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Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

China’s Yuan Plunges As Lockdowns Cripple Export Machine

May 9, 2022May 9, 2022

The onshore yuan dove 1% against the dollar Monday to the weakest in more than

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‘Where Does One Go When Everything Sells Off?’

May 8, 2022May 9, 2022

The QT trade will naturally, even necessarily, be a mirror image of the QE trade.

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9 Comments on ‘Where Does One Go When Everything Sells Off?’

‘Whiplashed’ Traders Confront Another Pivotal Week

May 8, 2022May 12, 2022

“Whiplash,” read the title of one bank’s weekly compendium of global rates research. It’s an

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‘The Most Chaotic Macroeconomic Times In Decades’

May 8, 2022May 9, 2022

“We live in the most chaotic, hard-to-predict macroeconomic times in decades,” Morgan Stanley’s Chief Global

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5 Comments on ‘The Most Chaotic Macroeconomic Times In Decades’

Higher Stocks ‘Antithetical’ To Fed’s Goals, Goldman Says

May 7, 2022May 16, 2022

Higher stock prices “would ease financial conditions and therefore be antithetical to the Fed’s goal,”

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1 Comment on Higher Stocks ‘Antithetical’ To Fed’s Goals, Goldman Says

Stocks ‘Nowhere Near The Bottom’ With Panic Absent

May 7, 2022May 14, 2022

“We’re nowhere near the bottom,” someone quoted by a mainstream financial media outlet said Friday,

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4 Comments on Stocks ‘Nowhere Near The Bottom’ With Panic Absent

Inflation May Be Here To Stay. 4 Reasons Why

May 7, 2022May 8, 2022

Inflation is generally expected to peak at some point over the next several months. Or

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2 Comments on Inflation May Be Here To Stay. 4 Reasons Why

We Built A ‘Doomsday Momentum Machine.’ Now It’s Blowing Up

May 6, 2022May 8, 2022

During the vicious, tech-led selloff that wiped away a fleeting, post-FOMC bounce in US equities,

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6 Comments on We Built A ‘Doomsday Momentum Machine.’ Now It’s Blowing Up

Algos And E-Commerce, Bonds And Bloodshed

May 6, 2022May 7, 2022

If you were wondering whether familiar accelerant flows played a role in Thursday’s wild ride

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2 Comments on Algos And E-Commerce, Bonds And Bloodshed

McElligott Explains The ‘Fixed Income Disaster’

May 6, 2022May 7, 2022

The dramatic bond selloff that blindsided US equities less than 24 hours after Jerome Powell’s

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US Jobs Report Sturdy, With Caveats

May 6, 2022May 10, 2022

The US economy added 428,000 jobs in April, hotly-anticipated data out Friday showed. That was

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1 Comment on US Jobs Report Sturdy, With Caveats

Xi Pledges ‘No Retreat’ On COVID. Stocks, Yuan Retreat

May 6, 2022May 6, 2022

Chinese shares tumbled Friday, amid ongoing concerns around the economic fallout of Xi Jinping’s strict

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5 Comments on Xi Pledges ‘No Retreat’ On COVID. Stocks, Yuan Retreat

Why The Fed May Be Happy About Thursday’s Stock Crash

May 5, 2022May 9, 2022

Two weeks ago (give or take), I detailed the “the simple reason” US equities needed

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3 Comments on Why The Fed May Be Happy About Thursday’s Stock Crash

Explaining The US Economy’s ‘Since 1947’ Moment

May 5, 2022May 7, 2022

In what I’d be inclined to call another blow to constructive takes on the outlook

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2 Comments on Explaining The US Economy’s ‘Since 1947’ Moment

A Very Bad Day On Wall Street

May 5, 2022May 6, 2022

2022 has seen its share of harrowing sessions on Wall Street. But Thursday was bad

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1 Comment on A Very Bad Day On Wall Street

Abrupt Bond Selloff Sparks Mayhem

May 5, 2022May 6, 2022

Things took a dramatic turn on Thursday, as a rapidly escalating US bond selloff undercut

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13 Comments on Abrupt Bond Selloff Sparks Mayhem

Bank Of England Debacle: 10% Inflation, Recession Risk, Dissent

May 5, 2022May 10, 2022

The Bank of England celebrated 25 years of independence by hiking rates 25bps on Thursday.

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4 Comments on Bank Of England Debacle: 104 Inflation, Recession Risk, Dissent

‘COVID Zero’ Untenable Amid ‘Severe’ Chinese Economic Drag

May 5, 2022May 12, 2022

There was no respite from Chinese economic gloom on Thursday, as Mainland markets came back

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6 Comments on ‘COVID Zero’ Untenable Amid ‘Severe’ Chinese Economic Drag

Powell Shoots Down 75, But Talks Tough On Inflation

May 4, 2022May 5, 2022

“In principle,” the Fed can cool the labor market and bring supply and demand back

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7 Comments on Powell Shoots Down 75, But Talks Tough On Inflation

Fed Delivers Largest Rate Hike In Two Decades, Unveils QT

May 4, 2022May 9, 2022

As expected, the Fed delivered the biggest rate hike in more than two decades on

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4 Comments on Fed Delivers Largest Rate Hike In Two Decades, Unveils QT

‘Buy The Dip’ Declared Dead As Margin Accounts Turn Negative

May 4, 2022May 5, 2022

For the first time in nearly two years, investors are deleveraging. Despite a favorable seasonal

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4 Comments on ‘Buy The Dip’ Declared Dead As Margin Accounts Turn Negative

US Small Business Hiring Collapsed In April, Alarming Data Shows

May 4, 2022May 9, 2022

US private sector employers added 247,000 jobs in April, ADP said Wednesday. That was far

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2 Comments on US Small Business Hiring Collapsed In April, Alarming Data Shows

US Services Sector Struggles With Pervasive, Familiar Constraints

May 4, 2022May 6, 2022

The US services sector expanded at a slower-than-expected rate in April thanks to pervasive distortions

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‘It Won’t Be Easy’: EU Proposes ‘Complete’ Russian Oil Ban

May 4, 2022May 10, 2022

“This will be a complete import ban on all Russian oil, seaborne and pipeline, crude

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1 Comment on ‘It Won’t Be Easy’: EU Proposes ‘Complete’ Russian Oil Ban

The Stock Bubble Popped. Is It Safe Now?

May 3, 2022May 4, 2022

Over the past several months, I’ve written voluminously about the ongoing de-rating in the most

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3 Comments on The Stock Bubble Popped. Is It Safe Now?

Tudor Jones, Rogoff Deliver The Doom

May 3, 2022May 4, 2022

The big names were out and about on the eve of what’s widely expected to

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5 Comments on Tudor Jones, Rogoff Deliver The Doom

Americans Keep Quitting By The Millions

May 3, 2022May 4, 2022

Anyone expecting signs of an abatement in America’s so-called “Great Resignation” was disappointed on Tuesday.

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7 Comments on Americans Keep Quitting By The Millions

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Mona Lisa’s Smirk
  • Engineer on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • n3utra on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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