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Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

The Stark Reality Of Modern Stock Market Rallies

June 25, 2022June 26, 2022

If you’re concerned that households, by far the largest owners of the US equity market

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14 Comments on The Stark Reality Of Modern Stock Market Rallies

Fed Up

June 24, 2022June 26, 2022

Jim Bullard wants to “nip inflation in the bud before it gets entrenched in the

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8 Comments on Fed Up

America Has An Existential Credibility Problem

June 24, 2022July 3, 2022

The Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade on Friday, exacerbating a national firestorm and deepening

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26 Comments on America Has An Existential Credibility Problem

Kolanovic Says Stocks May Soar 7% Next Week

June 24, 2022June 28, 2022

Could rebalancing flows help US stocks log their largest weekly gain since November of 2020?

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New Home Sales Jump As Average Prices Drop Third Most Ever

June 24, 2022June 27, 2022

Reports of the housing bubble’s demise were greatly exaggerated. Or at least that’s what a

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4 Comments on New Home Sales Jump As Average Prices Drop Third Most Ever

Hard Landing Panic Has Markets Rethinking Central Bank Bets

June 24, 2022June 24, 2022

Central banks have succeeded. In engineering a recession scare. Rate hike bets were trimmed again

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4 Comments on Hard Landing Panic Has Markets Rethinking Central Bank Bets

150 Years Of History Says S&P Falls Another 15%. At Least

June 23, 2022June 24, 2022

It’ll seem obvious in hindsight, as all things do. If the post-pandemic rally in equities

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6 Comments on 150 Years Of History Says S&P Falls Another 156. At Least

Cash!

June 23, 2022July 2, 2022

On one measure, real money investors’ allocation to cash is the highest in more than

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1 Comment on Cash!

US Economy Witnessing ‘Remarkable’ Drop In Demand

June 23, 2022June 27, 2022

The US economy is downshifting in real time. On the heels of similarly underwhelming anecdotal

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4 Comments on US Economy Witnessing ‘Remarkable’ Drop In Demand

2022 Is Worst Year For US Bonds Since George Washington

June 23, 2022June 24, 2022

The first five months of 2022 were cruel for bonds. That much you probably know.

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1 Comment on 2022 Is Worst Year For US Bonds Since George Washington

ECB Nightmare: Europe Sees ‘Most Abrupt’ Slowdown Since 2008

June 23, 2022June 23, 2022

The ECB is in a real bind. European economic activity decelerated markedly in June, PMIs

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Leave a Comment on ECB Nightmare: Europe Sees ‘Most Abrupt’ Slowdown Since 2008

Germany Faces ‘Lehman Effect’ In Gas Standoff With Putin

June 23, 2022June 29, 2022

Germany’s energy crisis heated up on Thursday, when Economy Minister Robert Habeck raised the country’s

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6 Comments on Germany Faces ‘Lehman Effect’ In Gas Standoff With Putin

Bear Market Bender

June 22, 2022June 24, 2022

Risk sentiment looks poised to oscillate for the next several weeks. Meandering price action will

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1 Comment on Bear Market Bender

Jerome Powell, Professional Fall Guy

June 22, 2022June 29, 2022

It wasn’t so long ago when Jerome Powell readily expressed confidence in the Fed’s capacity

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4 Comments on Jerome Powell, Professional Fall Guy

Albert Edwards Gently Warns Of Imminent ‘Collapse,’ ‘Meltdown’

June 22, 2022June 23, 2022

By and large, market commentators now begrudgingly concede that the odds of a US recession

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8 Comments on Albert Edwards Gently Warns Of Imminent ‘Collapse,’ ‘Meltdown’

We’ve Been Lying To Ourselves About Central Banks And Inflation

June 22, 2022June 23, 2022

Investors eyed Jerome Powell’s first day of Congressional testimony on Wednesday. Traders were “bracing for

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20 Comments on We’ve Been Lying To Ourselves About Central Banks And Inflation

From Kelton To Krugman To Dalio: A Recession Diary

June 21, 2022July 3, 2022

Humans harbor a perverse fascination with calamity. I revisit this topic from time to time.

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11 Comments on From Kelton To Krugman To Dalio: A Recession Diary

I Can Get You In Something Used For $407,600

June 21, 2022June 22, 2022

It could’ve been worse. Existing home sales fell last month, the first of this week’s

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4 Comments on I Can Get You In Something Used For $407,600

The ‘Unpleasant’ Specter Of Economic Decline

June 21, 2022June 22, 2022

There’s no such thing as a “good” recession. Only less bad ones. If you have

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1 Comment on The ‘Unpleasant’ Specter Of Economic Decline

Goldman Doubles Recession Odds For Next 12 Months

June 21, 2022June 27, 2022

“Encouragingly, economic activity has decelerated,” Goldman’s David Mericle and Ronnie Walker wrote, while reassessing the

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4 Comments on Goldman Doubles Recession Odds For Next 12 Months

Bear Market Won’t End Until Recession Question Answered: Wilson

June 21, 2022June 23, 2022

The bear market in equities won’t be over “until recession arrives or the risk of

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6 Comments on Bear Market Won’t End Until Recession Question Answered: Wilson

The Sad, Sad Story Of $3 Trillion In Pandemic Savings

June 20, 2022July 2, 2022

You’ve heard it again and again: Major developed economies, including and especially the world’s largest,

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12 Comments on The Sad, Sad Story Of $3 Trillion In Pandemic Savings

Profit Reckoning Nears For Corporate America

June 20, 2022June 23, 2022

I’ve mentioned the prospect of a reprieve for beleaguered equities in the near-term. Sentiment is

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7 Comments on Profit Reckoning Nears For Corporate America

Fed Panic: Why This Is Not A Drill

June 19, 2022June 30, 2022

It’ll be all housing data and Fedspeak in a holiday-shortened US trading week. Anyone who

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21 Comments on Fed Panic: Why This Is Not A Drill

Of Recessions And Bears

June 19, 2022June 21, 2022

US stocks are in a bear market. Maybe you noticed. A recession is either inevitable

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1 Comment on Of Recessions And Bears

Fed, Markets Now ‘Paying The Price’ Of Infamous Powell Pivot

June 19, 2022June 20, 2022

After a dozen years of accommodative monetary policy, markets have lost the capacity to fully

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1 Comment on Fed, Markets Now ‘Paying The Price’ Of Infamous Powell Pivot

Cathie Wood Tells Goldman: The Dream Is Alive

June 18, 2022June 20, 2022

The world is changing. Nobody knows that better than Cathie Wood. Wood’s meteoric rise was

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14 Comments on Cathie Wood Tells Goldman: The Dream Is Alive

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • J Rose on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • ebogan13 on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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