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Featured

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Melting Up To Meltdown

February 2, 2022February 3, 2022

US equities could stabilize or, at the least, calm down, following a manic start to

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Leave a Comment on Melting Up To Meltdown

Outside Of Pandemic, January ADP Report Is Worst Since GFC

February 2, 2022February 7, 2022

In an inauspicious, albeit wholly predictable, development, ADP said Wednesday that private sector employers shed

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‘Massive Risk-Management Exercise’ Seen In ‘Right-Tail Event’

February 2, 2022February 2, 2022

Someone may have been playing catch-up on Tuesday. According to one popular strategist’s hypothesis, a

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1 Comment on ‘Massive Risk-Management Exercise’ Seen In ‘Right-Tail Event’

Hottest Inflation In History Blindsides ECB Day Before Policy Decision

February 2, 2022February 7, 2022

Christine Lagarde’s job just got a little harder. A day before the conclusion of the

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1 Comment on Hottest Inflation In History Blindsides ECB Day Before Policy Decision

Goldman: Liquidity Hasn’t Been This Bad Since COVID Crash

February 1, 2022February 13, 2022

US equities have been a veritable roller coaster lately. Maybe you noticed. Tuesday was no

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5 Comments on Goldman: Liquidity Hasn’t Been This Bad Since COVID Crash

US Labor Market Still Broken Funhouse Mirror, Data Shouts

February 1, 2022February 13, 2022

If you’re looking for a job, there are 10.925 million of them available. Or at

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4 Comments on US Labor Market Still Broken Funhouse Mirror, Data Shouts

Kolanovic, JPMorgan: ‘We Reiterate Our Call To Buy The Dip’

February 1, 2022February 2, 2022

“The stock market is not only in correction, it is already in bear market territory

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On Monday’s ‘Absolutely Explosive Short-Covering Rally’

February 1, 2022February 2, 2022

“Fed speakers are lunging around like ‘short Gamma’ traders,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott wrote, in an

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1 Comment on On Monday’s ‘Absolutely Explosive Short-Covering Rally’

US Manufacturing Slows. Downturn Seen Transitory

February 1, 2022February 7, 2022

Quite a bit is riding on the evolution of US PMIs going forward, according to

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1 Comment on US Manufacturing Slows. Downturn Seen Transitory

Patience Makes A Comeback

February 1, 2022February 1, 2022

Global risk sentiment was reasonably buoyant Tuesday following a jubilant end to a disastrous month

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2 Comments on Patience Makes A Comeback

Tapping The Brakes

January 31, 2022February 1, 2022

The doves were out Monday, and not a moment too soon for US equities which,

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4 Comments on Tapping The Brakes

Making Sense Of The Recent Stock Roller Coaster

January 31, 2022February 7, 2022

I’m a bit of a broken record sometimes, but only (or mostly, anyway) because in

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You Do The Math

January 31, 2022February 1, 2022

There’s considerable angst about the prospect that the Fed is too late. Not so much

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3 Comments on You Do The Math

‘Classic Bear Market Action’ (And The Real ‘Fed Put’ Question)

January 31, 2022February 7, 2022

At least one widely-followed Wall Street strategist is undeterred in harboring a cautious outlook on

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3 Comments on ‘Classic Bear Market Action’ (And The Real ‘Fed Put’ Question)

Draining The Pool

January 31, 2022January 31, 2022

Markets felt apprehensive Monday ahead of holidays in Asia and a bevy of key US

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4 Comments on Draining The Pool

‘Don’t Fight The Fed’ Is Now A Bear’s Mantra

January 30, 2022January 31, 2022

The good news for dip-buyers after the most turbulent period for US equities since the

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3 Comments on ‘Don’t Fight The Fed’ Is Now A Bear’s Mantra

S&P Correction: Here’s What Comes Next

January 30, 2022January 31, 2022

Contrary to what you may be inclined to believe if you conceptualize of stocks as

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2 Comments on S&P Correction: Here’s What Comes Next

Snowballs In Hell

January 30, 2022February 4, 2022

Expectations for an angry, vengeful, hawkish Fed shift will be weighed against top-tier US data

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4 Comments on Snowballs In Hell

The ‘Ultimate Pain Trade’

January 29, 2022January 31, 2022

No one is talking about the inevitable dovish pivot. Or almost no one, anyway. In

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7 Comments on The ‘Ultimate Pain Trade’

Crying Over Expensive Milk (No More Free Lunch)

January 29, 2022February 1, 2022

Let’s be clear about something: The Fed has abandoned the idea that it’s possible to

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2 Comments on Crying Over Expensive Milk (No More Free Lunch)

Goldman Ramps Up Fed Call, Nomura Sees 50bps Blast Off

January 29, 2022February 5, 2022

Since bringing forward their liftoff forecast by “one full year” in late October, Goldman has

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10 Comments on Goldman Ramps Up Fed Call, Nomura Sees 50bps Blast Off

‘The Quickest Route To Recession’ (And A Case Of Cognitive Dissonance)

January 28, 2022January 30, 2022

The stock market isn’t the economy. We say that all the time. It’s almost a

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7 Comments on ‘The Quickest Route To Recession’ (And A Case Of Cognitive Dissonance)

Curtin’s Warning: Americans May ‘Misinterpret’ Fed Hikes

January 28, 2022January 29, 2022

There was no improvement in US consumer sentiment during the back half of January. In

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6 Comments on Curtin’s Warning: Americans May ‘Misinterpret’ Fed Hikes

Stagflation Spotted In Crucial US Comp, Spending Data

January 28, 2022February 13, 2022

Compensation costs for US workers rose less than expected in Q4, closely-watched data out Friday

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5 Comments on Stagflation Spotted In Crucial US Comp, Spending Data

Germany Stares At Recession As Economy Contracts

January 28, 2022January 30, 2022

An image of “traffic at a street junction in Berlin” sat atop one outlet’s summary

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1 Comment on Germany Stares At Recession As Economy Contracts

‘Initial Volatility’ Has Governments Nervous In Asia

January 28, 2022January 28, 2022

A few key Asian markets managed to rebound on Friday after falling into corrections and

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If Stocks Don’t Get Him, The Curve Might

January 27, 2022January 28, 2022

Thursday’s overarching narrative was that this time around, Jerome Powell isn’t going to bend the

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9 Comments on If Stocks Don’t Get Him, The Curve Might

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Old Cyclist on ‘Remains Elevated’
  • BustedClock on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Mr. Dog on Boom!
  • derek on Boom!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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