen’s Short Vol Bubble

Monetizing A ‘Free Option’: The Business Of Permabears

August 14, 2021August 15, 2021

On Friday morning, Bloomberg’s Jonathan Ferro delivered a highly amusing indictment of “permabears” live, on

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8 Comments on Monetizing A ‘Free Option’: The Business Of Permabears

Losing Our Religion

August 13, 2021August 15, 2021

In “A Funhouse Mirror Through Beer Goggles,” I talked about the importance of adjusting one’s

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23 Comments on Losing Our Religion

Hot Streak And A Bear Case In Shambles

August 13, 2021August 14, 2021

European equities just enjoyed their largest inflow in eight weeks. The $1.5 billion haul was

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6 Comments on Hot Streak And A Bear Case In Shambles

‘Dashed Hopes’: US Consumer Sentiment Suddenly Crumbles

August 13, 2021August 18, 2021

It’s relatively rare that University of Michigan sentiment moves the proverbial needle, especially during weeks

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6 Comments on ‘Dashed Hopes’: US Consumer Sentiment Suddenly Crumbles

The Butterfly Effect

August 13, 2021August 14, 2021

“You’re going to have a secondary hit,” one shipbroker told Bloomberg on Friday. In a

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6 Comments on The Butterfly Effect

Delta And The Outlook For ‘Cyclical Risk Relaxation’

August 12, 2021August 13, 2021

One thing, at least, is clear. Market participants have downgraded their view on growth. That’s

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1 Comment on Delta And The Outlook For ‘Cyclical Risk Relaxation’

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  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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  • Caribbean Breeze on My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money
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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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