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Featured

Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

US Rates In Search Of Consensus As Fed Leans In

April 17, 2022April 21, 2022

“There’s no consensus on the inflation outlook, or prospect of one in sight,” Bloomberg’s Liz

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1 Comment on US Rates In Search Of Consensus As Fed Leans In

Twin Bubbles And Something That’s Never Happened Before

April 16, 2022April 17, 2022

So far, 2022 hasn’t been the best year for humanity. Ukraine isn’t the world’s only

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2 Comments on Twin Bubbles And Something That’s Never Happened Before

Why Zoltan Pozsar’s ‘Bretton Woods III’ Won’t Work

April 16, 2022April 27, 2022

A fairy tale. That’s what I called Zoltan Pozsar’s Bretton Woods III framework earlier this

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8 Comments on Why Zoltan Pozsar’s ‘Bretton Woods III’ Won’t Work

Fed Researchers Channel Pozsar, Warn On Margin Calls, EU Utilities

April 15, 2022April 17, 2022

“Pozsar proceeded to speculate on a tsunami of margin calls for market participants long physical

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1 Comment on Fed Researchers Channel Pozsar, Warn On Margin Calls, EU Utilities

Strategist Who Nailed S&P Last Cycle Talks ‘Altogether New Regime’

April 15, 2022April 17, 2022

“Our view has (always) been that crossing an imaginary red line can’t be a sufficient

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4 Comments on Strategist Who Nailed S&P Last Cycle Talks ‘Altogether New Regime’

No Bazooka: China Underwhelms With Timid RRR Cut

April 15, 2022April 16, 2022

China cut the reserve requirement ratio for all banks by 25bps on Friday, in a

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Leave a Comment on No Bazooka: China Underwhelms With Timid RRR Cut

Is A US Recession ‘More Fear Than Fact’?

April 14, 2022April 15, 2022

Not everyone agrees a US recession is “inevitable,” as Bill Dudley put it a few

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2 Comments on Is A US Recession ‘More Fear Than Fact’?

The Gods Musk Be Crazy

April 14, 2022April 30, 2022

Analysts, reporters, investors and netizens in general spent most of Thursday asking (and answering) questions

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8 Comments on The Gods Musk Be Crazy

Traders Rescue Goldman, Morgan As IB Suffers Equity ‘Standstill’

April 14, 2022April 15, 2022

Morgan Stanley fell short in investment banking during the first three months of the new

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Lagarde, Working From Home, Says It’s Dicey Out There

April 14, 2022April 15, 2022

When it comes to the process of normalizing monetary policy, the ECB is “really very

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1 Comment on Lagarde, Working From Home, Says It’s Dicey Out There

Retail Sales Loiter As Nervous Americans Eye Prices

April 14, 2022April 14, 2022

Markets escaped the last of this week’s top-tier US data mostly unscathed. Retail sales in

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Leave a Comment on Retail Sales Loiter As Nervous Americans Eye Prices

‘You Had One Job’

April 14, 2022April 14, 2022

The absence of a governor didn’t stop South Korea from hiking rates on Thursday, when

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12 Comments on ‘You Had One Job’

Germany Is Asking Itself The Wrong Questions

April 13, 2022April 23, 2022

We’re probably asking the wrong questions about the German economy. Since the onset of hostilities

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3 Comments on Germany Is Asking Itself The Wrong Questions

‘This Is Concerning’: PPI Scorcher Torches CPI Relief Narrative

April 13, 2022April 30, 2022

A day on from another generationally high read on US consumer prices, data suggested pipeline

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4 Comments on ‘This Is Concerning’: PPI Scorcher Torches CPI Relief Narrative

UK’s ‘Cost Of Living Crisis’ Spirals

April 13, 2022April 30, 2022

Wholly predictable outcomes are scarcely worth mentioning. But when it comes to pervasive inflation in

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JPMorgan Takes Half-Billion Russia Loss, Mortgage Volumes Plunge

April 13, 2022April 15, 2022

JPMorgan delivered mixed first quarter results on Wednesday, as earnings season kicked off in the

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7 Comments on JPMorgan Takes Half-Billion Russia Loss, Mortgage Volumes Plunge

‘Path Of Least Regret’: New Zealand, Canada Send A Message

April 13, 2022April 19, 2022

New Zealand took “the path of least regret” on Wednesday, when RBNZ opted for a

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Leave a Comment on ‘Path Of Least Regret’: New Zealand, Canada Send A Message

‘If Not By Accident, By Design’: Why One Bank Sees US Recession

April 12, 2022April 13, 2022

The Fed is on the brink of a policy error. You’ve probably heard that at

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4 Comments on ‘If Not By Accident, By Design’: Why One Bank Sees US Recession

For Main Street, March’s US Inflation Report Is Disastrous

April 12, 2022April 21, 2022

Depending on your perspective, March’s report on consumer prices in the US was no worse

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12 Comments on For Main Street, March’s US Inflation Report Is Disastrous

America’s Inflation Problem Worsened In March

April 12, 2022April 13, 2022

Core US consumer prices rose less than expected in March, closely watched data out Tuesday

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Leave a Comment on America’s Inflation Problem Worsened In March

Small Business Optimism Sinks. Outlook Worst Ever

April 12, 2022April 13, 2022

A key gauge of small business optimism sank to the worst levels since the onset

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Leave a Comment on Small Business Optimism Sinks. Outlook Worst Ever

Treasury Yields Test Downtrend With Inflation Genie ‘Out Of The Bottle’

April 12, 2022April 12, 2022

Investor angst remained palpable Tuesday, as bonds threatened to extend losses on persistent inflation fears

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4 Comments on Treasury Yields Test Downtrend With Inflation Genie ‘Out Of The Bottle’

Would You Like Context With Your Kolanovic?

April 11, 2022April 12, 2022

Quite often, I’m compelled to emit a wry chuckle at the headlines emanating from mainstream

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Middle Class Now Terrified Of Inflation

April 11, 2022April 13, 2022

There’s good news and there’s bad news if you’re the Fed and you’re concerned about

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2 Comments on Middle Class Now Terrified Of Inflation

Allies May Seize, Sell Russia’s Oil Fleet, Assets, Ukraine Says

April 11, 2022April 12, 2022

Ukraine wants reparations. Already. The Russian military has inflicted at least $1 trillion in damage

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1 Comment on Allies May Seize, Sell Russia’s Oil Fleet, Assets, Ukraine Says

Chinese Economy Is Magic 8-Ball: ‘Reply Hazy’

April 11, 2022April 13, 2022

It wasn’t all bad news in China to start the new week. Although stocks suffered

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3 Comments on Chinese Economy Is Magic 8-Ball: ‘Reply Hazy’

Xi Restricts Mutual Fund Selling Amid Failing Shanghai Lockdown

April 11, 2022April 11, 2022

Chinese tech stocks tumbled anew Monday amid a broader rout in Mainland and Hong Kong

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1 Comment on Xi Restricts Mutual Fund Selling Amid Failing Shanghai Lockdown

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Dissembling Strategery
  • Engineer on Mona Lisa’s Smirk
  • Engineer on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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