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Featured

Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Of The Fed, We Now Demand The Impossible

April 27, 2022April 28, 2022

The Fed is attempting to do the impossible. That characterization could be applied to any

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6 Comments on Of The Fed, We Now Demand The Impossible

Bassman: This Is ‘Let Them Eat Cake’ Economics

April 27, 2022April 28, 2022

This rhymes with our present-day financial aristocracy arguing over which First Cru French Chablis is

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11 Comments on Bassman: This Is ‘Let Them Eat Cake’ Economics

Surprise! US Pending Home Sales Slow, Mortgage Apps Dive

April 27, 2022May 1, 2022

Pending home sales fell more than expected in the US last month, data out Wednesday showed.

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1 Comment on Surprise! US Pending Home Sales Slow, Mortgage Apps Dive

Goldman On Russia’s Gas Halt: ‘This Raises The Stakes’

April 27, 2022April 28, 2022

The physical impact of Russia’s move to halt gas flows to Poland and Bulgaria is

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9 Comments on Goldman On Russia’s Gas Halt: ‘This Raises The Stakes’

‘Unacceptable’ Russia Gas Cuts Force EU Energy Reckoning

April 27, 2022May 6, 2022

The EU is “prepared” for a scenario in which Vladimir Putin threatens the bloc’s energy

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8 Comments on ‘Unacceptable’ Russia Gas Cuts Force EU Energy Reckoning

Poland Gas Cutoff, Tech Disaster Leave Markets Reeling

April 26, 2022April 27, 2022

It’d be difficult to imagine a more inauspicious mix of headlines than those investors confronted

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4 Comments on Poland Gas Cutoff, Tech Disaster Leave Markets Reeling

Deutsche Bank Stunner: ‘We Will Get A Major Recession’

April 26, 2022May 8, 2022

Starting last year, Deutsche Bank began publishing a new series of papers dedicated to furthering

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8 Comments on Deutsche Bank Stunner: ‘We Will Get A Major Recession’

Down Payment Burden For New Homes Hits $105,000

April 26, 2022May 4, 2022

New home sales in the US fell more than expected in March, data out Tuesday

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3 Comments on Down Payment Burden For New Homes Hits $105,000

Fed May Have Just Two Hikes Left, SocGen Quant Suggests

April 26, 2022April 27, 2022

Market pricing for Fed hikes went into overdrive late last week, when tail hedges for

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6 Comments on Fed May Have Just Two Hikes Left, SocGen Quant Suggests

US Home Prices Rose Most Ever On Eve Of Rate Surge

April 26, 2022April 26, 2022

A key gauge of US home prices notched another new record, data out Tuesday showed.

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Leave a Comment on US Home Prices Rose Most Ever On Eve Of Rate Surge

China Tried To Talk Stocks Higher. It Didn’t Work

April 26, 2022April 26, 2022

The PBoC ran up against the law of diminishing returns Tuesday, when an attempt to

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2 Comments on China Tried To Talk Stocks Higher. It Didn’t Work

With Twitter Deal, Musk Vies For Surveillance Capitalist Crown

April 25, 2022May 2, 2022

Surveillance capitalism operates through unprecedented asymmetries in knowledge and the power that accrues to knowledge.

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10 Comments on With Twitter Deal, Musk Vies For Surveillance Capitalist Crown

China’s COVID-Zero Strategy Risks Global Stagflation

April 25, 2022April 27, 2022

The threat of never-ending, rolling lockdowns in the world’s second largest economy is a fixture

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6 Comments on China’s COVID-Zero Strategy Risks Global Stagflation

Rolling The Dice On A Falling Knife

April 25, 2022April 26, 2022

Who’s inclined to catch a falling knife? Not me, I’ll confess. Or at least not

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6 Comments on Rolling The Dice On A Falling Knife

Why JPMorgan Sees A ‘Near-Term Stock Rally’

April 25, 2022April 26, 2022

Stocks are likely to rebound this week amid rebalancing, hedging dynamics, incremental buyback flow and

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PBoC Forced To Intervene As Yuan Losses Turn Disorderly

April 25, 2022April 25, 2022

The PBoC stepped in to stanch profuse bleeding in the yuan Monday, after the currency

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Leave a Comment on PBoC Forced To Intervene As Yuan Losses Turn Disorderly

Chinese Stocks Collapse As Beijing Situation Turns ‘Grim’

April 25, 2022April 25, 2022

Fears of a Shanghai-esque lockdown in Beijing undercut already fragile risk sentiment Monday, sending global

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2 Comments on Chinese Stocks Collapse As Beijing Situation Turns ‘Grim’

A Tail Risk Disappears As Le Pen Loses To Macron. Again

April 24, 2022April 30, 2022

Ostensibly, markets “dodged a bullet” Sunday, when Emmanuel Macron vanquished Marine Le Pen at the

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1 Comment on A Tail Risk Disappears As Le Pen Loses To Macron. Again

Traders Face Daunting US Data Docket Amid Fed Silence

April 24, 2022April 28, 2022

Whatever void is left by the absence of Fed banter in the new week will

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Leave a Comment on Traders Face Daunting US Data Docket Amid Fed Silence

No Doves Allowed

April 24, 2022April 25, 2022

Weary investors can look forward to a short break from escalatory Fed rhetoric. Officials are

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1 Comment on No Doves Allowed

A Currency War May Be Coming To Asia

April 23, 2022May 5, 2022

Have you considered the possibility that the dollar is on the brink of a “super

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1 Comment on A Currency War May Be Coming To Asia

Cathie Wood Keeps The Faith

April 23, 2022April 24, 2022

Inflation is about to peak. Then, it’ll fall rapidly. Said nobody, anywhere. That macro narrative

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2 Comments on Cathie Wood Keeps The Faith

The Simple Reason US Stocks ‘Need’ To Fall Another 15%

April 23, 2022May 4, 2022

Monetary policy works on a lag, but over and over again in 2022, the Fed

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1 Comment on The Simple Reason US Stocks ‘Need’ To Fall Another 15%

BofA: ‘The Era Of Higher Volatility Has Begun’

April 22, 2022April 24, 2022

Despondent investor psychology and ostensible evidence of “peak inflation” aren’t a bad setup for a

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8 Comments on BofA: ‘The Era Of Higher Volatility Has Begun’

‘Violent’ Rates Shock Is ‘Gut Punch’ To Staggering Stocks

April 22, 2022April 23, 2022

When you think high drama, you don’t generally think data-less Friday in April. But these

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Why One Bank Now Expects Two Huge Fed Hikes In A Row

April 22, 2022May 2, 2022

On the heels of Jim Bullard’s trial balloon, and amid unrelenting hawkishness from other officials

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2 Comments on Why One Bank Now Expects Two Huge Fed Hikes In A Row

Albert Edwards On ‘The Biggest Story No One Is Talking About’

April 22, 2022April 23, 2022

“No one” is talking about “the biggest story.” But don’t worry. Albert Edwards has you

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2 Comments on Albert Edwards On ‘The Biggest Story No One Is Talking About’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Dissembling Strategery
  • Engineer on Mona Lisa’s Smirk
  • Engineer on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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