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Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Roe V. Wade Through A Socioeconomic Lens

May 3, 2022May 20, 2022

My raison d’être is documenting the intersection of geopolitics, macroeconomics and finance. That finds expression

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40 Comments on Roe V. Wade Through A Socioeconomic Lens

Laid Lowe

May 3, 2022May 3, 2022

Philip Lowe finally ran out of “patience.” After months spent insisting the RBA would wait

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1 Comment on Laid Lowe

Why Bulls ‘Have A Lot Of Explaining To Do’

May 2, 2022May 3, 2022

Late last week, I noted that although stocks may be the best inflation hedge on

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1 Comment on Why Bulls ‘Have A Lot Of Explaining To Do’

Unheeded Real Rate Warning Presaged Equity Selloff

May 2, 2022May 8, 2022

In “Mispriced Duration And The ‘Otherside’ Of Rising Rates,” I talked quite a bit about

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2 Comments on Unheeded Real Rate Warning Presaged Equity Selloff

Stocks Have A ‘Real’ Problem

May 2, 2022May 3, 2022

Mainstream media outlets leaned on old faithful to explain another dizzying session for US equities,

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1 Comment on Stocks Have A ‘Real’ Problem

Mike Wilson’s Slowdown Call Plays Out To Perfection

May 2, 2022May 3, 2022

Last week’s equity rout in the US was “especially vicious” and suggested stocks have entered

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2 Comments on Mike Wilson’s Slowdown Call Plays Out To Perfection

Key Factory Gauge Misses Badly, Perpetuating US Growth Panic

May 2, 2022May 2, 2022

The first of this week’s top-tier US data disappointed. Traders and investors are on high

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Leave a Comment on Key Factory Gauge Misses Badly, Perpetuating US Growth Panic

The Simple Case For A Near-Term Stock Bounce

May 2, 2022May 2, 2022

There’s a decent case to be made for a near-term bounce in US equities coming

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1 Comment on The Simple Case For A Near-Term Stock Bounce

Spoiled Milk And A ‘New World Order’ Reality Check

May 2, 2022May 2, 2022

One mainstream media outlet described the global mood as “sour” on Monday. I don’t particularly

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2 Comments on Spoiled Milk And A ‘New World Order’ Reality Check

Mispriced Duration And The ‘Otherside’ Of Rising Rates

May 1, 2022May 2, 2022

“Facebook and PayPal seem to have reached valuations attractive to GARP investors and even some

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2 Comments on Mispriced Duration And The ‘Otherside’ Of Rising Rates

Jobs Report, Refunding, ISM Confront Fed-Obsessed Traders

May 1, 2022May 2, 2022

Jerome Powell is undoubtedly the focal point for markets in the new week. The FOMC

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Fed’s Biggest Rate Hike In 22 Years: What To Expect

May 1, 2022May 5, 2022

The Fed will deliver the largest US rate hike in decades this week, as Jerome

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5 Comments on Fed’s Biggest Rate Hike In 22 Years: What To Expect

‘Recession? OK, When?’ A Skeptic Entertains The Doomsayers

April 30, 2022May 2, 2022

Two weeks ago, one equities strategist asked if US downturn worries were “more fear than

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2 Comments on ‘Recession? OK, When?’ A Skeptic Entertains The Doomsayers

Buffett, Munger Play The Hits After $40 Billion Buying Spree

April 30, 2022May 1, 2022

Warren Buffett finally found something to buy besides his own shares. A string of investments,

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7 Comments on Buffett, Munger Play The Hits After $40 Billion Buying Spree

Slow Oil Ban Is Latest Idea In EU-Russia Coordinated Decoupling

April 30, 2022May 6, 2022

The EU may be poised to unveil a ban on Russian crude. But it’ll be

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7 Comments on Slow Oil Ban Is Latest Idea In EU-Russia Coordinated Decoupling

China Activity Gauges Plunge As Lockdown Hit Revealed

April 30, 2022May 1, 2022

You know things aren’t going well in China when even the official numbers are bad.

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2 Comments on China Activity Gauges Plunge As Lockdown Hit Revealed

Amazon’s Very Bad Day And McElligott On Friday’s Selloff

April 29, 2022May 2, 2022

A very bad month for US equities closed on a decidedly dour note Friday, when

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3 Comments on Amazon’s Very Bad Day And McElligott On Friday’s Selloff

Nabiullina Spurns Kremlin, Rules Out Ruble-Gold Peg

April 29, 2022April 30, 2022

On Friday, Elvira Nabiullina cut Russia’s key rate for the second time since an emergency

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1 Comment on Nabiullina Spurns Kremlin, Rules Out Ruble-Gold Peg

BofA’s Hartnett Talks ‘Pain, Exit’ Level After ‘Just Awful’ Month

April 29, 2022April 30, 2022

Stocks may be the best inflation hedge on the board, but measured in real terms,

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8 Comments on BofA’s Hartnett Talks ‘Pain, Exit’ Level After ‘Just Awful’ Month

Scorching Wages Hide Record Drop In Inflation-Adjusted Pay

April 29, 2022May 6, 2022

Headed into the weekend, top-tier US data provided some incremental evidence to support the contention

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3 Comments on Scorching Wages Hide Record Drop In Inflation-Adjusted Pay

Key US Spending, Inflation Data Offers Glimmer Of Hope

April 29, 2022May 1, 2022

Friday’s key US spending and income data beat across the board, and suggested prices accelerated

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1 Comment on Key US Spending, Inflation Data Offers Glimmer Of Hope

Politburo Promises Trigger Another Raucous China Rally

April 29, 2022April 29, 2022

For the second time in six weeks, officials in Beijing managed to engineer a rally

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3 Comments on Politburo Promises Trigger Another Raucous China Rally

Apple, Amazon Results Leave Macro Questions Unanswered

April 28, 2022April 29, 2022

Amazon delivered disappointing revenue guidance after the bell Thursday, underscoring the notion that even the

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The Illusion Of A Stock ‘Market’

April 28, 2022April 29, 2022

So far, 2022 is a macro tragicomedy. I’ve long suspected my penchant for describing various

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3 Comments on The Illusion Of A Stock ‘Market’

Meanwhile, Sweden Executes ‘Record-Large’ Hawkish Pivot

April 28, 2022April 29, 2022

The Bank of Japan wasn’t the only central bank to surprise markets Thursday. Although the

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1 Comment on Meanwhile, Sweden Executes ‘Record-Large’ Hawkish Pivot

US Economy Moves To Brink Of Recession

April 28, 2022May 4, 2022

The US economy contracted at a 1.4% annualized rate during the first three months of

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8 Comments on US Economy Moves To Brink Of Recession

Bank Of Japan Throws Gas On Burgeoning Asia FX War

April 28, 2022May 3, 2022

It was all about the yen on Thursday, when the Bank of Japan surprised markets

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2 Comments on Bank Of Japan Throws Gas On Burgeoning Asia FX War

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Dissembling Strategery
  • Engineer on Mona Lisa’s Smirk
  • Engineer on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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