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Featured

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

‘Hiking Into A Boom’: The Paradoxical Tail Risk

February 9, 2022February 10, 2022

For the last two months, I’ve parroted some version of the “hiking into a slowdown”

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10 Comments on ‘Hiking Into A Boom’: The Paradoxical Tail Risk

Diamond Hands

February 9, 2022February 10, 2022

Risk sentiment was reasonably buoyant Wednesday, as global equities rose lacking any obvious catalyst other

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3 Comments on Diamond Hands

‘How Can This Possibly End Well?’ Kolanovic’s Team Answers

February 8, 2022February 10, 2022

“How can this possibly end well?”, America’s largest bank wondered, in a new note. It

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Still Pending

February 8, 2022February 9, 2022

US equities meandered through another mostly meaningless session Tuesday. Traders were stuck in suspended animation

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2 Comments on Still Pending

Dealer Gamma As Modern Market Structure’s ‘Core Truth’

February 8, 2022February 9, 2022

Last week, I talked a bit about market depth and a seemingly acute dearth of

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Demand Destruction

February 8, 2022February 9, 2022

Sentiment was muted Tuesday, as investors searched for something to latch onto in the void

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2 Comments on Demand Destruction

2022’s Early Market Test ‘Just The Start,’ One Bank Says

February 7, 2022February 8, 2022

If you wanted to adopt a constructive view (and where’s the fun in that, right?),

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3 Comments on 2022’s Early Market Test ‘Just The Start,’ One Bank Says

7 Fed Hikes?! What It Would Mean For Stocks

February 7, 2022February 17, 2022

If you ask one bank, the Fed will hike seven times in 2022. So, at

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6 Comments on 7 Fed Hikes?! What It Would Mean For Stocks

Biggest GDP Gift May Be ‘Potentially Calamitous’ Curse

February 7, 2022February 13, 2022

Following an optically impressive advance read on Q4 GDP, I wondered (aloud) if the US

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1 Comment on Biggest GDP Gift May Be ‘Potentially Calamitous’ Curse

Weakest Links

February 7, 2022February 8, 2022

There were some signs of stress on Monday as markets continued to process hawkish shifts

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2 Comments on Weakest Links

Flying Blind: What’s Behind 2022’s Market Volatility

February 6, 2022February 17, 2022

One of the most underappreciated contributors to recent market volatility is the apparent demise of

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1 Comment on Flying Blind: What’s Behind 2022’s Market Volatility

New Week, More Fireworks As US Inflation Data Looms

February 6, 2022February 10, 2022

After a fairly dramatic stretch in rates amplified by BoE hawkishness and Christine Lagarde’s newfound

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3 Comments on New Week, More Fireworks As US Inflation Data Looms

Making Market History, One Day At A Time

February 5, 2022February 7, 2022

We’re living in historic times. People tend to say things like that when something’s just

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3 Comments on Making Market History, One Day At A Time

The ‘Sinister’ Credit Canary

February 5, 2022February 7, 2022

Is credit the canary? Honestly, I don’t know anymore. Up is down and down is

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3 Comments on The ‘Sinister’ Credit Canary

Wild Times, Flat Curves And Defiant Stocks

February 4, 2022February 7, 2022

Despite a truly harrowing ride for markets in 2022’s opening weeks, there’s been “no capitulation”

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3 Comments on Wild Times, Flat Curves And Defiant Stocks

Mind This ‘Overhead Lid’ On US Stocks: McElligott

February 4, 2022February 14, 2022

Notwithstanding wild post-earnings crashes for a trio of large-cap growth favorites culminating in Facebook’s historic,

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5 Comments on Mind This ‘Overhead Lid’ On US Stocks: McElligott

‘Hard To Fathom’ Jobs Report Adds To Fed Mystery

February 4, 2022February 11, 2022

Given the roller coaster markets have been on, it was only fitting that the most

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2 Comments on ‘Hard To Fathom’ Jobs Report Adds To Fed Mystery

Blockbuster Jobs Report Caps Dizzying Week For Traders

February 4, 2022February 8, 2022

The US labor market defied dour predictions for job losses in January, government data out

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4 Comments on Blockbuster Jobs Report Caps Dizzying Week For Traders

You Don’t Have To Go Home, But You Can’t Stay Here

February 4, 2022February 4, 2022

Expectations for tighter monetary policy weighed on risk sentiment Friday, even as Amazon attempted a

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Leave a Comment on You Don’t Have To Go Home, But You Can’t Stay Here

Saved After The Bell? Amazon, Snap Surge Following Facebook’s Existential Rout

February 3, 2022February 4, 2022

By the time the closing bell sounded on Wall Street Thursday, Facebook suffered a decline

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9 Comments on Saved After The Bell? Amazon, Snap Surge Following Facebook’s Existential Rout

Ray Dalio: America ‘On Classic Path To Civil War’

February 3, 2022February 4, 2022

Over the past several days, it’s become apparent that Donald Trump thought seriously about seizing

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11 Comments on Ray Dalio: America ‘On Classic Path To Civil War’

Meanwhile, In The World’s Largest Economy…

February 3, 2022February 8, 2022

On a day when headwinds for risk assets were many, investors were spared additional deterioration

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Leave a Comment on Meanwhile, In The World’s Largest Economy…

Lagarde Opens Floodgates, Cites ‘Unanimous’ Inflation Concern At ECB

February 3, 2022February 3, 2022

“Inflation is likely to remain elevated longer than previously expected but will decline in the

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Leave a Comment on Lagarde Opens Floodgates, Cites ‘Unanimous’ Inflation Concern At ECB

BoE Hawks Scream As Inflation Seen Soaring To 7%

February 3, 2022February 7, 2022

Faced with the highest inflation in three decades, the Bank of England on Thursday raised

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2 Comments on BoE Hawks Scream As Inflation Seen Soaring To 72

A Historic One-Day Value Destruction Event

February 3, 2022February 8, 2022

The fallout from Facebook’s dramatic post-earnings plunge rippled across markets Thursday, undermining risk sentiment and

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7 Comments on A Historic One-Day Value Destruction Event

Meta May Torpedo US Stock Rally With $200 Billion Plunge

February 2, 2022February 3, 2022

Just when it was going so well. Between them, the five companies which comprise some

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6 Comments on Meta May Torpedo US Stock Rally With $200 Billion Plunge

Remember When Everyday People Had Too Much Money?

February 2, 2022February 18, 2022

Remember when everyday Americans had too much money? No? Me neither. And I can explain

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9 Comments on Remember When Everyday People Had Too Much Money?

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Old Cyclist on ‘Remains Elevated’
  • BustedClock on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Mr. Dog on Boom!
  • derek on Boom!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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